Clément Molin Profile picture
Mar 23 20 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Since the start of the year, Ukraine 🇺🇦 dug more than 1 250 km of defenses in the rear areas of the frontline

The "kill zone grid" around the New Donbas Line is quickly expanding. Here is what you need to know and a detailed geographic analysis :

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This is the small town of Shakhtarske in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

You can see one line 5km east of the town, a second one 1km east, which is a ring, going all around, protecting it on all flanks, which will allow it to be a strongpoint. Image
In the south first, you can see here the new fortifications built this year in red. Ukrainian counter-attacks near Pokrovsk'e allowed them to reorganize the defenses of Pokrovsk'e and Novomykolaivka, both of which are now fortified strongholds. Image
Here, you can see in yellow the New Donbass lines finished version and in orange where the construction/upgrade is ongoing. Image
Here near Novomykolaivka, we can see the construction direction, one east, in the direction of Ternuvate and one south.

The current absence of tree cover allows to see individual positions hidden in the woods (for drone teams and infantry). Image
The next map is for the central part of the frontline, from the Vovocha river to Pavlohrad.

In this direction, 4 lines are under construction/improvement and 4 ring defenses are under preparation for Pokrovsk'e, Vassylkivka, Pavlohrad and Shakhtarske. Image
With the colors, we can see how extended the defensive grid is. Lines are interconnected and construction ongoing on 5 different lines if we include the Pavlohrad ring.

If you zoom, you can see how the main towns are perfectly fitting into these lines. Image
This satellite image from today is showing the ongoing construction of a ring defense for Vassylkivka.

The construction started only few weeks ago and nearly half has been done. Image
Here are all the current and under construction lines. These are only the ones which are with 2-3 ditches as well as 2-3 rows of barbed wire... Image
Now for the central part of Donbas. The construction of alone ditches continue all around Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, while the New Donbass lines behind are expanding.

Two new lines behind Dobropilla as well, one around Barvinkove. Image
With the colors, we can see fewer lines under construction mainly because this was the priority before and the main lines are now finished. Pavlorhad and Zaporijjia are the priorities now. Image
Here are some images from today to show how the construction is going and to see that we can see this very easily with satellite images. Image
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Another area where there is some construction, the Oskil and Izium.

This is clearly a secondary area, mainly because the first line here is the Oskil river and it is largely enough to hold the future offensives. Image
Furthur to the north, we can see new fortifications all around Kharkiv and east of the Donets river, around Veliky Burluk. A ring defensive line is also being prepared around Chuhuiv. Image
With the colors, we can see that the missing lines are being completed. This is highly secondary and not a priority. Image
In the northern regions, fortifications are also under preparation, mainly on a second line far from the border, as well as around Chernihiv. Image
To understand how deep the fortifications are going, this is Dnipro, more than 110km from the frontline. Image
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Fortifications are a very important trend to follow if you want to understand both the defensive dynamic of Ukraine and the offensive dynamic of Russia.

Here is white are the main cities and towns, all surrounded by defenses. Image
Thanks for following this thread. I will probably try to map again the russian airstrikes, since we can see them again.

I will probably start with march this year since an intense preparation started. Image
I finish by sharing this good new tool that is very useful.
Thank you all !

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More from @clement_molin

Mar 22
Le mois de mars 2026 pourrait être le pire mois de progression russe 🇷🇺 en Ukraine 🇺🇦 depuis le printemps 2024.

L'accélération promise par beaucoup d'analystes depuis 3 ans n'a toujours pas eu lieu et l'armée ukrainienne tient sans l'aide américaine.

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️ Image
Alors que le lancement des offensives de printemps de l'armée russe se fait attendre (Ocheretyne au printemps 2024 et la route Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka en 2025), l'armée russe ne montre aucun signe d'une accélération de sa progression.

