Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 16 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Hodges: We are lucky Ukrainians are not against us and want to be on our side I spoke with seven of their soldiers, these are some killers

One was a 25-year-old woman, a drone operator. They have real capability. The US and UK will have to reach their innovation and adaption. 1/
Hodges: NATO would be better the day the Ukrainian flag is raised in Brussels. Just as we got better when the Swedish and Finnish flags were raised.

Ukraine brings a strong, resilient society, a robust defense industry, and hundreds of thousands of experienced soldiers. 2/
Hodges: Ukrainians have identified a theory of victory: destroy Russia’s oil and gas infrastructure and its ability to export energy to China, India, Turkey, and others.

Long-range precision strikes against key refinery components can change the equation. 3/
Hodges: Rubio's speech at MSC echoed what Vance said earlier, just in a less mean and vulgar tone. The message was the same.

But Europe may begin to stand more on its own. Americans could regret pushing allies away from dependence on the US. 4X
Source:
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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 17
French baker Loïc Nervi bakes bread in Troyeshchyna, Kherson, and Kramatorsk. Locals call him Vitalik.

Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, he has been baking bread for elderly people in frontline and hard-hit areas, writes Hromadske. 1/ Image
He is 43. In France’s Var region, he owns four bakeries and leads a team of 25 people. At home, his wife and two daughters, aged 7 and 9, wait for him. 2/
In March 2022, he went to the Polish-Ukrainian border. Then to Kherson, Sumy, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, Fastiv, and Kramatorsk. This is now his tenth mission to Ukraine. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 17
Ukraine recaptured 201 sq km in just five days last week — the fastest battlefield gains since June 2023.

Starlink shutdown crippled Russia's communications and drone operations across the front — The Guardian. 1/ Image
The ISW confirms Ukrainian counterattacks are "likely leveraging the recent block on Russian forces' access to Starlink, which milbloggers claim is causing communications and command and control issues on the battlefield." 2/
201 sq km recaptured in 5 days is almost equivalent to all Russian gains for the entire month of December. The Starlink shutdown is already reshaping the battlefield in Ukraine's favor. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
Innovation → test → analytics → scale.

This is how the battlefield evolves in Ukraine’s fifth year. This is how a war of endurance works now.

Michael Kofman writes in Foreign Affairs that the war has shifted from maneuver to positional, drone-saturated attrition in 2026. 1/ Image
In February 2022, Russia aimed to seize Kyiv in days. That failed. What began as a rapid assault has become Europe’s largest conventional war since WWII. Advances are now measured in meters. 2/
Since 2023, the war has turned positional. By 2024–2025 it became a contest of adaptation. Every 3–4 months, tactics change.

Drones, electronic warfare, and precision strike now define who holds initiative on the ground. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Feb 17
Former Ukraine PM Arseniy Yatsenyuk: The position of the American administration is to avoid involving the EU in negotiations with Russia on Ukraine.

Zelenskyy performed here to the maximum — everything that could be said and everyone that could be met, he did it. 1/
Yatsenyuk: We have to prepare for the next winter. Russia caused $65B in damage to Ukraine's energy sector.

Without long-range missiles, without Tomahawks, without Ukraine having the ability to retaliate, we will not be able to ensure energy security for the next year. 2/
Yatsenyuk: Starmer's statement is very clear. Even if a peace agreement is signed — Great Britain, the EU, and everyone else must continue funding Ukraine's defense.

He is saying that even if a peace agreement is signed, Russia will continue preparing for the next offensive. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
Ben Shapiro: Russia has never quite entered Europe; it’s existed on the fringes. As Dugin says, “Atlanticist” ideas aren’t Russian ideas.

Integrating Russia into Europe has been a failed experiment. Europe and the U.S. must uphold shared values to sustain their alliance. 1/
Ben Shapiro: The Germans and the French fought for centuries. The French and the English fought for centuries.

The Roman Empire was its own civilization; outlying areas were “barbarians.” After Rome fell rose Christendom, ended by the Reformation and the Peace of Westphalia.

2/
Ben Shapiro: Civilizations define themselves internally and against others. Rome was not only what was under its sway, but in opposition to German, Assyrian, Persian armies.

Christendom was forged in opposition to Islam, which spread deep into Europe, even into France.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
Sanna Marin: We, as Europe, would be fooling ourselves to think there will be peace if Russia wins.

If a bully in a classroom is allowed to take whatever it wants, would we think it would stop? Absolutely not. The war would continue in the future. 1/
Marin: Long-lasting just peace cannot be made on Putin’s terms. I don’t see that Putin has any initiative to even come to the peace negotiation table with a serious mind.

He doesn’t want peace. The only way to stop this war is to support Ukraine. 2/
Marin: Ukraine shown incredible resilience, but they are constantly in a situation where they are begging for things they already need — or needed yesterday.

If we give too little, too late, the war will only continue. We need to support more, regardless of what the US does. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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