CA Vivek Khatri Profile picture
Mar 24 21 tweets 6 min read Read on X
India imports 88% of its crude oil.

Its strategic reserves cover just 9.5 days of consumption.

The govt just awarded construction of Phase 2 SPR and is drafting mandatory LNG buffer rules.

A multi-year infra build cycle has begun.

Here are the 8 listed stocks positioned to benefit. 🧵
1/ The hard numbers first - because they matter.

India's ISPRL (Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd) operates 3 underground caverns:
→ Visakhapatnam: 1.33 MMT
→ Mangaluru: 1.50 MMT
→ Padur: 2.50 MMT

Total: 5.33 MMT. Enough for ~9.5 days of national demand.

As of March 2026, only 3.37 MMT is filled - 64% of capacity.
2/ For context, here's how India compares:

🇮🇳 India (ISPRL only): 9.5 days
🇺🇸 United States: ~90 days
🇨🇳 China: 100+ days
🇯🇵 Japan: ~150+ days

IEA requires member countries to maintain a minimum of 90 days of net oil imports.

India became an IEA Associate Member. The gap is undeniable.

India is the world's 3rd-largest oil importer, and its strategic buffer is thinner than most realise.
How many days of oil can India hold strategically?

Answer in tweet 5. The real number will surprise you.
4/ So what is the govt doing about it?

Phase 2 SPR approved July 2021, now moving:

📍 Padur, Karnataka (2.5 MMT) - construction AWARDED, October 1, 2025
📍 Chandikhol, Odisha (4 MMT) - planned, PPP model

Total addition: 6.5 MMT via Public-Private Partnership.

For Padur, private parties will design, build, finance, AND operate - at a project cost of ~₹5,514 crore for that site alone.
5/ Poll answer: India's ISPRL strategic reserves = just 9.5 days.

But here's the nuance most miss:

India's OMCs (IOCL, BPCL, HPCL) hold an additional ~64.5 days of crude + products.

Combined national storage: ~74 days.

BUT - OMC stocks are commercial, not strategic. They move with markets.

The ISPRL caverns are the sovereign emergency buffer. And that's what's only 9.5 days.

That's the gap Phase 2 addresses.
6/ Now the second, less-discussed chapter: LNG/Gas storage.

India has ZERO Underground Gas Storage (UGS) today.

The Ministry of Petroleum directed ONGC, Oil India & GAIL to conduct a feasibility study for 3–4 BCM of strategic gas stocks.

Cost estimate: USD 1–2 billion. Timeline: 3–4 years post-approval.

In October 2025, a draft policy proposed mandatory ~10% buffer storage at all LNG terminals, accessible by the govt during emergencies.
7/ The geopolitical trigger is real not theoretical.

Since late Feb 2026, the Israel-US–Iran conflict has disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic.

85% of India's LPG supply transits through Hormuz.
~47.4 mmscmd of natural gas supply to India has been impacted.
$12.4 bn was spent importing half of India's gas consumption (Apr 2025–Feb 2026).

India's energy planners are not planning for a theoretical risk. The crisis is live.
8/ 🏭 STOCK 1: INOXINDIA (INOX India Ltd)

India's leading cryogenic equipment manufacturer. ~60% domestic market share in cryogenic tanks.

- FY25 results: Revenue ₹1,354 Cr (+16.2% YoY), PAT ₹224 Cr (+15.4% YoY).
- FY25 order book closed at ₹1,359 Cr.
- Q3 FY26 revenue: ₹436 Cr (+27% YoY). Q3 order inflow: ₹392 Cr.
- FY26 revenue guidance: 18–20% growth.

The LNG segment is the designated growth engine for FY26 and beyond.

Every new terminal buffer mandate = direct order flow.
9/ 🏭 STOCK 2: LT (Larsen & Toubro)

January 16, 2026: L&T Hydrocarbon Onshore wins order from Petronet LNG.

Scope: EPCC (lump sum turnkey) at Dahej Petrochemical Complex, Gujarat:
→ 170,000 cbm LNG/Ethane double-wall storage tank
→ 140,000 cbm Propane double-wall storage tank
→ Handling & despatch facilities

Order size: ₹2,500–5,000 Cr (L&T's "Large" category, per BSE filing).

This is India's first petrochemical complex integrating cold energy from an LNG terminal.
10/ 🏭 STOCK 3: ARTSON (Artson Ltd - Tata Group subsidiary)

EPC specialist for large-diameter bulk liquid storage tanks. Subsidiary of Tata Projects Ltd.

Feb 20, 2026 (BSE filing): Received ₹13.20 Cr order from Reliance Industries for supply of 3 storage tanks. Each tank executed within 6 months.

Note: Artson reported Q3 FY26 net loss - the stock carries real execution risk and low liquidity.

This is the small-cap, high-beta name in the basket. Not for the risk-averse.
Which type of play interests you most?
12/ 🏭 STOCK 4: ENGINERSIN (Engineers India Ltd)

Government's engineering consultancy under MoPNG. Navratna PSU.

EIL's credentials on SPR:
→ Executed Phase 1 SPR at Visakhapatnam, Padur & Mangalore (listed in their own investor presentation as a marquee project)
→ Assigned feasibility reports for 6 NEW proposed SPR sites (June 2025)
→ Order book: ₹13,131 Cr as of Sep 30, 2025

International wins: Dangote Group appointed EIL as PMC + EPCM for Fertilizer Complex expansion, Nigeria (Nov 2025).
13/ 🏭 STOCK 5: PETRONET (Petronet LNG Ltd)

India's largest LNG importer. Processes ~75% of India's LNG imports.

