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Mar 11 18 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ Vladimir Putin is said to be concerned about a possible coup by the Russian military following the arrest of former First Deputy Defence Minister Ruslan Tsalikov. Mobile Internet in the centre of Moscow has been turned off for the past week, with no official explanation. ⬇️ Image
2/ Tsalikov's arrest last week was the culmination of a long-running corruption investigation (see thread below). Investigators have reportedly found that the former minister and his family had amassed property worth over 4 billion rubles.
3/ Tsalikov is a close friend and ally of former Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu, who was sacked in 2024 after numerous allegations of corruption and mishandling of the war in Ukraine. Shoigu has a long history as a close ally of Putin, but has since fallen out of favour. Image
4/ Since 5 March 2026, a mysterious shutdown of Internet access in central Moscow has plagued the city's inhabitants. Only certain whitelisted websites are accessible, and restrictions have also affected Wi-Fi in the metro.
5/ Russian mobile network operators insist that they're not the cause of the problem. VimpelCom says it's "due to external restrictions", while T2 says the restrictions are "not on the operator's side". This seems to make it clear that they have been imposed by the government.
6/ There has been no explanation from the Russian government of why the restrictions – which it has not acknowledged – are in place, nor why they have lasted so long. Restrictions have occasionally been imposed during Ukrainian drone attacks, but there have been none recently.
7/ However, the Russian outlet VChK-OGPU says that according to a source they are linked to Tsalikov's arrest: "The restrictions on mobile phone service and internet access in central Moscow and some districts of Moscow suspiciously coincided with the start of investigative…
8/ …actions against Shoigu himself and those closest to him. The attempt to imprison former Defense Minister Tsalikov, a close friend and associate, in Lefortovo was accompanied by some kind of mad scramble at the top. And it ended with Tsalikov never being sent to Lefortovo.
9/ "It was limited to charges and house arrest. The only person next in line after Tsalikov could be Shoigu himself. And he retains considerable influence, both in the highest echelons of power and in the security services and the Ministry of Defence.
10/ "By a 'strange coincidence,' the Lubyanka, the Presidential Administration, the Security Council, Moscow-City, and several Defense Ministry and FSB departments, as well as the locations of Alpha and Vympel security forces…
11/ …and the operational staff of the FSB's Constitutional Order Service, and the residences of security service representatives, were affected by the poor cellular, internet, and VPN service.
12/ "It's impossible to completely cut off cellular service in Moscow, as the entire infrastructure of housing and communal services and other operational services in the capital rely on cellular data.
13/ "Therefore, such restrictions could only be caused by very serious reasons, given that no serious UAV attacks on Moscow were observed during these days."
14/ VChK-OGPU also reports that Putin has not visited any military command posts so far this year, in marked contrast to his frequent visits last year. A source sees another link to a possible security threat:
15/ "This isn't just a conspiracy theory; the Kremlin is genuinely afraid of certain events, and they're not related to Ukraine, but to internal processes in Russia.
16/ "I don't know if they're afraid of a coup, a conspiracy, or something similar, but they're definitely afraid of something serious."
17/ Another source links the lack of visits to Putin getting increasingly tired of the war: "No progress on the front lines, exhausting negotiations, and Putin's own cooling toward the topic of war." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Apr 6
1/ Russia has reportedly provided Iran with targeting data on Israel's critical energy infrastructure, according to Ukrainian intelligence sources quoted by the Jerusalem Post. ⬇️
2/ The Post reports that the targets fall into three categories:

– Level 1: Critical production facilities, like the Orot Rabin power station, whose destruction would cripple the national energy system. Image
3/ – Level 2: Major urban and industrial energy hubs, located primarily in central Israel to serve large population centres.

– Level 3: Local infrastructure, including regional substations that support industrial zones and smaller power plants.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 6
1/ Russia's blocking of Telegram is having a devastating effect on the volunteer communities that support the Russian army in Ukraine. A Russian warblogger posts a despairing account of how the 'humanitarian aid' system has all but collapsed as a result. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Russian army is hugely dependent on volunteer-provided 'humanitarian aid' – which in practice means anything from drones to generators to bulletproof vests – because so little is provided by the Russian Ministry of Defence. Alexander Zaborovsky writes:
3/ "I’m talking about Telegram blocks and specifically what has been drastically affected by them.

I’m referring to volunteer organisations and groups. 99% of them rely on Telegram for communication, including with combat units.
Read 19 tweets
Apr 5
1/ Goldman Sachs analysts report that the biggest oil crisis in history is about to hit globally, with profound and highly destructive consequences. A new report asks ""Are We Running Out of Oil?", and concludes that the answer is yes. ⬇️ Image
2/ Goldman reports that average daily flows of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen by 94% from their pre-war levels. Image
3/ This has led to a 63% collapse in the flow of oil and its refined products from the Middle East. Exports are down from 7.4 million to 2.8 million barrels per day of oil, 39% of which is flowing via a pipeline to Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports.
Read 23 tweets
Apr 4
1/ A shortage of drones reportedly means that Russian drone pilots often don't attack Ukrainian vehicles again after disabling them. This, says a serving Russian soldier, means that the Ukrainians are frequently able to retrieve disabled vehicles. ⬇️
2/ Russian forces in Ukraine have been complaining for a long time that they lack drones, with those provided by the Russian MOD being few and often of poor quality.
3/ Instead, they often have to rely on voluntary donations and unofficial drone production by the so-called 'people's military-industrial complex' – an ecosystem of enthusiasts and ex-military personnel who make or import drones for military use.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
1/ News of the destruction of yet another US aircraft on the ground is being met with incredulity by Russian Air Force pilots. They ask if the United States has learned nothing from Russia's own very costly experiences. ⬇️
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel run by a group of Russian military helicopter pilots, expresses astonishment at pictures published overnight of a US CH-47 Chinook helicopter that was destroyed on the ground in Kuwait.
3/ "I look at this photo and realize that the Americans, with all their budgets and all, haven't studied or systematized our experience in any way.

Grandfathers, they're grandfathers everywhere, apparently...
Read 4 tweets
Apr 4
1/ Russian army commanders are reportedly refusing to allow stored ZSU-23-4 Shilkas mobile anti-aircraft guns to be refurbished and put back into service, despite Russia's desperate need for more defences against Ukraine's increasingly large-scale drone strikes. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'The Voivode Broadcasts', a Telegram channel written by three Russian Aerospace Force pilots, writes:

"I was talking to some guys from one of the repair battalions the other day."
3/ "They were showing us what Category 5 [the lowest condition] equipment they're getting off its knees with their own resources.

BMPs [armoured personnel carriers], BTS [armoured recovery tractors], and so on.
Read 6 tweets

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