Charlie Smirkley Profile picture
Mar 16 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
NYC spends more per homeless person than the median NYC household earns. $81,705 per person in FY2025.

And $81,705 is a floor. It excludes supportive housing (~$500M/yr), mental health response teams, and NYPD encampment costs.

The city projects ~$97K per person in FY2026. NYC spending per street homeless person from FY2019 to FY2025 with FY2026 projected. Blue solid line rises from $28,428 in FY2019 to $81,705 in FY2025 — higher than the median NYC household income of ~$76,000. Dashed blue extension projects ~$97,000 in FY2026. Black dashed line shows inflation-adjusted real dollars ending at $65,890. Black note box states this is a floor estimate excluding supportive housing (~$500M/yr), mental health co-response teams, and NYPD costs. Bottom stats: population +26%, total spending +262%. Source: NY State Comptroller DiNapoli, March 2026.
Spending per homeless person since 2019:
NYC +187%, SF +190%, PDX +430%, LA +480%. Average: +320

Floor estimates.

Homeless pop over same period: +13%

Spending up ~320%. Problem up ~13%. Homeless spending since 2019 has surged.
LA: ~$10K per homeless person in 2019. ~$62K in 2024. +480%.

LA County homeless pop: +23%.
RAND’s count finds LA’s official figures understate the pop by 32%.

Floor estimate, excludes LAPD, mental health teams, county and state spending. Los Angeles homeless spending per person from 2019 to 2024 in LA. Rises from $10,000 in 2019 to ~$62,000 in 2024
Portland: ~$18K per homeless person in 2019. ~$95K in 2024. +430%.

Homeless pop: essentially flat. Deaths of homeless quadrupled.

Floor estimate excludes Portland police, BOEC, state and federal pass-through costs.

Sources: OPB · ECOnorthwest 2025 · ProPublica 2025. Portland/Multnomah County homeless spending per person from 2019 to 2024, with a dashed projected decline in 2025 following a $104M budget shortfall. Rises steeply from $18,000 in 2019 to ~$95,000 in 2024, then projects down to 71K after the 25% budget.
San Fran: 35K per homeless person in 2019. $102K in 2024. +190%. Floor estimates.

Total homeless pop over the same period: up 4%.

Source: SF HSH budgets · SF PIT counts San Fran homeless spending
I blame the rising cost per homeless person on:
Fentanyl/drugs (intransigence multiplier).
NGO incentive misalignment (reward service not solution).
Housing First ideology (religious belief now).
SMI revolving door (deinstitutionalisation never fixed).
Cost disease.

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More from @charliesmirkley

Feb 16
GSS data on politics by ancestral origin, grouped into “Heritage American” tiers among early Euro settlers/immigrants + all others:

A: English, Scottish, German, Dutch
B: French, Scandi, Swiss, Austrian, Belgian
C: Italian, Irish, Polish, Czech, Hungarian, Russian
D: All others heritage Americans and Politics and Party ID
Not only are heritage Americans the most conservative, but individually the Dutch, English, Germans, and Scots are the most conservative.

Note where the natural conservative Indians are: second last. Conservative, moderate, and liberal by ethnicity
The Dutch, English, Germans, and Scots are among four of the most Republican ethnicities. Republican by Ethnicity
Read 6 tweets
Jul 8, 2025
You will not believe these charts on male youth crime in Germany by nationality. (If a group isn't included in a chart, it's because the data was N/A.)

1. Algerian male juveniles are 50.52 times more likely to be suspects in Street Crime than Germans. Algerian youth are 50.52 times more likely to be suspects in Street Crime than German
2. Algerian male juveniles are 73.54 times more likely to be suspects in theft crime than Germans. Algerian male youth are 73.54 times more likely to be suspects in theft crime than Germans.
3. Algerian male juveniles are 93.19 times more likely to be suspects in Shoplifting than Germans. Image
Read 8 tweets

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