DataRepublican (small r) Profile picture
Mar 10 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
. @PunchbowlNews would you like to comment on this business model I've reversed engineered of how you keep @LeaderJohnThune in line? Image
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderJohnThune Punchbowl, would you also like to comment on how virtually every major sponsor of yours has donated to John Thune for a total of 1.2 million?

@AndrewDesiderio , any comments? Image
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderJohnThune @AndrewDesiderio By the way ... the only people who are sponsoring me on this are my $3/month subscribers. I don't know any heavy hitter here who's been approached to go against SAVE America Act.

John Thune is your paid influencer.

This is the mother of all projections.
Let's go through Thune's handlers, shall we? The crossover Punchbowl sponsors who also donated to Thune.

Goldman Sachs, $150,000 to Thune:
Top financial-sector H-1B user. Relies on foreign talent pipeline for trading, quant, and tech roles. Primary stake: filibuster preservation blocks financial regulation reform. A stricter enforcement ecosystem threatens their workforce model and signals a broader documentation-verification environment they oppose.
Comcast/NBCUniversal, $120,000 to Thune:
Major H-1B user for engineering and tech. Owns MSNBC, the cable network that platforms @AndrewDesiderio himself to amplify Thune's framing nationally. Comcast's cable/infrastructure workforce includes significant numbers of undocumented- adjacent workers. Unique dual stake: financial interest in immigration permissiveness AND editorial interest in maintaining the access journalism model.
Chevron, $111,000 to Thune:
Uses H-1B visas for petroleum engineers and technical staff. Refinery and pipeline operations rely on immigrant labor at lower skill tiers. Stake in SAVE Act specifically is moderate — primary lobbying focus is energy regulation — but benefits structurally from filibuster preservation that slows all enforcement legislation.
Merck, $100,000 to Thune:
Top pharma H-1B employer. Approximately 30% of US pharmaceutical researchers are foreign-born on work visas. Merck has actively lobbied for STEM immigration expansion. PhRMA member — same filibuster-dependency rationale: drug pricing reform dies at 60 votes. A tighter identity-verification enforcement environment would disrupt their researcher pipeline.
Wells Fargo, $90,000 to Thune:
Banks undocumented immigrants via ITIN (Individual Taxpayer Identification Number) accounts — a significant revenue stream. Wells Fargo has an active ITIN mortgage lending program that extends home loans to non-citizens without Social Security Numbers. Strict ID verification norms that SAVE Act signals would threaten this customer base. Also a major H-1B employer for technology roles.
American Express, $75,000 to Thune:
H-1B user for technology and data science roles. Provides financial services to international travelers and non-citizen customers. Opposes documentation requirements that reduce the size of their serviceable customer base. A confirmed Punchbowl event attendee (Brett Loper, Govt Affairs) and consistent Thune donor.
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderJohnThune @AndrewDesiderio Google/Alphabet, $75,000 to Thune:
Among the largest H-1B sponsors in the United States annually. Lobbied against mandatory E-Verify. Employees donated heavily to FWD . us (the Zuckerberg-founded pro-immigration lobbying coalition). Google supported DACA protections.
Meta/Facebook, $72,500 to Thune:
Zuckerberg co-founded FWD . us in 2013 — the most prominent pro-immigration corporate lobbying coalition in Washington. Meta subject of a reinstated federal lawsuit (2024) for systematically preferring foreign workers over US citizens in job postings. Spent $935K+ funding American Edge Project newsletter ads on Punchbowl, Axios, and Politico while lobbying against tech regulation.

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More from @DataRepublican

Mar 10
. @DOGE_GSA FYI, seems like our taxpayer money pays for Punchbowl News subscriptions? Image
@DOGE_GSA Punchbowl News ads brag about 65,000 weekly impressions. That is laughably low.

That also means: they literally launder access between corporations and Congress / other policymakers. Image
@DOGE_GSA What does it cost to place an ad in their newsletter? A mere $210,000 !

To show how ridiculous this is ... the "Promote" button right here on X says I can achieve 75,000 impressions for $500.

This is access laundering. Plain and simple. Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
I'd been looking at PAC contributions when I should have been looking at the people who actually have daily access to the Capitol - the media. The true lobbyists.

Punchbowl News represents a whole lot of powerful industries and they are unflinching admirers of Senate Majority Leader John Thune.

John Thune is the "paid influencer ecosystem." 𝕏 merely exposed how that machinery works in the Senate.

Just look at the posts of @AndrewDesiderio , their senior Senate "correspondent." Almost every single one is about defeating the SAVE America Act and praising Thune.

Punchbowl isn't shy about where their money comes from. Founder Jack Sherman himself admitted that 90% of Punchbowl's revenue is from "corporate sponsorships." They made 10 million dollars in revenue their first year... what kind of "journalist" company pulls that off?

