1/ As the Russian government's strangulation of the Internet deepens, Russian businesses are waking up to the long-feared reality of the so-called 'Cheburnet' – a walled-off national intranet for only selected companies and services. Economic disaster is forecast. ⬇️
2/ 'Cheburnet' (a portmenteau of 'Internet' and the iconic Soviet/Russian children's character Cheburashka) is the standard, sardonic Russian term for the government's long-held ambition to create a North Korea-style 'sovereign Internet', walled off from the outside world.
3/ Unlike North Korea or China, which never had uncensored access to the global Internet and have built their online economies and infrastructure accordingly, Russia is suddenly being wrenched onto the path of a closed national intranet.
4/ Nothing like this has happened before to any advanced economy with a high degree of digitalisation. Not surprising, it is proving massively disruptive, prompting protests from even normally non-political Russians amidst dire warnings of the economic damage it is causing.
5/ Lara Rzhondovskaya, the Editor-in-Chief of Novoe. Media, highlights these dangers in a commentary on her 'Dear Persimmon' Telegram channel:
"Well, the internet is finally moving from being a “living environment” to a “scheduled ration.”
6/ "Whitelisting isn't just about cutting off your access, it's also about graciously leaving a couple of approved sites so you don't starve and can keep nodding happily.
A digital feeding trough, if you will.
7/ "Previously, they tried to "restrict" the internet in Russia. Now they've started treating it as a handout. Feel the difference.
8/ "This isn't about blocking or VPN quests anymore—it's a fundamentally different architectural model: everything is prohibited except for what's specifically approved. It's like an App Store, only without the "leave the circus" button.
9/ "And the most paradoxical thing is that it's presented as a concern.
Security, stability, all that stuff.
But for some reason, amid this “stability,” people’s payments fail, taxis won’t come, services crash, and businesses reliant on external tools simply grind to a halt.
10/ "Apparently, this is what a healthy economy looks like—with a slight touch of schizophrenia.
11/ "Business in general is in for a treat right now. The 21st-century economy, let me remind you, is built on connectivity: clouds, APIs, international services, logistics, online payments.
12/ "And then they tell you, "Sorry, dear, but you're now working in a local sandbox. The global internet is as bad for you as gluten." And so the entrepreneur is no longer scaling, but surviving. Not growing, but looking for where things haven't fallen apart yet.
13/ "And this isn’t just an isolated incident. It’s simply the next layer in a carefully spiraling vortex of madness. Over the past few months, we’ve been consistently told that a normal internet is a luxury.
14/ "First, “temporary” mass blackouts, then “targeted” filtering, then pressure on platforms, then a surprise—you now have a list of permitted sites. Step by step, without any sudden movements, so the frog doesn’t jump out of the pot.
15/ "Only the frog, it seems, has already begun to suspect something.
16/ "Because when it’s not just “politics somewhere out there,” but the familiar infrastructure of daily life simply isn’t working—it starts to infuriate not only the most apolitical, but also the most loyal citizens.
17/ "When you can't work normally, pay, communicate, and generally live without the feeling of being held on a short digital leash—patience suddenly runs out.
18/ "The effect is reinforced by fraudulent property sales, [slaughtering] cows, recycling fees, VAT, and other "joys" of life.
And that's where the saddest part begins. Because people with brains, money, and opportunities in such conditions usually do the same thing.
19/ "They don't go to rallies, no. They pack their bags. And there's a very non-zero probability that a new wave of emigration will turn out to be no weaker than in 2022.
20/ "Simply because an ideology can be supported, not supported, or ignored altogether, but the broken internet, on which your entire life (and often the well-being of your family) depends, is no longer an option.
21/ "So yes, congratulations. We've smoothly transitioned to a reality where the internet isn't a right or even a service, but a regulated resource with metered access. A kind of digital rationing system.
22/ "The main thing is, don't forget to thank [the authorities] for their concern. They're trying their best." /end
1/ Russia's Telegram ban and Internet blocks risk having a counter-productive effect similar to Prohibition in the US a century ago, warn Russian commentators – driving people to acts of civic resistance and pushing them into ideologically unsound spaces. ⬇️
2/ Sergey Kolyashnikov notes how the alcohol ban imposed on the US during Prohibition backfired by turning millions of people into lawbreakers and spurring the growth of the Italian mafia and others seeking to bypass the ban for profit. He sees a similar phenomenon now in Russia:
3/ "Consider the market potential for all sorts of blocking bypass tools. Especially since a significant portion of the audience was already using them to access YouTube and Instagram.
1/ Russian forces have suffered a major defeat near Lyman, with the loss of numerous men and armoured vehicles. The survivors complain that the Ukrainians "fucked us up like pigs at the slaughterhouse" and accuse a Russian general of a reckless gamble. ⬇️
2/ A frontline soldier writing in the 'Management Speaks' Telegram channel gives a furious and graphic account of what happened, in a since-deleted post that also highlights the ongoing collapse in fundraising since Telegram was blocked for many Russians:
3/ "Brothers, no matter what kind of fuckery happens, I'm in it till the very end. I won't lie — they fucked us up like pigs at the slaughterhouse, and I'm ashamed of this shit in front of the families of the guys, not in front of you.
1/ Has Donald Trump accidentally recreated, in an even more severe form, the energy crisis that doomed Jimmy Carter's presidency? A comparison with the 1979 oil crisis shows worrying parallels with the current situation. ⬇️
2/ In August 2023, former Fed chair Larry Summers (@LHSummers) noted this in the Washington Post: "It is sobering to recall that the shape of the past decade’s inflation curve almost perfectly shadows its path from 1966 to 1976 before it accelerated in the late 1970s."
3/ What caused that acceleration? The most immediate trigger was the Iranian Revolution in early 1979, which brought Ayatollah Khomeini to power. The turmoil caused by the revolution caused Iran's oil exports to drop from about 6 million barrels per day to only about 1.5 million.
1/ India is ripping off Russia to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars over oil shipments, according to an angry Russian commentary. India will not pay for Russian oil in anything other than Indian rupees and Indian-made goods, which Russian companies don't want. ⬇️
2/ 'Political Report' writes:
"For several years, Russian officials proudly declared that Europe, by rejecting Russian oil, was only harming itself, while Russia continued to quietly sell its oil to other buyers and enrich itself."
3/ "It was claimed that India was happily buying up barrels at favourable prices. Public figures were aired about the colossal profits the country was supposedly receiving from redirecting supplies to the Asian market. The reality turned out to be far from these rosy reports.
1/ Russian sources say that Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces, under the command of Robert “Madyar” Brovdi, have made "significant strides in UAV production and deployment technology". Russian soldiers are facing "slaughter [like] cattle" as a result. ⬇️
2/ Andrey Medvedev writes:
"We've been reporting since the fall that the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Ukrainian drone manufacturers have made significant strides in UAV production and deployment technology.
3/ "Footage of a single Russian soldier being killed by ten to twenty drones has, unfortunately, been appearing regularly on the Ukrainian segment of Telegram.
1/ Another Russian helicopter has been lost over Ukraine – the second in two days, after yesterday's shootdown of a Ka-52 by an FPV drone (seen here). The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber' is angry at the lack of EW protection on helicopters. ⬇️
It's clear that everyone is now preoccupied with urgently installing anti-FPV drone electronic warfare systems on attack helicopters."
3/ "Why attack helicopters, specifically? Because Mi-8 crews are already carrying homemade electronic warfare systems at their own risk, supported by sponsors, volunteers, or even purchased at their own expense.