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Feb 26 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/ Former Russian foreign ministry spokesman Mikhail Demurin is very gloomy about Russia's prospects after four years of full-scale war in Ukraine. He criticises the country's "feudal-capitalist regime of revenge" and asks whether Vladimir Putin will "lead it to its decline". ⬇️ Image
2/ Writing on his Telegram channel, Demurin – whose views reflect an ultra-nationalist constituency that has been disappointed by Putin's perceived lacklustre approach to the war – is explicitly critical of Putin's leadership:
3/ "On the fourth anniversary of the launch of the Special Military Operation, I have nothing inspiring to say. The reshaping of Ukraine along Nazi and anti-Russian lines, its militarisation, and the NATO takeover of its territory and political space required a rebuff—that's…
4/ …understandable. It's also clear that the strong positions—military, domestic, and international—from which to begin were absent in 2022. Besides, it was already too late to create them. This should have been addressed at least ten years earlier.
5/ "And the task of preventing a pro-NATO reshaping of Ukraine, and thus preventing war, should have been addressed twenty years earlier.
6/ "Many, including myself, nevertheless hoped back then that, due to its positive cultural, historical, and anti-fascist implications, the SMO would stimulate positive change not only in our country's international standing but also within Russia itself.
7/ "It was an ill-founded hope, but it existed. The feudal-capitalist regime of revenge, however, has, over the past four years, only confirmed its inherent futility and inability to lead our country forward.
8/ "We will see in the near future to what extent it will pay for its worthless policies with our state sovereignty and national natural and economic wealth.
9/ "This regime itself understands what kind of reaction it already is and what the public will react to what is happening, and therefore it tightens the political and informational screws. It does this thoughtlessly, worsening our overall situation.
10/ "I have been particularly sceptical of it since the spring of 2005, when the Baltics were finally surrendered to NATO. "But then came the Munich speech!" someone will say.
11/ "It was all talk, words, but in reality, in the following years, Russia has largely retreated on the international stage and in its internal development. Had it not retreated, our situation today would be different.
12/ "Having said all that, I still believe that Vladimir Putin doesn't want to go down in Russian history as a leader who had the opportunity to lift the country but instead led it to its decline. But does he still have the capacity?"

Source:
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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Feb 26
1/ Russia launched the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 with the expectation that it would be a quick intervention lasting only a few weeks. Its soldiers went to war lacking a wide range of what turned out to be essential skills. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Vault No. 8', a serving Russian soldier warblogging on Telegram, recalls the lack of preparedness for an extended conflict among pre-war contract (professional) soldiers when the invasion was launched on 24 February 2022:
3/ "1. Level of training.

According to the regular personnel themselves, they were proficient with the weapons and equipment assigned to them—they could repair and operate them. At the level of training they had.
Read 21 tweets
Feb 26
1/ Russia appears all but certain to fully block Telegram on 1 April 2026, on the grounds that it promotes frauds, disinformation, and violence. The Russian army has many similar problems; one Russian warblogger asks if the government should consider blocking the army instead. ⬇️ Image
2/ Svatoslav Golikov writes:

"In the light of Roskomnadzor's latest attack on Telegram, it's time to explore some new ideas.

Let me remind you of a recent TASS report (I quote):

"Telegram blocked over 235,000 channels in one day, but the problem is systemic.
3/ "Deputy Anton Nemkin expressed this opinion in a conversation with TASS:

'But let's call things by their proper names: if the number of blocked communities is in the millions, then the problem is not isolated, but systemic.'
Read 12 tweets
Feb 26
1/ The AI boom is leading to drastically higher prices and possible shortages of the Chinese-made fibre-optic cables used by many Russian kamikaze drones. Prices have nearly quadrupled due to a massive increase in demand for fibre optics by data centres. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to Russian media reports, Russian buyers are having to pay between 2.5 to 4 times more for fibre optic cable per kilometre than last year. By 2025, Russia was purchasing about 10.5% of all fibre optic cable produced globally – equivalent to 60 million kilometres.
3/ Russia is entirely dependent on Chinese fibre optic manufacturers. Its only domestic fibre optic manufacturer, JSC Optic Fiber Systems in Saransk, was destroyed by Ukrainian drone strikes in April-May 2025.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
1/ Russian warbloggers continue to reflect on the war in Ukraine entering its fifth year. The 'hurrah-patriotism' of 2022 is now long gone and the mood is bleak. Nikita Tretyakov says there is "nothing left to hope for; all hopes and illusions have been shattered". ⬇️ Image
2/ In comments that illustrate the political dangers which the Putin regime will face when the war ends, Tretyakov – a mobilised paratrooper, military correspondent, and volunteer – writes on his Telegram channel: Image
3/ "Four years of war is a monstrously long and daunting time. As culture and history have taught us, such an anniversary demands some analysis, conclusions, and a summing up of interim results...
Read 17 tweets
Feb 25
1/ Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin is marking the fourth anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine – after eight years of war in Donbas, which he did much to start – but he isn't celebrating. He sees a "bleak" outlook of mutual exhaustion, caused by poor leadership. ⬇️ Image
2/ Girkin writes from the prison where he is now half-way through a sentence for "inciting extremism" (i.e. criticising the Russian government's mismanagement of the war):
3/ "Today officially marks the fourth anniversary of the start of the Special Military Operation (although according to some sources, it began two days earlier, but was announced to begin on 24 February 2022).

We arrived at this significant date with extremely negative results.
Read 18 tweets
Feb 25
1/ Russians who have never served in the Russian army and have never signed a military contract are nonetheless being rounded up as deserters and sent to their deaths in assault squads. It's the result of an ongoing and still unresolved bureaucratic blunder by Russia's MOD. ⬇️ Image
2/ During the war in Donbas, between 2014 and the full-scale Russian invasion of February 2022, thousands of Russian nationalists volunteered to fight for the militias of the Luhansk and Donetsk 'People's Republics'. Many were subsequently discharged.
3/ In December 2022, Russia formally incorporated the Luhansk and Donetsk militias into the Russian Army as part of the annexation of both 'People's Republics'. All current and former members of the militias were reclassified as soldiers of the Russian army.
Read 19 tweets

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