The podcast featuring them outright describes their business model as getting their money from "sponsorships bought by trade groups and companies looking to get their public affairs messaging in front of those making and influencing policy."

Punchbowl got in ethical hot water when they treated a whole bunch of lobbyists to luxury box seats at a NFL game.

If you want to know why SAVE America Act is being slow-walked...

Start with @PunchbowlNews .Image
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. @AndrewDesiderio do you want to share which of your employer's clients are against the SAVE America Act, or should I figure it out myself? Image
Thune access timeline documented: Five distinct confirmed Punchbowl-Thune interactions between Sept. 2025 and March 2026, including two Fly Out Day appearances. Punchbowl's Feb. 26, 2026 piece declaring the "talking filibuster dead" was the key conventional wisdom-setting event, published before Trump's March 9 ultimatum, using Thune's framing and characterizing SAVE Act supporters as a caucus "tearing itself apart."
Read 8 tweets
Mar 9
🛰️ New Article: Building an OSINT Pipeline to Cut Through the Iranian Conflict Noise.

SPOILER ALERT: We're winning.

I just published a long-form analysis on the Iran conflict and the strategic dynamics around it. Sorry for the Substack-only publication; the article itself was far too long and complex in formatting to publish with 𝕏 tooling. (Feedback to the 𝕏 team - if you can just make full Markdown capability, I would be thrilled.)

Before anything else: I'm only a civilian data analyst, not a military officer or intelligence professional. This piece is the result of two weeks of intensive work where I did something unusual.... I built and experimented with an AI-assisted OSINT synthesis pipeline using military doctrine, think tank research, and public reporting.

Part of the goal was to produce something useful for readers.

But honestly, the bigger goal was education for myself, forcing a structured process to sort signal from noise in an information environment that's chaotic right now.

The pipeline pulls from sources like CSIS, ISW, CEPA, ISIS nuclear reporting, CENTCOM and IDF briefings, plus open-source economic and energy data. Where I step beyond what those sources explicitly state, I mark it clearly as [ASSESSED] and try to show the reasoning.

This article is the first full output of that process.

If you have expertise in:
🔹 air campaign planning
🔹 nuclear nonproliferation
🔹 Middle East security policy
🔹 energy markets
🔹 OSINT methodology

I would genuinely welcome corrections, critiques, or improvements. The entire point is to make the analytical process more rigorous over time.

The pipeline itself will keep evolving. Bring on the rotten tomatoes.

Link in next post 👇
Have fun spotting the Tom Nichols mention!
Read 4 tweets
Feb 27
🧵WOLF IN SHEEP'S CLOTHING: Meet David Pascoe, candidate for SC Attorney General. He's running as a Republican. But is he actually a Democrat?

Joe Biden is in South Carolina today.

Which makes this the perfect moment to introduce you to David Pascoe, candidate for SC Attorney General, running as a Republican, and what he said about Joe Biden in January 2020:

"He is the most decent man I have ever met in American politics. Joe has been a role model of mine for many years. He is someone my sons look up to. Joe is the first and only candidate I have ever endorsed for public office."

That's not only a Democrat who voted for Biden. That's a Democrat who hosted Biden's campaign fundraiser at his own annual oyster roast, endorsed him for president, and was Biden's frontrunner to become US Attorney for South Carolina.

David Pascoe spent 20+ years as an elected Democrat, 6 consecutive terms as SC First Circuit Solicitor. He pushed DEI-style racial quota systems for SC judges as recently as December 2023. Six months before his "conversion," he endorsed a Democratic state rep who voted against banning gender procedures on minors.

And here are the receipts. 👇

As always, patience as I pull together this thread.Image
David Pascoe spent 20+ years as an elected Democrat, 6 consecutive terms as SC First Circuit Solicitor. On April 10, 2025, he switched to the GOP. SC Dem Chair Christale Spain says he "has been trying to find a lane to run for higher office." Image
Image
Pascoe switched parties in April 2025.
Pascoe launched his AG campaign in August 2025.
That's 4 months, in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide race since 2006.
You do the math. Image
Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 27
If you're a subscriber, enter your oppo research request below! I haven't scaled it out yet, so can only do about 3 a day. It also helps if you pair a name with a focus (e.g., investigate connections to so-and-so entity)

I'll prioritize the requests with highest likes.
John Thune report here, next up is Gavin Newsom and Tina Kotek:
drive.google.com/file/d/1RURJvF…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
🧵 THREAD: The JB Pritzker Files

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker is positioning himself as the Democratic hero of 2028.

But before the national press crowns him, let's look at what he's built.

As always, patience as I pull the thread together. 👇 Image
Image
In 2008, FBI wiretaps caught JB Pritzker on the phone multiple times trading political appointment strategies. Image
On tape, Pritzker advises on who should fill Barack Obama's vacated Senate seat:

"The only reason to do it is if he'll appoint you to something." Image
Read 31 tweets

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