Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Mar 13 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Bessent: India buying Russian oil was inevitable. That’s why we gave a 30-day waiver.

The oil was already on the water and refineries needed supply. Otherwise it would have gone to China. It’s unfortunate Russia benefits, but we hope only for a short time.

1/
Bessent: Our actions were not about China. They were about U.S. interests. Venezuela had become close to a failed narco-state.

The goal is to protect the Western Hemisphere and support Latin American countries moving toward market economies and closer ties with the U.S.

2/
Bessent: When I flew to Argentina last spring, we had to avoid Bolivia because it had closed its airspace to U.S. military aircraft.

Now Bolivia is becoming an ally again. Chile also shifted back. This is a chance to strengthen economic and security ties with the U.S.

3/
Bessent: The military operation was meant to stop Iran from protecting its nuclear program with missiles.

If nothing had been done, in a year or 18 months Iran could have had two or three times more missiles and weapons.

4X
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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 28
Historian Niall Ferguson: Magyar’s victory over Orbán is good not because the left defeated the right.

What happened is that a non-corrupt populist who is not a lackey of Putin and Xi defeated one who became both corrupt and a lackey of our adversaries. 1/
Ferguson: This is a great day not just for Hungary. It is a great day for Ukraine and for everybody who believes in liberty.

If populists can lose elections, they are not fascists. There is hope here for Europe and for the wider democratic world. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Apr 28
Petraeus: The [Hormuz] blockade was the right call. Ending this war with Iran militarily wrecked but still controlling Hormuz would leave Tehran strategically stronger.

We cannot let Iran decide who sails the strait or turn it into a private Panama Canal and charge tolls. 1/
Petraeus: The benchmark is not insurance cost. It is whether crews live.

CEOs told me they will not send sailors into that risk, and about eight crew members have already been killed by Iranian attacks on ships in the Gulf. That alone is enough to freeze traffic. 2/
Petraeus: Two red lines dominate the talks: Hormuz must be restored as an untaxed international waterway, and Iran must give up the roughly 1,000 pounds of 60% enriched uranium.

That is one turn away from weapons grade. The pressure has to continue. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 28
Keane on Iran: We have about two weeks to complete the operation, with roughly 25% still to go and we now have twice the combat power in the region that we had when we started.

It is time to go back to full military operations and keep the blockade on. 1/
Keane: Opening the Strait without a nuclear deal is not progress at all. After weeks of negotiations, it is pretty obvious the Iranians will never propose a deal we can accept.

All they want is regime survival and the chance to recover enough to become a threat again. 2/
Keane: We keep assuming pain will force Tehran to bend. That is the mistake. They do not care about gas lines, blackouts, or the suffering of their people.

They believe time is on their side: oil prices stay high, pressure rises in the US, and Washington blinks first. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 28
Bolton: I’m not sure Trump knows where he is, because I’m not sure he knew what his objectives were going in.

If you do not know where you are going, any road will do. He wants this over, but because he does not think strategically, he is at a loss over what to do next. 1/
Bolton: The only long-term answer to Iran threat is regime change. New faces are not a new regime.

The ideology is the same. Trump failed to do what a serious regime-change effort required before hostilities, but he still has time to work with and resource Iran’s opponents. 2/
Bolton: It is impossible for me to believe Trump was not told Iran would try to shut Hormuz. Everybody knew that threat was there.

The danger is not just mines. It is anti-ship missiles, fast boats, and drones. Better late than never, but this should have been hit earlier. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 27
NYT: Europe is preparing for a long war with Russia as the US has effectively withdrawn from peace negotiations. 15 months ago Trump promised to stop the war in one day. Today analyst James Sherr: “We find ourselves largely where we began in the negotiations.” 1/ Image
Zelenskyy has “lost 80% of his illusions” about Trump’s support. Ukrainians believe they are holding their own militarily and that any resolution “will take place on the battlefield, if at all.” 2/
Trump and his team are preoccupied with Iran. Witkoff and Kushner are planning another trip to Moscow — again without stopping in Kyiv. Zelenskyy said this week: “It’s disrespectful to come to Moscow and not Kyiv. It’s just disrespectful.” 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 27
Russian soldiers are eating each other — literally. The Sunday Times reports that Ukrainian intelligence documented at least five cases of cannibalism among Russian troops due to starvation and Ukrainian drone strikes on supply lines. 1/ Image
The most detailed documented case: November 2025, Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast. A soldier with the call sign Khromoy from the 95th Regiment of the 5th Guards Motor Rifle Brigade killed two comrades, cut off the leg of one of them and tried to eat it. 2/
When two other soldiers came to check on his absence, he opened fire on them. They shot him dead. A photograph analyzed with AI image detection software showed the severed leg. An independent conflict surgeon confirmed the wound was made with a sharp knife, not an explosion. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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