1/ The blocking of Telegram by the Russian government is a disaster for huge numbers of Russian businesses and citizens, who have now lost a key means of advertising and income. The Russian government's preferred app, MAX, lacks the features that made Telegram so essential. ⬇️
2/ Russian commentators are warning that two recent developments – Telegram's blocking by the state and the decision by two regulatory bodies that all advertising on it is retrospectively illegal – threaten to cause devastating economic harm.
3/ Telegram, which was developed by Russian entrepreneur Pavel Durov, is almost universally used by Russians. It has become an essential business tool, with virtually every company in Russia advertising on it and many running their own channels for customers.
4/ Russian companies use it to provide customer support services. Telegram has implemented many business-friendly features, such as advanced analytics, to make it more useful. Its monetisation features also allow ordinary Russians to earn income from their personal channels.
5/ With the Russian economy facing increasing difficulties and living costs rising sharply, monetisation from Telegram has become an essential support for many ordinary Russians. This has now been cut off abruptly.
6/ The Russian government's state-sponsored messenger app, MAX, which is being positioned as the only authorised messenger app in Russia, lacks monetisation, analytics and many of the features that Telegram has. This has contributed to public resistence to the app's imposition.
7/ 'Doctors, You Are Not Alone' writes:
"Would you be surprised to read on the morning news that it's now illegal to make money as a geography teacher? Or an operating room nurse? Or a janitor? Or a [bus] conductor?"
8/ "It's written right there, as if someone had essentially banned geography teachers. Without asking the teachers, parents, or students anything. Would you be surprised? And just when you'd widen your eyes, "WTF?" you were told they'd already provided comprehensive comments...
9/ "If you liked that example, you should look with the same surprised eyes at the ban on advertising on Telegram. This ban doesn't affect us in any way; we don't advertise, but this is one of those cases where it's awkward to remain silent.
10/ "Because the [Federal Antimonopoly Service]'s designation of Telegram advertising as illegal essentially bans a huge number of people whose profession is to create information products.
11/ "Some have a personal blog, others a news public page, etc. And for those who don't receive government funding, their only legitimate source of income is being cut off. "Legal" means, among other things, the source of taxes.
12/ "Some use advertising money to help the front. Some pay their team's salaries. Some live off it. Both are perfectly acceptable. Because that's their job—creating information products that people read and watch.
13/ "So, no matter how much they gloat on social media about bloggers being cut off from their income, for some reason they themselves aren't eager to work for free."
14/ A common complaint is that people who were following the rules to the letter were abruptly declared retrospectively to be lawbreakers by an arbitrary decision of the Russian government. The obvious unfairness has been called out by many commentators.
15/ Alex Kartavykh complains that "the state screwed tens of thousands of people and collapsed the legal advertising market. From which taxes were paid and where rules existed. And we all slowly brought transactions into the legal realm."
16/ "From crypto and transfers via the Faster Payment System, we received payments to SZ or individual entrepreneurs via acquiring, with all the mandatory deductions. Exactly within the limits set by Roskomnadzor, the Federal Antimonopoly Service, and the Federal Tax Service."
17/ Their reward for doing the right thing, he says, was that "the government just casually ruined everything we've done in recent years."
18/ Volodya Grubnik echoes his complaint: "And so it turns out that those who disciplinedly obey the law find themselves in a situation far worse than those who don't.
19/ "What are these state institutions trying to achieve by such behaviour? To show that the state can't be trusted? That those who disciplinedly obey the law are simply idiots? Well done—they did a great job, they demonstrated it beautifully."
20/ "What are they trying to achieve with such a policy?
To show that law-abidingness, civic duty, and trust in the state are a losing evolutionary strategy? That trusting the state is stupid, and not trusting it is smart?
21/ "That the most patriotic and fervent electorate is simply a workhorse, whose interests and needs will be ignored because 'the horse is already pulling, where else would it go?'"
Commentators warn that the government's arbitrary behaviour will push the population too far.
22/ 'Doctors, You Are Not Alone' says:
"As a citizen and patriot, I'm irritated that our government has often begun to act with the grace of a bull in a china shop. That it's become the norm—to squander years of people's efforts with a poker face."
23/ "There's no respect for citizens here at all.
It's the same story: why, when decisions are made, is dialogue with those who will be harmed by them ignored? Would you, dear government, be so kind as to engage with citizens?..
24/ "Honestly, I get the feeling from all these recent movements that it's some kind of social experiment. It's like, how much can people tolerate?
25/ "But in reality, this experiment is more objectively physical than social: if you put a lid on a boiling pot, I don't need to tell you what happens next. And if you leave the kitchen while it's happening, something truly miraculous will happen.
