Walter Scheidel's thesis in his new book, The
Great Leveller: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the 21st Century, is that only violent events have significantly lessened inequality.
"For thousands of years, civilisation did not lend itself to peaceful equalisation. Across a wide range of societies anddifferent levels of development, stability favoured economic inequality. This was as true of Pharaonic Egypt as itwas of Victorian England,
...as true of the Roman Empire as of the United States. Violent shocks were of paramount importance in disrupting the established order, in compressing the distribution of income and wealth, in narrowing the gap between rich and poor.
Throughout recorded history, the most powerful levelling invariably resulted from the most powerful shocks. Four different kinds of violent ruptures have flattened inequality: mass mobilisation warfare,
transformative revolution, state failure, and lethal pandemics."
...
The idea that past is prologue; that history repeats itself, is a popular notion, but one that is too simplistic to be believed in and of itself. There are reasons that give rise to the phenomena of repeating patterns of history not to be dismissed.researchonline.lse.ac.uk/.../democratic…
Nicolai Kondratiev did not theorize the reality behind long waves of economic activity lasting between forty-five and sixty years that he observed in capitalist countries, although while serving his eight year prison sentence by the Bolsheviks, he continued his research.
In a letter to his wife near the end of his sentence he claimed to have worked out a two-factor model that explained the long wave. What it is, I'm not sure if anyone knows. Upon his release he was taken to the Moscow jail courtyard and shot to death.
An observation that he did make in his 1927 paper was that during the downside of the long wave, military conflicts tended to be regional in nature.
It was at the beginning of the new long wave that the propensity for global conflict was greatest as major powers competed for resources and new markets.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The claim from Canadian Conservatives that anthropogenic (man made) climate change is a false hypothesis is not acceptable. It never was.
The idea that the development of oil and gas resources can be continued without consideration of the threat that global warming poses to our immediate communities and the planet at large, is just wrong in every respect.
There is no debate about it. Up to the American Civil War, many Northerners were willing to abide the institution of slavery so as not to disrupt the economy. It wasn't until it became an overwhelming matter of personal conscience that it was eliminated.
The dividing lines in the next election will be clear and will be around issues of Canada's sovereignty. The Conservatives are relentlessly anti-China.
Poilievere seeks to reestablish trade relations with the U.S. by capitulating to Trump's whims. He's already said that he will tariff Chinese EVs at 100%. Trump hates Canada's supply management of the dairy industry and that will be the next to go in Poilievre's platform.
We are in an historical pivot point brought about (largely) by a fracturing of institutions and their supporting systems, like global trade. We were there at the end of WWII.
The latest salvo from the Conservatives is that Liberals are moral hypocrites for not acknowledging what they claim is a Chinese genocide against the Uyghurs of the Xinjiang Autonomous Region. This is the lay of the land:
There are approximately 11.77 million Uyghurs in China, with the majority living in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. Uyghurs constitute roughly 44.96% of Xinjiang's population, making them one of the largest ethnic groups in the region, closely followed by the Han Chinese.
Conservatives cite the American proscription on the importation of goods made with forced labour which they say accounts for about 10% of the aluminum produced in China.
Canada and Australia used to be on par economically. That changed around 2010 when Australia started making hay with their trade with China.
Canadian Conservatives have fully bought into American anti-China dogma. It was a trap we fell into when in his first term, Trump took Huawei's CFO Meng Wanzhou hostage. Trudeau's Liberal government rolled over for the U.S. extradition request and arrested her in Vancouver.
I remember at the time retired members of Canada's diplomatic corp recommending that ministerial prerogative be exercised to release her. They saw through the sham and ultimately the American DOJ did not prosecute her. It ruined our trade relations with China.
Canada and Australia used to be on par economically. That changed around 2010 when Australia started making hay with their trade with China.
Canadian Conservatives have fully bought into American anti-China dogma. It was a trap we fell into when in his first term, Trump took Huawei's CFO Meng Wanzhou hostage. Trudeau's Liberal government rolled over for the U.S. extradition request and arrested her in Vancouver.
I remember at the time retired members of Canada's diplomatic corp recommending that ministerial prerogative be exercised to release her. They saw through the sham and ultimately the American DOJ did not prosecute her. It ruined our trade relations with China.
Gotta say that having an instant AI summary's gives one the opportunity to assess whether doing the heavy reading of original texts is worth the effort. The question is always, "Why".
It segues well into Walter Benjamin's observations of the rise of fascism in Germany in the early 20th century.
"Benjamin said that fascism tends towards an aestheticization of politics, in the sense of a spectacle in which it allows the masses to express themselves without seeing their rights recognized,