1/ It's generally been assumed that the Russian government wants to force its soldiers off Telegram and onto the government-approved MAX app. However, it seems that MAX may also be banned for military use, and an unnamed specialised military messenger may be imposed instead. ⬇️
2/ The generally reliable Fighterbomber Telegram channel reports on a possible ban of both MAX and Telegram in the military (referring to "Laos" as a commonly-utilised euphemism for Russia, to evade the censors):
3/ "Sources within the Security Council suggest that, amid the suppression of Telegram by all available means, Lao troops have received orders banning the use and installation of the world's most secure national messenger on devices with advanced multimedia capabilities,…
4/ …which has been repeatedly banned by previous orders.
Very soon, a unique program will be introduced into Laos' arsenal, and it will be possible to send messages and documents using it.
But this is not certain."
5/ This theory is given credence by a curious video published by the propagandist Vladimir Solovyov, showing "a serviceman with the unmanned systems forces in the Special Military Operation, call sign 'Sprut'," talking about his unnamed unit's communications systems.
6/ The video is clearly intended to be a so-called 'anti-crisis' intervention by the Russian Ministry of Defence in an attempt to calm the many soldiers who have expressed alarm and frustration at the government's crippling of a vital communications system.
7/ 'Sprut' explains that his unit doesn't use Telegram, instead relying on a dedicated, secure military messenger:
"We didn't use Telegram; that messenger has foreign servers, so all our correspondence would have been leaked.
8/ "Our homeland provided us with a Russian-developed messenger, a domestic messenger that basically covers all our needs. This includes voice chats, video conferencing, text messaging, file sharing, and file editing.
9/ "Basically, it covers all our needs, and we don't need any foreign stuff. Unit management is carried out exclusively through it, via additional military communications.
10/ "But for the most part, all command and control, as well as communication between service members, is handled through this messenger. It uses encrypted communication channels, the keys are impossible to crack, and it fully meets all our operational requirements."
11/ Other Russian warbloggers express scepticism. 'UAV Developer' comments that "now we're seeing a series of "we don't use Telegram" statements from a number of servicemen in their new, clean uniforms."
12/ "Notice how intimately this soldier knows who has which servers and encryption keys. These aren't some dumb Ukrainians!
We also have plenty of heavy drones, electronic warfare systems, excellent communications, and everyone has enough of everything...
13/ "Is it any wonder Kupyansk has already been captured seven times, and only the President has been informed of its capture twice?"
14/ 'Combat Reserve' asks:
"I have a question: do other military personnel know that we have a secret military messenger?
Who cares about the messenger, but how do you create the Internet around it?
Using fart-powered magic?"
15/ 'Mine Division' points out the problem with Russian 'military messengers':
"ONCE AGAIN. Specialised, highly secure messengers have been in use for over 10 years (I've used them myself), and rightly so!"
16/ "The problem is that they create problems interacting with those who don't have them.
And this is precisely the key reason why even "long-time users of special messengers" use Telegram."
17/ 'When the cannons start singing' observes sarcastically: "While the old-timers, reading the internet from printed A4 sheets, are finishing off the cart and doing everything they can to roll back the IT industry by two decades (to the days of the Pentium 4) or more,…
18/ …I contacted a friend who's still devising ingenious methods to circumvent restrictions in the Special Military Operation zone where he resides, because thanks to our old-timers, everything went to hell for him and his unit-mates.
19/ "He's very grateful; at least he doesn't get calls from scammers anymore. That's more important." /end
1/ Goldman Sachs analysts report that the biggest oil crisis in history is about to hit globally, with profound and highly destructive consequences. A new report asks ""Are We Running Out of Oil?", and concludes that the answer is yes. ⬇️
2/ Goldman reports that average daily flows of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen by 94% from their pre-war levels.
3/ This has led to a 63% collapse in the flow of oil and its refined products from the Middle East. Exports are down from 7.4 million to 2.8 million barrels per day of oil, 39% of which is flowing via a pipeline to Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports.
1/ A shortage of drones reportedly means that Russian drone pilots often don't attack Ukrainian vehicles again after disabling them. This, says a serving Russian soldier, means that the Ukrainians are frequently able to retrieve disabled vehicles. ⬇️
2/ Russian forces in Ukraine have been complaining for a long time that they lack drones, with those provided by the Russian MOD being few and often of poor quality.
3/ Instead, they often have to rely on voluntary donations and unofficial drone production by the so-called 'people's military-industrial complex' – an ecosystem of enthusiasts and ex-military personnel who make or import drones for military use.
1/ News of the destruction of yet another US aircraft on the ground is being met with incredulity by Russian Air Force pilots. They ask if the United States has learned nothing from Russia's own very costly experiences. ⬇️
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel run by a group of Russian military helicopter pilots, expresses astonishment at pictures published overnight of a US CH-47 Chinook helicopter that was destroyed on the ground in Kuwait.
3/ "I look at this photo and realize that the Americans, with all their budgets and all, haven't studied or systematized our experience in any way.
1/ Russian army commanders are reportedly refusing to allow stored ZSU-23-4 Shilkas mobile anti-aircraft guns to be refurbished and put back into service, despite Russia's desperate need for more defences against Ukraine's increasingly large-scale drone strikes. ⬇️
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel written by three Russian Aerospace Force pilots, writes:
"I was talking to some guys from one of the repair battalions the other day."
3/ "They were showing us what Category 5 [the lowest condition] equipment they're getting off its knees with their own resources.
BMPs [armoured personnel carriers], BTS [armoured recovery tractors], and so on.
1/ Russia has "shot itself in the dick" with its block on Telegram, according to a scathing commentary. A Russian warblogger notes that pro-Kremlin propagandists have seen huge falls in views of their Telegram channels, but not dissident and pro-Ukraine channels. ⬇️
2/ Komsomolskaya Pravda journalist Dmitry Steshin calls it "a day of celebration for foreign agents, as the audience for pro-Russian channels on Telegram has plummeted."
3/ "Margarita Simonyan saw a 52.3% drop, while propagandist Alexander Sladkov saw a 49.4% drop. Views for ‘RT in Russian’ fell by 42%, whilst those for propagandists Vladimir Solovyov and Pavel Zarubin fell by 47.2% and 42.7% respectively.
1/ In a further sign of an economic slump in Russia, the giant vehicle manufacturer AvtoVAZ will shut down production entirely for 17 days due to falling demand and overcrowded warehouses. Its vehicles aren't selling and storage facilities are overflowing. ⬇️
2/ The Russian news outlet Mash reports that AvtoVAZ will shut down its assembly lines for almost the entire period from 27 April to 17 May, with the workforce sent on mandatory leave.
3/ Workers will be sent to do maintenance work between 27-30 April, 12-13 May will be covered by a postponement of vacation days from December, and staff will be paid at two-thirds their normal salary on 14-15 May.