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Mar 17 33 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1/ The blocking of Telegram by the Russian government is a disaster for huge numbers of Russian businesses and citizens, who have now lost a key means of advertising and income. The Russian government's preferred app, MAX, lacks the features that made Telegram so essential. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian commentators are warning that two recent developments – Telegram's blocking by the state and the decision by two regulatory bodies that all advertising on it is retrospectively illegal – threaten to cause devastating economic harm.
3/ Telegram, which was developed by Russian entrepreneur Pavel Durov, is almost universally used by Russians. It has become an essential business tool, with virtually every company in Russia advertising on it and many running their own channels for customers.
4/ Russian companies use it to provide customer support services. Telegram has implemented many business-friendly features, such as advanced analytics, to make it more useful. Its monetisation features also allow ordinary Russians to earn income from their personal channels.
5/ With the Russian economy facing increasing difficulties and living costs rising sharply, monetisation from Telegram has become an essential support for many ordinary Russians. This has now been cut off abruptly.
6/ The Russian government's state-sponsored messenger app, MAX, which is being positioned as the only authorised messenger app in Russia, lacks monetisation, analytics and many of the features that Telegram has. This has contributed to public resistence to the app's imposition.
7/ 'Doctors, You Are Not Alone' writes:

"Would you be surprised to read on the morning news that it's now illegal to make money as a geography teacher? Or an operating room nurse? Or a janitor? Or a [bus] conductor?"
8/ "It's written right there, as if someone had essentially banned geography teachers. Without asking the teachers, parents, or students anything. Would you be surprised? And just when you'd widen your eyes, "WTF?" you were told they'd already provided comprehensive comments...
9/ "If you liked that example, you should look with the same surprised eyes at the ban on advertising on Telegram. This ban doesn't affect us in any way; we don't advertise, but this is one of those cases where it's awkward to remain silent.
10/ "Because the [Federal Antimonopoly Service]'s designation of Telegram advertising as illegal essentially bans a huge number of people whose profession is to create information products.
11/ "Some have a personal blog, others a news public page, etc. And for those who don't receive government funding, their only legitimate source of income is being cut off. "Legal" means, among other things, the source of taxes.
12/ "Some use advertising money to help the front. Some pay their team's salaries. Some live off it. Both are perfectly acceptable. Because that's their job—creating information products that people read and watch.
13/ "So, no matter how much they gloat on social media about bloggers being cut off from their income, for some reason they themselves aren't eager to work for free."
14/ A common complaint is that people who were following the rules to the letter were abruptly declared retrospectively to be lawbreakers by an arbitrary decision of the Russian government. The obvious unfairness has been called out by many commentators.
15/ Alex Kartavykh complains that "the state screwed tens of thousands of people and collapsed the legal advertising market. From which taxes were paid and where rules existed. And we all slowly brought transactions into the legal realm."
16/ "From crypto and transfers via the Faster Payment System, we received payments to SZ or individual entrepreneurs via acquiring, with all the mandatory deductions. Exactly within the limits set by Roskomnadzor, the Federal Antimonopoly Service, and the Federal Tax Service."
17/ Their reward for doing the right thing, he says, was that "the government just casually ruined everything we've done in recent years."
18/ Volodya Grubnik echoes his complaint: "And so it turns out that those who disciplinedly obey the law find themselves in a situation far worse than those who don't.
19/ "What are these state institutions trying to achieve by such behaviour? To show that the state can't be trusted? That those who disciplinedly obey the law are simply idiots? Well done—they did a great job, they demonstrated it beautifully."
20/ "What are they trying to achieve with such a policy?

To show that law-abidingness, civic duty, and trust in the state are a losing evolutionary strategy? That trusting the state is stupid, and not trusting it is smart?
21/ "That the most patriotic and fervent electorate is simply a workhorse, whose interests and needs will be ignored because 'the horse is already pulling, where else would it go?'"

Commentators warn that the government's arbitrary behaviour will push the population too far.
22/ 'Doctors, You Are Not Alone' says:

"As a citizen and patriot, I'm irritated that our government has often begun to act with the grace of a bull in a china shop. That it's become the norm—to squander years of people's efforts with a poker face."
23/ "There's no respect for citizens here at all.

