1/ In recent weeks, an entire genre has sprung up on Telegram of Russian bloggers suddenly realising that they live in a repressive dictatorship. They complain bitterly that they were "fools", they are being "enslaved", and forced to endure a "cultural counter-revolution". ⬇️
2/ The forthcoming ban on Telegram – likely to be announced on 1 April – appears to have woken up many Russian bloggers to the way the Russian government is systematically attacking free speech. 'Under the ice' predicts catastrophe:
3/ "In general, the desire to confine all citizens of the country to a sterile information bubble, eliminating the use of inappropriate social networks, books, music, and films, will have the most devastating consequences for the state itself.
4/ "In this sense, Russian authorities resemble a five-year-old child covering his eyes with his hands, hoping the bogeyman will disappear, but the bogeyman never does.
5/ "If you don't talk about airstrikes, the airstrikes won't go away. If you don't sing about drugs, the drugs won't disappear. Even if you ban any mention of sex, those cunning Russians will still manage to get laid somehow.
6/ "Here's what will happen:
1) If bloggers and journalists are replaced by word of mouth, the level of panic and anger among the population will only increase.
7/ "As we know, fear has big eyes. And even the most insignificant negative event will be blown out of proportion.
Total ignorance of the masses always breeds panic and fear.
8/ "2) The degradation of science, culture, and education will accelerate significantly, leading to their almost complete destruction.
And the destruction of science, culture, and education will lead to the general degeneration of society.
9/ "3) Following the degradation of education, the economy will begin to collapse.
We currently lack unskilled specialists. Soon, we will also lack qualified professionals.
And we can't import them from Central Asia.
10/ "4) A complete brain drain (the last ones) from the country.
If scientists, journalists, writers, and artists are unable to work normally in our country, then sooner or later they will leave for wherever they can.
11/ "Not for political reasons, but for survival. This will further accelerate the degradation of the state and society.
5) At the same time, the barbarization and kishlakization [repopulation by Central Asians] of the country will naturally occur.
12/ "A holy place abhors a vacuum. And if Russian culture ends up in a semi-banned position, then another culture will simply take its place.
The risks of this process are also clear to everyone.
13/ "In short, these will be the results of the current cultural counterrevolution in the Russian Federation.
And then all that remains is to wait for the fruit to ripen."
'Larkin' sees the government's policy as being driven by a corrupt, hypocritical cosmopolitan elite:
14/ "So, we're already being controlled by a foreign state. A literal government apparatus of cosmopolitans with accounts in England, children in Europe, and mistresses in the Emirates.
15/ "What's so special about them? They lie to my face as a citizen, fleece me, keep me enslaved at the front, force me to dump all my personal data into some leaky software, forbid me from listening to music and calling my friends through "incorrect" programs…
16/ …that they can't steal money from. They say it's for security, but drones fly every day and I have no security whatsoever. And the officials who justify all this kiss the hands of old Ichkerian [Chechen] women, while all their relatives have foreign citizenship.
17/ "Is this the Russian state or something? Ridiculous.
I have never called and never will call for the overthrow of the government; I am categorically against it. But I won't go to defend it in this state either. It hasn't earned my loyalty.
18/ "Start doing something, face the people, stop blatantly lying. And the country will respond in kind, just like it did in 2022.
Otherwise, you'll be left to feast on each other, and we'll watch from the sidelines without interfering. We'll negotiate with whoever wins."
19/ Mitya Olshansky, writing as 'The Commissar Disappears', laments that Russia's exiled liberals were right after all:
20/ "Just ten years ago, I loved writing about how the current government differs fundamentally (and for the better) from the Soviet era in that it is committed to common sense.
21/ "Sure, it gets into scandals, it steals, it unfairly persecutes certain unfortunate lunatics, fanatics, and fools, but most importantly, it is true to reason and has learned the lessons of the twentieth century: it doesn't pressure the average person, it doesn't ruin…
22/ …their daily routine, it doesn't invent idiotic restrictions, and beyond the world of oligarchs and oil and gas, television and rockets, the upper crust and billions, no one prevents private individuals from living as they please and saying whatever they want.
23/ "It sounds funny now, doesn't it?
