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History buffs: the White House hosted a fascinating call yesterday with 3 administration officials who gave a rare behind-the-scenes glimpse into the Iran talks & why Trump ordered strikes hours earlier
It’s a first draft of history, so follow 🧵 👇
Post 1/10
2/10
First: shameless plug for the story @BarakRavid & I did for @axios that was partly based on this briefing (as did others)
Our story also relied on other insiders who laid out for us the parallel tracks Trump pursued before attacking Iran
3/10 In keeping with common practice, all the officials spoke on background to the news media
Here, senior Official 1 laid out the case for why Iran is/was a threat and how the U.S. believed Iran was planning to strike first
4/10 Official 1 said Trump ultimately had “no choice” and that Iran’s ballistic missile program was too much of a threat to US bases and allies in the region
5/10 Official 2 said Iran refused to address terrorist “proxies”
The US, the official said, was “very blunt” in talks with Iran, which was “very very weak” from
✅protests it brutally suppressed
✅a bad economy
✅the damage from last year’s U.S.-Israel bombing campaign
6/10 Official 2 said Trump sent the military to the region to show how serious he was, but Iran was not negotiating in good faith
Specifically, the official said, Iran rebuffed an offer of free nuclear fuel from the U.S. because Iran wanted to enrich uranium for military uses
7/10 Official 3 said US intelligence showed how Iran was rebuilding its nuclear program after the Midnight Hammer strikes —and how Iran’s own plan showed it sought “enrichment capability that was roughly five times more” than needed for civilian use
8/10 Official 3 said the IR-6 centrifuges Iran was making showed its commitment to enriching uranium
And, the person said, the Tehran Research Reactor (which wasn’t hit in June) was part of a program “designed to deceive” the outside world re: Iran’s nuclear weapons program
9/10 Official 2 closed by summing up the mindset of the Trump White House:
“one of the rules of deal-making is that you have to know very quickly if there's a deal to do or not … [but the US] was met with games, tricks, stall-tactics”
10/10 These are unrebutted statements shared here to show how Trump’s braintrust thought about the Iran talks & justify military action
It’s shared as a 1st draft of history that people should know
Future reporting will either support or refute it in whole or in part
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Saudi Crown Prince MBS on Tuesday downplayed the kingdom's role in 9/11 attacks. But a major lawsuit —and a recent judge’s ruling— implicates the kingdom
2/6 The lawyers dug up a major document from Omar al Bayoumi —on Saudi’s payroll as he helped 2 terrorists— who drew a sketch of an airplane & calculations that could help a hijacker fly into the World Trade Center
Inside the Gaetz pitch to Senators: "I’m not going to go there and indict Liz Cheney, have storm troopers bust through the studio door at MSNBC, and arrest Anthony Fauci"
3/10
Re the federal & House investigations, Gaetz allies are pushing back on the credibility of the accuser & her friend KM who claimed to see Gaetz have sex w/the 17 y/o in 2017
Harris has raised enough money to burn a wet dog so it’s easy to see her plowing a few million on TV in Florida to juice poll numbers & see if team Trump bites
Had Biden made real ground/organizing investments since 2020, she’d have a good chance in FL
2/4 Harris lead of 14pts in Miami-Dade is certainly believable & for dispirited Democrats who suffered through the Biden Era’s neglect of the state, it’s encouraging
But Trump won Florida by 1.2 in 2016 when he lost Dade by almost 30. He lost Dade by 7.3 in 2020 & won FL by 3.3
3/4 Polls have Trump up about 7 in FL. Republicans who know the state admit Harris is way tougher than Biden. They were looking at a double digit Trump win in FL w/Joe
Now it’s looking like single digits
It’s unlikely FL becomes in play this circle. But unlikely ≠ impossible
3/4 Yesterday, Shapiro also disavowed the part of the oped where he wrote in opposition of a two-state solution (he has supported it for years, he said)