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Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
@ChrisMurphyCT
Mar 17 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Trump's illegal attack on Iran has set off regional war. The latest - Israel's ground invasion of Lebanon. 800 are already dead.

1/ Tonight, I want to walk you thru a🧵on how devastating this new war could be, and how Trump's blunder set it in motion.
theguardian.com/world/2026/mar…
2/ Iran's terrorist proxy, Hezbollah, operates out of Lebanon. Fierce fighting between Israel and Hezbollah broke out after the October 2023 Hamas attacks on Israel. It lasted for a year until a ceasefire in November 2024. Trump inherited this ceasefire. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
3/ But Trump inherited something else good: a new Lebanese government - the most competent in decades - that was open to confronting Hezbollah. And this was the only real, long term solution - the Lebanese government taking full control of the country. nytimes.com/2026/03/06/wor…
4/ But Trump threw it away with his attack on Iran. It was totally foreseeable that Iran would activate Hezbollah. Hezbollah started sending rockets into Israel. And the hardline Israeli government's reaction - total war with Lebanon - was foreseeable too.
5/ But just like in Gaza, Israel risks throwing caution to the wind in a massive new invasion of southern Lebanon.

We are going to do [to Lebanon] what we did in Gaza," a senior Israeli official said.

Tens of thousands could die.
axios.com/2026/03/14/isr…
6/ Israel needs to defend itself from Hezbollah rocket attacks. But a full ground invasion, modelled after Gaza, would likely be a strategic and humanitarian disaster. There are better options.

This could be Trump's legacy: a second Gaza.
reuters.com/world/middle-e…
7/ The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Gas prices are spiking. Missiles rain down on Iran's neighbors. Iraq and Syria are teetering. And now war between Israel and Lebanon that will kill thousands and displace hundreds of thousands.

All the result of Trump's incompetence.

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More from @ChrisMurphyCT

Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Mar 14
It’s crystal clear now that Trump has lost control of this war. He badly misjudged Iran’s ability to retaliate. The region is on fire.

1/ I’m going to explain to you in this🧵what I’ve learned - in part from closed door briefings - about the four biggest current crises.
2/ CRISIS ONE: Trump believed Iran would not close the Strait of Hormuz. He was wrong. And now oil prices are spiking.

If the Strait stays closed, a global recession will result. It actually may already be too late. Gas prices are the first to spike, but food prices are next. Image
2/ Right now, Trump has no plan to reopen the Strait. And a plan may not exist.

The assets Iran uses to harass and attack tankers - thousands of small drones, speed boats and mines - cannot be eliminated. They are too numerous, too spread out and hidden. foxnews.com/world/iran-dep…
Read 10 tweets
Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Mar 11
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public.

I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are.

1/ Here's what I can share:
2/ Maybe the lead is that the war goals DO NOT involve destroying Iran's nuclear weapons program. This is, uh...surprising...since Trump says over and over this is a key goal.

But then of course we already know air strikes can't wipe out their nuclear material.
3/ Second, they confirmed "regime change" is also NOT on the list. So, they are going to spend hundreds of billions of your taxpayer dollars, get a whole bunch of Americans killed, and a hardline regime - probably a MORE anti-American hardline regime - will still be in charge.
Read 5 tweets
Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Mar 2
Democrats MUST insist on a vote on an Authorization of Military Force (an AUMF) for Trump’s war in Iran.

My friend @TimKaine is leading the charge on a War Powers Resolution (WPR) that I support. But it's not a substitute for an AUMF.

1/ A 🧵on the difference. It's important.
2/ What’s the difference? A WPR is a vote AGAINST war.

I’m a co-sponsor of the WPR. But even if Congress passes it, Trump won’t sign it. It's basically symbolic.
3/ An AUMF is a vote FOR war. Trump doesn’t want to come to Congress with legislation authorizing his war because he’d need 60 votes in the Senate (which he likely wouldn't get), and it would force tough questions around the cost, timelines, and specific goals of the war.
Read 6 tweets
Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Feb 26
Last night I went to the Senate to detail ICE's horrific abuse and violation of the law. I came armed with specific examples.

I'm sharing my speech here bc you need to know why we cannot give ICE another dime.

1/ It starts w the dystopian, roving "show your papers" patrols.
2/ Masked, unidentified men, driving unmarked cars now patrol American streets, dragging Americans out of their vehicles and terrorizing communities. Totally illegal. Reminiscent of Stalin and Pinochet. Fundamentally unAmerican.
3/ No place is safe. ICE ambushes churches, chases kids at bus stops, and tear gasses schools.
Read 6 tweets
Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Jan 22
As the DHS funding bill moves closer to a vote in the House, and likely a vote in the Senate (where it could be combined with DoD and other budgets), I want to spell out the dangers of a bipartisan vote to keep funding this version of DHS.

1/ This is a really serious moment.
2/ I get my colleagues' desire to support government funding. Even under Trump, the government performs many vital tasks.

But not at any price. The political police force Trump is building at DHS - and their daily violation of the law - threatens to unwind our republic.
3/ What Trump is doing in Minneapolis is a test case. His goal is likely to create disruptions in cities in Democratic and swing states as a pretext to interfere in the fall elections.

Yes, he's got loads of money from BBB for this, but this budget gives him $28 billion more.
Read 7 tweets
Chris Murphy 🟧 Profile picture
Jan 17
We told you the Venezuela invasion was just corruption. It took one whole week to get the proof.

Trump took Venezuela's oil at gunpoint, and gave it to one of his biggest campaign donors.

1/ But when you learn the details, it's even worse. A short🧵on this corruption story. Image
2/ John Addison donated a stunning sum to Trump's election campaign: $6 million. And then, as the Venezuelan operation unfolded, his company, Vitol, asked Trump for a license to trade Venezuelan oil - before their competitors.

Shocker: Addison got it.
wsj.com/business/energ…
3/ And then, just days later, Trump selected Vitol for the first sale of Venezuelan oil - at a discount that will likely allow Vitol to make a huge profit when it sells it to secondary buyers.

A windfall for Addison and Vitol. And fundamentally corrupt. thedailybeast.com/trump-hands-fi…
Read 5 tweets

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