Nothing says hyperinflation like a ten million currency unit banknote.
The US and Western nations need to be three weeks into planning for relief and stability operations to prevent mass starvation in Iran after the Mullah Regime goes down.
The horrid impending humanitarian disaster reality for Iran is the current regime is a dead man walking because of hyperinflation.
Iran lacks the administrative ability to replace the current hyperinflated currency in the traditional manner...
2/
...of a three day closing of the banks and handing out new note for old.
In addition, the close down of the internet for security reasons combined with the striking of Iranian bank data centers means there are no operable credit or debit cards.
3/
This means cash is king...but no one in the bottom 2/5th of the Iranian population has enough of the hyper-inflated Rial currency to buy enough food to replace any reserves they had at the start of the current war.
4/
Since January 2026 Mullah Regime security forces have only allowed people to be free to move in shifts to buy food.
After three weeks of war, the economic bottom 2/5ths of the Iranian people don't have any food reserves left and are scrambling to get enough food of any sort.
5/
Few 1st worlders in the USA, Europe or East Asia understand what just in time inventory practices mean for food security in the event of the internet going down.
There is no slack.
There is no redundancy.
There is "no inventory in back of the store."
6/
All that is in the back of the supermarket food store is a set of loading docks and enough room to process the inventory unloaded from semi-tractor trailer rigs at the loading docks.
There are few wholesale facilities with food inventory of any sorts.
7/
Most food inventory is in containers or trailers in transit at any given time.
Iran isn't as far down the just-in-time inventory model as the 1st world...but they are far enough down it that retail levels across Iran are significantly drained.
8/
There has to be very little food at local Iranian retail outlets now.
Simply because of the lack of internet communications telling wholesale levels of food inventory to push forward food to retail outlets.
9/
BLUF:
If you though Iranian hyperinflation was bad before. It is getting far worse now for the poorest 40% of Iranians.
This points up the need for the US-Israeli air forces to fastly increase the pace of engagement of Regime Security Forces.
10/
The longer it takes for the Regime Security Forces to be destroyed to a level that a January 2026 uprising can succeed.
The bigger the humanitarian disaster Iran is going to suffer from mass starvation for food supply chain collapse.
11/11
@threadreaderapp unroll please.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Regime Security Forces live in the "System Essentials" ring of a totalitarian government as they control the communications and information in a totalitarian society as a part of their anti-coup mission.
2/
The fact that any major leadership[ meeting of the IRGC or Basij is catching several smart bombs addresses both of the "inner rings."
3/
The problem with this thought is the Iranian drones being fired now are the uber sophisticated Russian-guilt Geran using radio mesh and cell phone sim card link video-navigation.
They are flying lower and more sophisticated trajectories taking advantage of radar shadows from oil infrastructure in the Gulf to prevent the generation of good intercept tracks.
Gun armed ships and attack helicopters low amongst oil rigs are the best play here.
2/3
It is only a matter of time until Geran/Shaheed FPV motherships are being fired by the IRGC at Gulf Oil infrastructure using Gulf Cell phone networks as video data links.
This is a point I have been pounding upon since 2023.
The "Big/Expensive/Few Mafia" in the US Flag ranks and Western Defense Contractors have denied this harsh reality for reasons Upton Sinclair has expounded upon. 1/
Both I and @johnkonrad were mocked for pointing out how deadly drones were for being disintermediated from existing military platforms for ubiquitous commercial transportation infrastructure like cargo containers. 2/
The Ukrainian Operation Spiderweb showed who were prophets and who were the complete and utter fools.
BLUF:
The Big/Expensive/Few, love the F-35, fanboy community got to eat 💩