1/ Russian forces have suffered a major defeat near Lyman, with the loss of numerous men and armoured vehicles. The survivors complain that the Ukrainians "fucked us up like pigs at the slaughterhouse" and accuse a Russian general of a reckless gamble. ⬇️
2/ A frontline soldier writing in the 'Management Speaks' Telegram channel gives a furious and graphic account of what happened, in a since-deleted post that also highlights the ongoing collapse in fundraising since Telegram was blocked for many Russians:
3/ "Brothers, no matter what kind of fuckery happens, I'm in it till the very end. I won't lie — they fucked us up like pigs at the slaughterhouse, and I'm ashamed of this shit in front of the families of the guys, not in front of you.
4/ "Don't hold any grudge against me for this bullshit!
They were hammering us with state-issued armour[ed vehicles] and God knows how many people died.
5/ "Brothers, I fucked everything, I have absolutely nothing left, I'm a fucking worthless piece of shit who doesn't even have a single ruble right now to buy anything for the lads — and they're the same.
6/ "We desperately need parts, at least some raw shit, any kind of drone, anything at all. I'm used to scraping together 10–20 thousand, brothers, please understand me right now — I'm just a fucking human being and I have no one except you.
7/ "I don't know how to fix this, how to sort everything out, I don't even know how we're supposed to evacuate 26 guys who died because of that cocksucker who's in command!
8/ "Remember: the military commanders from the General Staff are fucking idiots, go ahead and lock me up, you faggots, for my words, but you are absolute finished pieces of shit.
9/ "You bastards can't even agree among yourselves, you don't listen to anyone except your own fucking opinion. Kill me, lock me up, or better yet fire me — but you're all faggots!!
10/ "Pass this on to your Main Directorate of the General Staff and everyone else: we scum are collecting a couple dozen thousand just to fight, you fucking pieces of shit! To actually do my job I need like 10 million to buy everything and supply everyone properly.
11/ "In short, fuck it all. Lock me up or wipe the slate clean — that's better than me having to hear every time about someone's mother calling me a faggot."
12/ Other warbloggers name "that cocksucker who's in command" as the commander of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division, Major General Dmitry Mikhailov.
'Novorossiya Militia Reports' says that Ukrainian claims about Russian losses "shouldn't be trusted."
13/ "But even if you divide these figures by 5, the picture that emerges is bleak.
… The loss of the remaining equipment on the list inevitably implies personnel losses.
14/ "If the worst-case scenario is confirmed, the total losses could reach an entire battalion … Of course, if the operational situation allows for large-scale offensive operations, then we must take advantage of it.
15/ "But the key in all of this is "if the situation allows." A commander must rationally weigh the risks and potential outcomes when making decisions, rather than gamble on the odds.
16/ "In this case, Mikhailov's decision cost us between one hundred and three hundred fighters. His call sign, by the way, is Kurgan [a reference to the villain in 'Highlander']. Unfortunately, in these circumstances, he justifies that call sign." /end
1/ Has Donald Trump accidentally recreated, in an even more severe form, the energy crisis that doomed Jimmy Carter's presidency? A comparison with the 1979 oil crisis shows worrying parallels with the current situation. ⬇️
2/ In August 2023, former Fed chair Larry Summers (@LHSummers) noted this in the Washington Post: "It is sobering to recall that the shape of the past decade’s inflation curve almost perfectly shadows its path from 1966 to 1976 before it accelerated in the late 1970s."
3/ What caused that acceleration? The most immediate trigger was the Iranian Revolution in early 1979, which brought Ayatollah Khomeini to power. The turmoil caused by the revolution caused Iran's oil exports to drop from about 6 million barrels per day to only about 1.5 million.
1/ As the Russian government's strangulation of the Internet deepens, Russian businesses are waking up to the long-feared reality of the so-called 'Cheburnet' – a walled-off national intranet for only selected companies and services. Economic disaster is forecast. ⬇️
2/ 'Cheburnet' (a portmenteau of 'Internet' and the iconic Soviet/Russian children's character Cheburashka) is the standard, sardonic Russian term for the government's long-held ambition to create a North Korea-style 'sovereign Internet', walled off from the outside world.
3/ Unlike North Korea or China, which never had uncensored access to the global Internet and have built their online economies and infrastructure accordingly, Russia is suddenly being wrenched onto the path of a closed national intranet.
1/ India is ripping off Russia to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars over oil shipments, according to an angry Russian commentary. India will not pay for Russian oil in anything other than Indian rupees and Indian-made goods, which Russian companies don't want. ⬇️
2/ 'Political Report' writes:
"For several years, Russian officials proudly declared that Europe, by rejecting Russian oil, was only harming itself, while Russia continued to quietly sell its oil to other buyers and enrich itself."
3/ "It was claimed that India was happily buying up barrels at favourable prices. Public figures were aired about the colossal profits the country was supposedly receiving from redirecting supplies to the Asian market. The reality turned out to be far from these rosy reports.
1/ Russian sources say that Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces, under the command of Robert “Madyar” Brovdi, have made "significant strides in UAV production and deployment technology". Russian soldiers are facing "slaughter [like] cattle" as a result. ⬇️
2/ Andrey Medvedev writes:
"We've been reporting since the fall that the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Ukrainian drone manufacturers have made significant strides in UAV production and deployment technology.
3/ "Footage of a single Russian soldier being killed by ten to twenty drones has, unfortunately, been appearing regularly on the Ukrainian segment of Telegram.
1/ Another Russian helicopter has been lost over Ukraine – the second in two days, after yesterday's shootdown of a Ka-52 by an FPV drone (seen here). The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber' is angry at the lack of EW protection on helicopters. ⬇️
It's clear that everyone is now preoccupied with urgently installing anti-FPV drone electronic warfare systems on attack helicopters."
3/ "Why attack helicopters, specifically? Because Mi-8 crews are already carrying homemade electronic warfare systems at their own risk, supported by sponsors, volunteers, or even purchased at their own expense.
1/ Has Iran managed to reinvent the Sound Dues – the tolls that Denmark imposed for over 400 years on ships entering the Baltic Sea? Recent ship movements suggest that rather than completely blocking the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is monetising it instead. ⬇️
2/ Between 1429 and 1857, Denmark levied a toll on ships passing through the Øresund, the body of water separating Denmark from Sweden. At the time, Denmark controlled both sides of the strait with the castles at Helsingør (Hamlet's Elsinore) and Helsingborg.
3/ The tolls were enforced by the cannon batteries in both castles, which could open fire on a ship trying to pass without authorisation and sink it. They were calculated on the basis of a ship passage fees plus 1–2%, sometimes up to 5%, of the declared cargo value.