Kasra Aarabi (کسری اعرابی) Profile picture
Feb 19 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
There’s growing talk about possible U.S. strikes on the IRGC’s suppressive apparatus—but what would this look like?

Beyond the intel services, there’s almost no detailed public info on the IRGC’s domestic repressive infrastructure

Our research exposes it—for the first time 👇🧵 Image
There are 11 IRGC security-military HQs across Iran’s 31 provinces. They control the IRGC’s provincial guard in the respective provinces they oversee (3 provinces on average). If a “red situation” is declared, these HQs gain full authority over the provinces they control 2/ Image
Since 2007, the IRGC has decentralized its structure via the establishment of its Provincial Guards (PG), which operate under the control of the 11 IRGC security-military HQs. The Tharallah HQ operates as the nerve center of the regime’s repression in Tehran and across Iran. 3/
These PGs serve as military commanders for their respective provinces, overseeing all IRGC & Basij bases within their areas. Tharallah HQ oversees 3 PGs for Tehran & Alborz Province. The IRGC’s Mohammad Rasulullah Corps in Tehran is the most critical & Tehran’s main IRGC force 4/
The Mohammad Rasulullah Corps operates a main staff base on Niayesh Highway in the north of Tehran. Our report identifies 23 IRGC-Basij Regional Bases, each located in one of Tehran’s 22 municipality regions, operating under its command. 5/ Image
These 23 IRGC-Basij Regional Bases—the locations of which are in our report—have been at the forefront of the brutal massacre on the Iranian streets. Think of them as the nerve centres for repression at the operational level. 6/
In the vertical structure, beneath the IRGC-Basij Regional Bases lies the Basij District Bases (howzeh in Farsi). We identify 300 Basij District Bases spread across Tehran city’s 123 municipality districts. 7/
The final layer in the IRGC Mohammad Rasullullah’s vertical structure are the Basij Neighborhood Bases (mahalaat). In total, we identify 3000 Basij neighbourhood bases across Tehran’s 375 neighbourhoods. Many of these neighbourhood bases are mosques. 8/ Image
In addition to all these layers, to control Tehran & manage its security forces, the Tharallah HQ has established 4 operational sub-HQs, dividing Tehran into 4: Quds (northwest Tehran), Nasr (northeast Tehran), Fath (southwest Tehran), & Ghadr (southeast & central Tehran). 9/ Image
For full research co-authored by me and Dr. Saeid Golkar please see link below. Our research is based of primary IRGC material acquired from within the Tharallah HQ and its sub-headquarters in Iran. 👇unitedagainstnucleariran.com/tharallah-head…

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More from @KasraAarabi

Jan 23
How the IRGC suppresses unrest—& blocks regime change in Iran

My new research with @SaeidGolkar uses original material from inside IRGC HQs to expose its real-time suppressive playbook—hidden infrastructure, battalions & operational methods before, during, & after unrest 🧵

unitedagainstnucleariran.com/sites/default/…Image
Since 2007, the IRGC has decentralized its structure via the establishment of its Provincial Guards (PG), which operate under the control of the 11 IRGC security-military HQs. The Tharallah HQ operates as the nerve center of the regime’s repression in Tehran and across Iran. 2/ Image
These PGs serve as military commanders for their respective provinces, overseeing all IRGC & Basij bases within their areas. Tharallah HQ oversees 3 PGs for Tehran & Alborz Province. The IRGC’s Mohammad Rasulullah Corps in Tehran is the most critical & Tehran’s main IRGC force 3/
Read 23 tweets
Dec 23, 2025
Israel must strike Iran’s regime in the next year while Bibi remains in power.

This is the conclusion from the recent conversations I have been having with sources inside Iran including those in the IRGC, the Ayatollah’s ideological army.   

1/ thejc.com/opinion/my-irg…
The Ayatollah and the IRGC fear Bibi more than any other world leader—even more so than Pres Trump. There’s a deep-rooted and inescapable paranoia that exists in the regime’s psyche when it comes to Bibi, something even the Israelis have yet to fully appreciate.

2/
“The kind of attack we witnessed wouldn’t have taken place without Netenyahu,” a source within the IRGC tells me. Rightly or wrongly, there’s a firm belief that the spectacular scale of Israel’s strikes in June simply would not have occurred had Bibi not been in office.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Jul 7, 2025
Why didn’t Iranians rise up during Israel’s war with the regime?🇮🇷🇮🇱

It wasn’t lack of dissent. It was control — a suppressive apparatus embedded in every layer of society.

@SaeidGolkar & I expose the regime’s vast security web silencing Iranians.

What the world missed🧵👇1/
As Israel began to control Iran’s skies, many believed this was a golden moment for an anti-regime uprising. But as the war ended, policymakers & dissidents questioned why Iranians didn’t rise up. The regime’s spun the silence as popular support—but that’s far from the truth. 2/
The real reason lies in the regime’s hidden security measures, activated as soon as Israel’s operations began. Since 2007, the regime has built a vast suppressive network across all levels of Iranian society—largely ignored by foreign powers and the opposition. 3/
Read 21 tweets
Jul 2, 2025
🚨 Iran’s regime is entering its North Korea moment 🇮🇷

After war with Israel, Iran’s regime is turning inward with brutal crackdowns on civilians & purges—and outward with renewed plans for global terror. All while the West looks the other way. Here’s what’s unfolding: 👇

1/ 🧵
Just hours after Israel’s precision strikes on 13 June, fearing a simultaneous domestic uprising, a close confident of the supreme leader who led Friday prayers in Tehran warned about the “enemy’s fifth column” and vowed to confront them.

2/
While all eyes were on the external military conflict, the IRGC– the regime’s ideological paramilitary – would tacitly fully operationalise its internal suppressive apparatus.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Jun 19, 2025
How can Israel maintain the hearts and minds of the Iranian people? 🇮🇱 💚🤍❤️

Based on our discussions with people in Iran since the war began, @SaeidGolkar and I propose a strategy to counter the regime’s propaganda and psychological warfare.

🧵1/
Many Iranians were optimistic and supportive of Israel’s targeted strikes on nuclear sites, scientists and senior IRGC commanders on Friday. This was hardly surprising: the same IRGC has been responsible for detaining and murdering thousands of Iranians civilians. 2/
But as the war now expands across Iran's cities/residential areas, the regime's propaganda machine is going into overdrive in an attempt to convince the population that Israel is indiscriminately targeting Iranian civilians, not the regime. 3/
Read 18 tweets
Apr 19, 2025
Today the U.S. and Islamic Republic of Iran meet for a second round of nuclear talks. 🇮🇷 🇺🇸 ☢️

A lot has been said of Trump’s goals. But what is Ayatollah Khamenei’s game plan?

Quick analysis thread 🧵👇
Khamenei’s entire strategy is aimed at running down the clock to October, when the “snapback mechanism” to reimpose UN sanctions on Tehran expires as part of a clause in the original 2015 Obama Iran nuclear deal. 2/
The expiry of “snapback” would remove the West’s ability to reimpose UN sanctions on Iran’s regime, making it easier for Tehran to acquire a nuclear bomb in the future. When/if snapback expires, it’s highly unlikely the West would ever be able to isolate Tehran via the UN. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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