24/ "In the new reality of the 2020s, where not only social media but even the internet itself is being shut down, phone calls are blocked, businesses are being bullied, anyone and everyone is being punished and banned in any way they can—all notions of Russia…
25/ …in the first twenty years of this century are rapidly becoming obsolete.
Except, of course, those of the most desperate dissidents and émigrés. They can only gleefully laugh: “We told you so, fools.”
26/ "And indeed. We are the fools now.
Loyal, patriotic fools with no plans to leave the country.
Serves us right, I suppose.
27/ "I think our government has now opened the best school of liberal values in the world.
And it will teach us liberal values in a way no foreign agents or sinister enemy intelligence agencies ever could." /end
1/ Iran has reportedly assessed that Donald Trump is "mentally incompetent" and has incorporated psychologists into its negotiating team to adapt the wording of the proposed agreement "as if the recipient were a [mental] patient ... whose capacity is limited." ⬇️
2/ The Russian 'Political Report' says that "Iranian authorities have included leading psychologists in the negotiating team to review drafts of all messages before sending them to Trump."
3/ "This is not a supplementary measure, but a direct consequence of an internal assessment that the American president is mentally incompetent, whose reactions cannot be predicted by conventional diplomatic methods.
1/ Russian commanders routinely make false claims to have captured territory, in order to win awards and personal bonuses. However, the army is reportedly stepping up efforts to uncover instances of "painting over" the map of the front line in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Vladimir Romanov highlights how the practice is causing mass casualties among Russian soldiers, with some commanders maintaining two parallel maps – one of the true line of contact, and a more flattering 'painted over' version to show to their superiors.
3/ "Returning to the paint-overs, the higher-ups periodically conduct compliance checks on the personnel data.
In some places (like in the Kupyansk sector), this is purely formal.
1/ An increasingly severe shortage of fuel is gripping wide areas of western Russia as well as occupied regions of Ukraine. Russian warbloggers report that there is no fuel at all in some regions, with fuel rationing affecting the army as well as civilians. ⬇️
2/ Following repeated Ukrainian attacks against Russian oil refineries, fuel shortages are spreading across western Russia. The Tatarstan-based Tatneft group appears to be particularly badly affected.
3/ Restrictions on fuel sales have been introduced in St. Petersburg, Moscow, the Moscow region, Samara, Nizhegorod, Udmurtia, Kazan, Cheboksary, Ulyanovsk, and other Russian cities, and in the occupied east and south of Ukraine, most notably in Crimea.
1/ A Russian soldier reports that he and four of his comrades were whipped, chained around the necks, tortured, and imprisoned in a sewer, while his officers stole his possessions and emptied his bank account. He says the men experienced "punishments like in Ancient Rome." ⬇️
2/ Dmitry Strelets is a soldier in the 4th Assault Company of the 68th Tank Regiment (military unit 91714). He says that he has endured torture and slave-like conditions at his Avdiivka-based unit.
3/ According to Strelets, these abuses were perpetrated by a sergeant major with the call sign "Foma," a political officer named "Dobry," his deputy "Bzhik," and their accomplice "Putnik."
1/ Ukraine's increasing dominance of the airspace over Crimea and southern Russia is causing great alarm amongst Russian warbloggers. One predicts impending catastrophe for Russia: "Panic and the total collapse of all the main roads." /end
2/ Commenting on the video above, 'Alex Parker Returns' observes:
"In Crimea, Ukrainian drones are freely flying over major roads. For now, they're programmed to target fuel trucks and various military targets."
3/ "But when the drones become significantly more numerous, the target pool can be expanded to include anything, and then the drones will start attacking passenger vehicles or, say, GAZelles [light trucks].
1/ Russia's attempts to block Telegram and force the population to switch to the state-approved messenger app MAX have simply resulted in the population adopting VPNs en masse. Ordinary Russians describe how they are evading the government's blocks. ⬇️
2/ VPNs are a booming business in Russia, with a massive increase in downloads over recent months. Circumvention is routine, even for pro-regime loyalists. According to one Russian citizen, "even the vatniks at work have VPNs."
3/ Readers of the Russian news outlet 'We can explain' (MO) have been describing how they get around the government's restrictions and are continuing to use Telegram. (Ironically, many state-owned businesses and government entities are doing the same things.)