It's the same story: why, when decisions are made, is dialogue with those who will be harmed by them ignored? Would you, dear government, be so kind as to engage with citizens?..
24/ "Honestly, I get the feeling from all these recent movements that it's some kind of social experiment. It's like, how much can people tolerate?
25/ "But in reality, this experiment is more objectively physical than social: if you put a lid on a boiling pot, I don't need to tell you what happens next. And if you leave the kitchen while it's happening, something truly miraculous will happen.
26/ "For some reason, decision makers seem to think they can defy the laws of physics. And their lack of understanding of this is a very, very alarming sign for me personally. It's alarming for everyone who cares about our country."
27/ Kartavykh warns that the block will soon be overtaken by economic reality and the introduction of universal satellite phone connections via SpaceX:

"You've cut off a source of income, but access to people's minds remains until the whitelists are scrapped."
28/ "But you can't rely on lists for long; the economy will collapse within a month. And Elon Musk is just around the corner, with his satellite internet on every phone. And without whitelists, the audience will actively resist and circumvent the pressure.
29/ "And Durov is also crafting perfectly functional proxies right now, and [communications regulator] Roskomnadzor already lost that race once."
30/ The policy is so self-defeating that Grubnik wonders if it's intentional sabotage:

"So, to implement such a policy from above, seeking to delegitimize state institutions in the eyes of the most patriotic segment of the population—is this stupidity or deliberate sabotage?"
31/ Kartavykh blames the British – who else? – for possibly being the hidden hands behind the block:
32/ "So, you're not even assholes, you're idiots. I don't even know what the fuck you're doing. As if you're British agents and need to tip the country into a ditch at any cost. There's simply no other way to explain this bullshit." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jun 4
1/ A Russian soldier serving in Ukraine says that the situation is terrible and getting worse. "It’s absolute chaos over here with all the bodies right now ... the action is getting heavier and heavier every day. We're just a bunch of fucking losers." ⬇️
2/ Russian warbloggers are becoming increasingly outspoken in describing how the war is going badly for their side. 'When the cannons start singing' publishes an account from a reader who is with the Russian Army in Ukraine:
3/ "It’s absolute chaos over here with all the bodies right now, and even without the bodies, I could sneakily film the road we're bringing people in on, it's a complete mess.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 3
1/ Russian warbloggers are reacting with shock and alarm at the Ukrainian attack today on the Russian Baltic Fleet corvette Boykiy near St Petersburg. In particular, they question the apparent lack of effective air defences or anti-drone protection. ⬇️
2/ 'Rybar' comments: "The threat to the fleet is everywhere."

"Judging by the video, at least two hits were recorded. The corvette was in dry dock undergoing repairs, despite the ship being new. And Ukrainian forces intercepted it there."
3/ "They had already done something similar during attacks on Sevastopol several years earlier.

The hit on the Boykiy once again exposes the problem of countering UAVs.
Read 18 tweets
Jun 3
1/ Accused rapist and sex trafficker Andrew Tate is visiting Russia. The news has disturbed Russian warbloggers, who suggest that Russia, which has recruited literal cannibals into its army, should aspire to a higher standard. ⬇️
2/ 'Rybar' is strongly critical:

"Why do we need this gift?

Popular English-speaking blogger Andrew Tate has published a post with an unambiguous hint of a visit to Russia." Image
3/ "Timing-wise, this coincides with the St Petersburg International Economic Forum, where Western influencers have been actively invited in recent years — as a demonstration that ‘not everyone in the West is against Russia’.

But this is an extremely poor choice of guest.
Read 27 tweets
Jun 3
1/ The Russian-occupied city of Donetsk in eastern Ukraine is under a 'drone siege', according to local inhabitants. Ukrainian drones are striking targets across the city and the surrounding region. A resident provides a vivid eyewitness account. ⬇️
2/ 'Donetsk MartynoVa', a pro-Russian resident of Donetsk who positions herself as an influencer and Telegram blogger, has been writing about the deteriorating situation over the past month. On 11 May, she wrote:
3/ "The news brings information that drones are already harassing the land corridor, but, judging by the number of cars from Crimea, this doesn't stop many [travellers]."

By 18 May, the drone campaign had been stepped up:
Read 55 tweets
Jun 2
1/ Russia's captured and corrupted bureaucracy, which is under the thumb of powerful industrial concerns and complicit politicians, is strangling independent developers of military electronics. Several developers are complaining about the situation. ⬇️ Image
2/ Gagaring Lab, a developer of drone detectors and other military electronics, highlights how the 'People's Military-Industrial Complex' is being throttled:

"China launched a new strategy in February. China wants to be not only the world's factory, but also its laboratory."
3/ "Programmes have been launched to attract R&D companies to China. In Russian: welcome, developers, we will create the conditions for you. And here, people are worried about developers running away, but not about entire companies running away.

Strange.
Read 20 tweets
Jun 2
1/ News that Russia's BMPT Terminator, famed for its wobbly autocannons, is to be renamed the Spirodon has attracted criticism from Russian warbloggers. Perhaps not coincidentally, Spirodon also was the first name of Vladimir Putin's paternal grandfather. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to Uralvagonzavod's official channel, "The machine, which replaces an entire unit, no longer bears the nickname of the American destroyer robot. It is our shield and sword."
3/ The official announcement says that the change in name was made "at the request of Uralvagonzavod workers (part of Rostec) and combat vehicle crews ... in honour of courage, resilience, and strength of spirit."

"Why "Spiridon"? This is a rare but revered name in Russia."
Read 16 tweets

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