Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Mar 13 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Bolton: Trump could declare victory over Iran and pull out at any moment — and that’s a problem. The public was never prepared for regime change.

Many leaders since the Cold War assumed history had ended, but the world is still dangerous and requires serious strategy.

1/
Bolton: Trump often looks for an off-ramp. My concern is he may damage Iran but stop before regime change happens.

That would leave the same regime in power — wounded and more desperate for revenge. If he wasn’t ready to finish it, he shouldn’t have started the war.

2/
Bolton: Iran's regime rules by repression despite deep public anger.

The economy is collapsing, most young people want a different future, and many ethnic groups oppose the government.

If the regime can’t defend itself after these attacks, its days may be numbered.

3/
Bolton: I would not have started war with Iran unless the goal was regime change and there was the resolve to see it through.

I would tell Trump to stay the course. Persistence and patience are needed.

4X
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More from @Mylovanov

Mar 15
On March 13, 2022, Russian soldiers shot and killed photojournalist Max Levin.

He had driven through Moshchun — a village under intense fighting — to find a drone with valuable footage he had lost the day before. He was 40 years old. 4 years have passed since that day. 1/ Image
Max Levin covered the war since 2014. He worked for Reuters, BBC, Associated Press, hromadske.

Colleagues said he wanted to be where real history was being written. And real history, in his view, was written at war. 2/
In Donbas he thrived.

He slept with soldiers in dugouts. He would leave colleagues in safer places and go further himself. He never let anyone follow him to the front line. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 14
Iran killed a French soldier with a Shahed drone.

Zelenskyy: The US and Gulf states asked Ukraine for anti-drone systems. We remember how long we waited for help in the first days of the war. Now we help those who helped us first.

1/
Zelenskyy: Sanctions on Russia must remain. If you lift sanctions control, Putin earns money.

He puts this money into Shahed drones and sends them to Iran, and the Iranian regime uses them to strike American bases or airports.

2/
Zelenskyy: Criticism exists, and the fact that you know about it shows democracy is alive in Ukraine

In Russia there is no criticism. One person decides everything and everyone else obeys

3X
Read 4 tweets
Mar 14
Japan may introduce Ukrainian combat drones into its military.

Tokyo is studying the purchase of Ukraine-made attack UAVs to strengthen defense capabilities, relying on Kyiv’s battlefield experience against Russia, Kyodo News. 1/ Image
Ukraine has proposed a defense technology exchange.

Kyiv is open to sharing drone technology in return for Japanese weapons, but cooperation may require a bilateral arms transfer agreement to protect sensitive information. 2/
Japan is investing heavily in unmanned warfare.

The draft FY2026 defense budget allocates ¥277.3B ($1.7B) for drones and the new SHIELD program to defend remote islands. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
Russian Duma adopting law permitting extraterritorial armed forces engagement to free detained Russians.

It would legitimize armed attacks on Western courts and detention centers. Moscow is preparing for systematic body-snatching operations — CEPA. 1/ Image
Putin fears finding himself in The Hague on 2023 ICC warrant.

ICC also seeking former Defense Minister Shoigu and General Staff chief Gerasimov for roles in Ukraine war atrocities. Message underlined by January’s US operation to seize Venezuelan dictator Maduro. 2/
Kremlin used this tactic before. Exactly 20 years ago Putin legalized use of Russian special forces in offensive operations abroad for first time.

Presented as response to attack on Russian diplomats in Baghdad June 2006, but legislation already drafted months earlier. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Mar 14
Netanyahu finally got the war he pushed for, after decades warning about Iran’s nuclear threat.

Two weeks into the conflict, the limits are already clear: the war is unfolding largely on Trump’s terms — NYT. 1/ Image
Netanyahu has already lowered Israel’s war goals.

He launched the conflict promising to remove the “existential threat” posed by Iran’s regime.

Now he says Israel seeks only to degrade Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile threat. 2/
Israeli and U.S. fighters control Iranian airspace, but air power alone cannot achieve regime change.

Israel continues targeting Iran’s internal security forces while hoping the Iranian public eventually removes the government. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
Fiona Hill: What Putin is negotiating now is President Trump handing over Ukraine to him, forcing Ukraine to capitulate, forcing new elections in Ukraine and basically demilitarizing and neutralizing Ukraine so that Ukraine turns into essentially Belarus. 1/
Fiona Hill: Pandering to Putin, trying to bribe Putin, trying to flatter Putin, trying to incentivize Putin with promises of economic largesse, that is just not going to work. 2/
Fiona Hill: Trump is only thinking about his personal relationship with Vladimir Putin, and he feels that he's been thwarted by the media and everybody else's scrutiny on the election. I don't think we ever had any evidence that the election had been tipped by Putin. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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