26/ "For some reason, decision makers seem to think they can defy the laws of physics. And their lack of understanding of this is a very, very alarming sign for me personally. It's alarming for everyone who cares about our country."
27/ Kartavykh warns that the block will soon be overtaken by economic reality and the introduction of universal satellite phone connections via SpaceX:
"You've cut off a source of income, but access to people's minds remains until the whitelists are scrapped."
28/ "But you can't rely on lists for long; the economy will collapse within a month. And Elon Musk is just around the corner, with his satellite internet on every phone. And without whitelists, the audience will actively resist and circumvent the pressure.
29/ "And Durov is also crafting perfectly functional proxies right now, and [communications regulator] Roskomnadzor already lost that race once."
30/ The policy is so self-defeating that Grubnik wonders if it's intentional sabotage:
"So, to implement such a policy from above, seeking to delegitimize state institutions in the eyes of the most patriotic segment of the population—is this stupidity or deliberate sabotage?"
31/ Kartavykh blames the British – who else? – for possibly being the hidden hands behind the block:
32/ "So, you're not even assholes, you're idiots. I don't even know what the fuck you're doing. As if you're British agents and need to tip the country into a ditch at any cost. There's simply no other way to explain this bullshit." /end
1/ Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations. Elite troops and F-35 jets with live ammunition were sent, and runways were to be blown up to prevent an invasion. ⬇️
2/ The Danish public broadcaster DR reports that officials in Denmark, France and Germany say that Donald Trump's threats to seize Greenland were taken so seriously that wide-ranging preparations were made to forcibly resist a US invasion of the Danish island.
3/ The Danish and French governments worked together to create a northern European coalition to defend Greenland from the United States. Under the cover of a pre-planned defence exercise, Greenland's defences were bolstered to raise the costs of any US invasion attempt.
1/ Pro-government Russians shouldn't be excessively disappointed by the Putin regime's repressive behaviour in recent months, says drone manufacturer Alexey Chadayev. He argues that that's how it's always been in Russia and nobody should expect any different. ⬇️
2/ Chadayev is the Director General of Russia's Ushkuynik Research and Production Centre (NPC Ushkuynik). He comments on recent complaints by previously pro-government commentators about the blocking of Telegram and the Internet shutdowns in Moscow and St Petersburg:
3/ "On the topic of 'disillusioned patriots' (I'm not talking about weathervane lawyers, in case it's unclear, but about the threat of 'loss of motivation' among government supporters, a topic that has been much discussed by various commentators in recent days).
1/ While the world's eyes are elsewhere, the long-running water crisis in Donetsk is continuing. An account from Russian warblogger Dmitry Steshin highlights how residents of what had been one of Ukraine's most developed cities are living now. ⬇️
2/ Since 2022, much of the occupied Donetsk and Luhansk regions have been experiencing a severe water shortage. Cities have faced water rationing, while outlying towns and villages have often had no water at all.
3/ The root cause of this is a combination of war damage to the canal that provided pre-war Donetsk with water, the source of which is in Ukrainian-held territory near Kramatorsk, and decrepit infrastructure which has gone unmaintained due to corruption.
1/ Powerful interests in Russia are milking the war in Ukraine for profit and power, complains a Russian drone developer and blogger. He argues that the interests are indifferent to the loss of Russian lives and are ripping off the state defence procurement system. ⬇️
2/ 'UAV Developer' writes on Telegram: "You see, they couldn't care less about our victory."
3/ "They—a collective group of people in power, one of the towers [factions]—understand that the name of the Lord Special Military Operation can still be used to cover up any nonsense, and to call opponents foreign agents and enemies of the people.
1/ Russia is suffering huge casualties in the battle for Kostiantynivka, says a Russian soldier who is fighting there. He says that 75% of his unit of poorly-trained middle-aged men was killed in a single assault, with dogs eating the skeletonised bodies of the dead nearby. ⬇️
2/ A man named Tamerlan – likely from the North Caucasus, judging by the name – has recorded a video describing his experiences. He says:
"Today, 27 men went into the assault, and only six survived ... "
3/ "They're just fucking new guys, they've just arrived, they haven't even been serving for a month, damn it. We were herding them in there... It was a complete mess."
1/ The Russian government is blocking Telegram to destroy the Russian people's social connections, says former high-level government advisor German Klimenko. The frank admission has caused outrage among Russian commentators. ⬇️
2/ In an interview with 'Parliamentary Gazette', Klimenko says: "The primary function of any messenger is to create social connections. Therefore, to stop people from using a messenger, these connections must be destroyed."
3/ "In 2018, when Telegram first clashed with [communications regular] Roskomnadzor, the latter managed to knock out about 10 percent of social connections: let's say, I have a thousand contacts in the messenger, 100 stopped working, and 900 remained.