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Feb 25 19 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ Russians who have never served in the Russian army and have never signed a military contract are nonetheless being rounded up as deserters and sent to their deaths in assault squads. It's the result of an ongoing and still unresolved bureaucratic blunder by Russia's MOD. ⬇️ Image
2/ During the war in Donbas, between 2014 and the full-scale Russian invasion of February 2022, thousands of Russian nationalists volunteered to fight for the militias of the Luhansk and Donetsk 'People's Republics'. Many were subsequently discharged.
3/ In December 2022, Russia formally incorporated the Luhansk and Donetsk militias into the Russian Army as part of the annexation of both 'People's Republics'. All current and former members of the militias were reclassified as soldiers of the Russian army.
4/ However, as warblogger Vladislav Zizdok explains, this left many in a "legal trap":
5/ "The essence of the legal trap is that after the start of the Special Military Operation Military Operation, that is, even under the previous Minister of Defence Sergei Shoigu, the DPR and LPR officially became part of Russia, and their armed forces became part of…
6/ …the Russian Armed Forces. At the same time, no new contracts were signed with former militia members—for some reason, it was assumed by default that all the duties of Russian military personnel automatically extended to them.
7/ "However, there was no automatic transfer of rights, payments, and privileges. If anything were to happen, these people would be left alone to deal with their problems."
8/ In practice, this means that legally granted discharges from the LPR and DPR – even for badly wounded men – are no longer being recognised. Soldiers who had been discharged under the L/DPR's regulations are now being treated as deserters from the Russian Army.
10/ A large part of the problem is that the mobilisation and recruitment processes in the L/DPR were chaotic and poorly organised in the first place, with correspondingly poor documentation and adherence to consistent policies:
11/ "First there was chaos with mobilisation in the L/DPR — arbitrariness, lawlessness, and massive consequences. Then there was chaos with mobilisation in Russia itself, when wild, confused conscripts were roaming around the L/DPR not knowing where to attach themselves.
12/ "Everything went in a chain: chaos → arbitrariness → absence of clear procedures for processing and record-keeping → worsening chaos and outright abuse → an attempt to bring it all to a “common denominator,” but not by actually resolving the situation — …
13/ …instead at the expense of disenfranchised mobilised soldiers / volunteers / AWOL servicemen → after which come the lectures about legal norms, while somehow “forgetting” that previously, at the foundational level and in practice, legal norms weren’t just violated —…
14/ …they simply didn’t exist.

And to this day, the state still does not create clear, understandable, workable mechanisms to resolve “Problem-500.” "
15/ Appeals to the authorities have been of little use and there are few mechanisms for preventing former volunteers from being forcibly detained and sent back to fight. They are treated as deserters, for which the usual punishment is to be sent to die in an assault squad.
16/ 'Soldiers' Truth' highlights the case of Alexander Sergeyevich Cheprasov, call sign 'Bryansk', who is pictured at the top of this thread. A discharged former volunteer for the Donbas militias, he was arrested at the start of January 2026 as a deserter.
17/ He was taken to a holding place for deserters in Kazan despite explaining that he had "no connection to the Russian Ministry of Defence, was not mobilised because he was not eligible for mobilisation, had not served in the army, had not signed a contract with anyone,…
18/ …and was the guardian of a disabled person (his father, who is completely blind)."

Cheprasov was refused permission to meet with an investigator but was promised that "everything would be sorted out".
19/ Instead, on the night of 3 January 2026, he and others were loaded onto buses and taken to Millerovo in the Rostov region. The channel reports that Cheprasov is now listed as missing in action. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Apr 5
1/ Goldman Sachs analysts report that the biggest oil crisis in history is about to hit globally, with profound and highly destructive consequences. A new report asks ""Are We Running Out of Oil?", and concludes that the answer is yes. ⬇️ Image
2/ Goldman reports that average daily flows of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen by 94% from their pre-war levels. Image
3/ This has led to a 63% collapse in the flow of oil and its refined products from the Middle East. Exports are down from 7.4 million to 2.8 million barrels per day of oil, 39% of which is flowing via a pipeline to Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports.
Read 23 tweets
Apr 4
1/ A shortage of drones reportedly means that Russian drone pilots often don't attack Ukrainian vehicles again after disabling them. This, says a serving Russian soldier, means that the Ukrainians are frequently able to retrieve disabled vehicles. ⬇️
2/ Russian forces in Ukraine have been complaining for a long time that they lack drones, with those provided by the Russian MOD being few and often of poor quality.
3/ Instead, they often have to rely on voluntary donations and unofficial drone production by the so-called 'people's military-industrial complex' – an ecosystem of enthusiasts and ex-military personnel who make or import drones for military use.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
1/ News of the destruction of yet another US aircraft on the ground is being met with incredulity by Russian Air Force pilots. They ask if the United States has learned nothing from Russia's own very costly experiences. ⬇️
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel run by a group of Russian military helicopter pilots, expresses astonishment at pictures published overnight of a US CH-47 Chinook helicopter that was destroyed on the ground in Kuwait.
3/ "I look at this photo and realize that the Americans, with all their budgets and all, haven't studied or systematized our experience in any way.

Grandfathers, they're grandfathers everywhere, apparently...
Read 4 tweets
Apr 4
1/ Russian army commanders are reportedly refusing to allow stored ZSU-23-4 Shilkas mobile anti-aircraft guns to be refurbished and put back into service, despite Russia's desperate need for more defences against Ukraine's increasingly large-scale drone strikes. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel written by three Russian Aerospace Force pilots, writes:

"I was talking to some guys from one of the repair battalions the other day."
3/ "They were showing us what Category 5 [the lowest condition] equipment they're getting off its knees with their own resources.

BMPs [armoured personnel carriers], BTS [armoured recovery tractors], and so on.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 3
1/ Russia has "shot itself in the dick" with its block on Telegram, according to a scathing commentary. A Russian warblogger notes that pro-Kremlin propagandists have seen huge falls in views of their Telegram channels, but not dissident and pro-Ukraine channels. ⬇️ Image
2/ Komsomolskaya Pravda journalist Dmitry Steshin calls it "a day of celebration for foreign agents, as the audience for pro-Russian channels on Telegram has plummeted."
3/ "Margarita Simonyan saw a 52.3% drop, while propagandist Alexander Sladkov saw a 49.4% drop. Views for ‘RT in Russian’ fell by 42%, whilst those for propagandists Vladimir Solovyov and Pavel Zarubin fell by 47.2% and 42.7% respectively.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 3
1/ In a further sign of an economic slump in Russia, the giant vehicle manufacturer AvtoVAZ will shut down production entirely for 17 days due to falling demand and overcrowded warehouses. Its vehicles aren't selling and storage facilities are overflowing. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Russian news outlet Mash reports that AvtoVAZ will shut down its assembly lines for almost the entire period from 27 April to 17 May, with the workforce sent on mandatory leave.
3/ Workers will be sent to do maintenance work between 27-30 April, 12-13 May will be covered by a postponement of vacation days from December, and staff will be paid at two-thirds their normal salary on 14-15 May.
Read 5 tweets

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