Source des données : @Pouletvolant3 ⬇️
La Russie 🇷🇺 occupe :

🔹19.5% du territoire ukrainien (contre 18.12% en janvier 2023)
🔸100% de la Crimée
🔸99.67% de l’oblast de Louhansk (98.39%)
🔸79.48% de l’oblast de Donetsk (57.16%)
🔸75.45% de l'oblast de Zaporijjia (72.52%)
🔸72.11% de l’oblast de Kherson (72.08%) Image
Read 22 tweets
Mar 21
3 weeks have now passed following the start of the US 🇺🇸-Israeli 🇮🇱 operation to topple the regime in Iran 🇮🇷

🔸The Islamic regime is still holding
🔸The Hormuz Strait is closed
🔸Iran continues to retaliate
🔸No new protest in Iran
🔸US/ISR operations continue

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️Image
Here are the main objectives of the operation:

🔸Create the conditions for regime change in Tehran
🔸Destroy Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs
🔸End attacks against the United States and Israel in the region (Iran and its proxies) Image
Here are Iran's main objectives in its retaliation:

🔸To ensure the regime's survival and elevate the dead to the status of martyrs
🔸To prevent regime change
🔸To create chaos throughout the region, thereby triggering an economic crisis that will ultimately end the war. Image
Read 21 tweets
Mar 19
Since the US 🇺🇸 - Israeli 🇮🇱 operations in Iran 🇮🇷 started, more than 15 000 aistrikes happened, half by the IDF, half by the USAF

Since the first day, I made around 10 different maps and gathered multiple others. Here, you can see two zones of strikes :

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️Image
My very first map was made with preliminary informations, showing US/ISR strikes and Iranian retaliation on the first day. Image
Then, I started gathering the first informations from the first few days of war. You can see which areas are the most targeted in Iran at the time, mainly the big cities as well as the western part of the country. Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 19
I put on a map a video showing 60 russian 🇷🇺 bodies on a 700 meter road along the Kazanny Torets river near the village of Boikivka.

This road is only 1 500 meters from the infamous Novotoretske village with the hundreds dead russian soldiers.

🧵1/7 ⬇️ Image
Novotoretske is usually famous for this path between a barbed wire and dragon teeths.

There is only one hole in the barbed wire so the russian soldiers have been crossing in this only place, amouting nearly 60 dead here.

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Here is the video of the road (geoloc from @giK1893) and a video from the barbed wire (showing russian soldiers walking there), geoloc from @moklasen.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 18
En cartes, les 19 jours d'opérations israélo 🇮🇱 -américaines 🇺🇸 en Iran 🇮🇷

J'ai cartographié 250 villes/villages différents frappés en Iran, 235 au Liban et 170 au Moyen-Orient :

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️Image
En tout, les Etats-Unis et Israël auraient réalisé plus de 15 000 frappes sur l'Iran, un chiffre qui reste à vérifier.

En tout, j'ai pu confirmer 1 450 frappes (min), avec une différence entre les villes ayant les données géolocalisées et celles avec le nombre de bombardements. Image
Au Liban, j'ai pu confirmer plus de 1 200 impacts de frappes israéliennes, en particulier dans le sud et à Beyrouth.

Au Moyen-Orient, j'ai pu compter plus de 650 impacts/frappes iraniennes, même si la réalité se trouve entre 3 000 et 3 700 frappes de ripostes. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 17
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its advance in the south, strikes on Russian rear lines, while the Russian offensive on Dobropilla begins: an update on the war in Ukraine:

The Ukrainian army's tactical successes should not hide the difficulty of the overall situation.

🧵THREAD🧵1/21 ⬇️ Image
Ukrainian forces continued their local counter-attacks south of Pokrovsk'e, reaching Novohryhorivka and probably Novoivanivka on the Velika Novosilka - Hulialpole road.

This does not mean they control the area. At the same time, russian forces continue to push westwards. Image
Ukrainian forces have a significant advantage in the area with the control of 3 tactical heights behind rivers, especially around Prossiana, Mezhova and Ternuvate.

Russian forces are in a difficult terrain without any town or road, which is making any movement difficult. Image
Read 21 tweets

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