Honza Černý Profile picture
Mar 14 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🚨 BREAKING:
Iran is reportedly considering reopening the Strait of Hormuz — but with one condition.

Oil must be traded in Chinese yuan.
Not dollars.
Not euros.

Yuan.
If true, this is not just about war.
This is about the petrodollar system.
#Oil #Iran #Macro
1.

The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of global oil supply.

For 50+ years, global oil trade has been priced in US dollars.

That system — the petrodollar — forces countries to hold USD reserves to buy energy.

It is one of the pillars of American financial power.
2. Now imagine this:
A major oil route reopens, but only for cargo traded in yuan.

That would mean:
• less demand for dollars
• more demand for Chinese currency
• a direct challenge to the global dollar system

This is geopolitics through energy markets.
3.
Markets are already nervous:
• war in the Middle East
• shipping disruptions
• oil volatility
• potential currency shifts

When energy + currency systems collide, markets historically turn to real assets.
4.

And that’s where silver comes in.
Unlike fiat currencies, silver:

• cannot be printed
• has thousands of years of monetary history
• is both a monetary and industrial metal
In times of uncertainty, investors look for tangible value.
5.

History rhymes.

Geopolitical shocks → monetary instability → hard assets.
Silver has been money for 5,000 years.

Paper systems come and go.
Metal remains.

#Silver #SilverStackers #PreciousMetals
6.

If the petrodollar system is even partially challenged, the consequences could ripple across:

• currencies
• energy markets
• sovereign debt
• global trade

Moments like this remind people why physical assets matter.
7.

War, currency shifts, and energy crises rarely arrive alone.
They arrive together.

And when they do, the question investors ask is simple:

What holds value when systems start shaking?

Many are answering that question with silver.
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More from @honzacern1

Mar 4
1/
QatarEnergy declaring force majeure is not just an LNG story.

Qatar supplies ~20% of global LNG.

If shipments stop, this becomes a global industrial shock, not just an Asian energy problem.
2/
Asia will scramble for replacement gas.
That means bidding against Europe and other LNG buyers.

Result:

➡️ LNG prices spike
➡️ gas flows reshuffle globally
➡️ Europe could get squeezed again.
3/
Natural gas isn't just fuel.
It is a core industrial feedstock used to produce:

• fertilizers
• ammonia
• plastics
• chemicals
• pharmaceuticals

Higher gas prices ripple through the entire manufacturing chain.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 26
🚨 BREAKING: INDIA STEPS AWAY FROM LBMA PRICING

India will no longer use the London LBMA benchmark to value gold & silver in mutual funds and ETFs.

Instead, pricing will be based on domestic spot exchanges.

This is bigger than it looks. 🧵👇

#Silver #Gold #LBMA #India Image
1/

For decades, LBMA (London) has been a global reference point for precious metals pricing.

When a major economy like India says:
“We’ll use our own domestic pricing”
That’s not noise. That’s a signal.

#PreciousMetals #MarketStructure
2/

Why does this matter?

Because pricing power = control.

If more countries rely on local physical markets instead of London-based benchmarks, the monopoly on global price discovery weakens.

Multipolar metals market incoming? 👀
Read 9 tweets
Feb 25
1/

SHFE just suspended more trading groups for breaching Article 16.

February total so far: 25 groups suspended.

Let that sink in.

This isn’t “normal market behavior.” 👀

#Silver #SHFE
2/

Official reason:

Accounts exceeded daily opening limits and violated exchange trading rules (Article 16).

Translation?

Someone was pushing size aggressively.
And the exchange stepped in.
3/

This comes right after visible heavy price pressure on SHFE silver.

You don’t suspend 25 groups in one month unless something abnormal is happening.

Exchanges act when risk rises.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 16
When Silver Pricing Becomes Administrative, Not Market-DrivenImage
1/

A major silver controversy just erupted in China.
A fund linked to UBS changed its valuation methodology after market close — and retail investors paid the price.

This isn’t just about losses.

It’s about transparency.
2/

According to South China Morning Post, a silver futures fund switched from using domestic futures pricing to international silver prices — without prior warning.
Investors expected losses capped around ~17%.

They woke up to −31%.

That difference matters.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 14
Thread 🧵: Global Asset Registry — And Why Physical Silver Matters Image
1/
At the IMF & World Bank Annual Meeting (Oct 2025), Erica Payne, president of Patriotic Millionaires, proposed a Global Asset Registry.
The goal?
Track who owns what. Everywhere. 🌍

Let’s unpack this.
2/
Her three proposals:
• A global registry of assets (who owns what, how much, and where it came from)
• A global debate on what is “enough” wealth
• Stronger taxation that actively reduces extreme wealth

This isn’t fringe. It’s gaining traction in elite policy circles.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 12
COMEX Is Bleeding Silver.

🧵 1/

While everyone watches the price…
COMEX silver is quietly bleeding.

And almost nobody is talking about it. 🩸🥈

Let’s look at what just happened.Image
2/

📉 TOTAL REGISTERED SILVER:

Was: 101,394,888 oz
Now: 98,138,005 oz

💥 −3,256,882 oz
In. One. Day.
Registered = metal ready for delivery.

That’s the ammo pile shrinking.
3/

📉 TOTAL COMBINED STOCKS:

Was: 386,273,024 oz
Now: 381,568,803 oz

💣 −4,704,221 oz gone.
Not a paper move.
Not a spreadsheet trick.

Physical silver leaving the system.
Read 13 tweets

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