Dahej terminal current capacity: 17.5 MMTPA.
Jan 2026: Awarded L&T the EPCC for new LNG/ethane + propane storage at Dahej Petrochemical Complex.

The Oct 2025 draft 10% buffer mandate, if gazetted, directly enlarges Petronet's strategic role.

LNG terminals become dual-purpose assets: commercial + sovereign.
14/ 🏭 STOCK 6: AEGISLOG (Aegis Logistics Ltd)

India's largest private liquid and gas terminal operator.

Confirmed capex: ₹10,000 Cr (~$1.2 bn) by FY27. $5 bn roadmap by 2030.

JNPA project (₹1,675 Cr): adding 318,100 cbm liquid + 77,286 MT LPG capacity.

India's first independent ammonia terminal (36,000 MT) at Pipavav - targeted Q1 FY27.

Q3 FY26 (9M): Revenue ₹5,739 Cr (+13% YoY), EBITDA ₹929 Cr (+26% YoY).

The PPP model for SPR commercial storage opens a potential landlord role for private operators.
15/ 🏭 STOCKS 7 & 8: ISGEC + LINDEINDIA

ISGEC Heavy Engineering:
→ Manufactures API 650/620 welded steel tanks for crude, petroleum, and chemicals
→ Diversified heavy engineering - indirect play via SPR and refinery tankage
→ Steady domestic + export order book in process equipment

Linde India:
→ Cryogenic storage equipment aligned with global Linde standards
→ Storage systems from 3,000 to 150,000+ litres
→ Positioned for any LNG terminal or strategic gas reserve build

Both are ecosystem plays, not direct SPR beneficiaries. Lower risk, lower upside.
16/ The full basket - classified by exposure type:

📌DIRECT PLAYS (active order flow, confirmed tenders):
→ INOXINDIA - cryogenic LNG tank equipment
→ L&T - large-scale EPCC contractor
→ ENGINERSIN - PMC/EPCM + feasibility mandates

📌OPERATOR PLAYS (storage utilisation + leasing):
→ PETRONET - LNG terminal operator
→ AEGISLOG - private liquid/gas terminal landlord

📌TENDER-SENSITIVE (high beta, high risk):
→ ARTSON - crude/petroleum above-ground tanks (small cap, recent losses)

📌ECOSYSTEM (indirect, lower beta):
→ ISGEC - welded steel tanks
→ LINDEINDIA - industrial cryogenic equipment
17/ Why this is a multi-year structural cycle?

✅ Padur Phase 2 construction awarded: Oct 1, 2025 (Rajya Sabha confirmed)
✅ EIL assigned feasibility for 6 MORE sites: June 2025
✅ PNGRB LNG Terminal Regulations gazetted: May 2025
✅ MoPNG feasibility order for 3–4 BCM gas storage: Nov 2023 (underway)
✅ Draft 10% LNG buffer mandate: Oct 2025

Each milestone triggers the next wave of EPC + equipment orders.

The India SPR + LNG storage buildout will span at least 2025–2030.
18/ Risks - because intellectual honesty matters:

⚠️ Artson reported Q3 FY26 net loss - execution risk is real
⚠️ LNG 10% buffer is still a DRAFT - not yet gazetted
⚠️ UGS feasibility study ongoing - no construction approval yet
⚠️ SPR Phase 2 Chandikhol still in planning - no contract awarded
⚠️ Most stocks are NOT pure-plays - SPR is one part of their order books
⚠️ Small-cap names (Artson, ISGEC) have limited liquidity

A thesis built on verified data is still a thesis not a guarantee.
Will you add any of these to watchlist?
20/ If you read this far, you now understand India's energy storage buildout better than most analysts cover it.

Every data point in this thread is sourced:
→ Rajya Sabha written replies
→ BSE/NSE exchange filings
→ PIB & MoPNG press releases
→ IEA India Gas Market Report
→ CARE Ratings, company investor presentations

Bookmark for reference. Track ISPRL tender announcements at isprlindia.com.

📌 This is NOT investment advice. Verify all data independently. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.

Repost if this was useful 🙏

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More from @CaVivekkhatri

Mar 24
India has investors from 50+ countries.

But right now, 1 country controls 44% of ALL foreign money in Indian equities.

Not 20%.
Not 30%.

44%.

And the sell-off happening in March 2026 makes total sense once you understand WHY this number is dangerous.

A thread most people won't want to hear. 🧵
Here's the actual breakdown (Feb 2026, NSDL data):

🇺🇸 USA → ₹31.53 lakh crore
🇱🇺 Luxembourg → ₹5.27 lakh crore
🇮🇪 Ireland → ₹4.78 lakh crore
🇸🇬 Singapore → ₹4.70 lakh crore
🇬🇧 UK → ₹3.15 lakh crore
🌍 Rest of world → ₹10.85 lakh crore

That's 60.28 lakh crore total foreign AUC.

US alone = more than Luxembourg + Ireland + Singapore + UK + everyone else combined.

Let that sink in.
Question: "Did you know the US controls 44% of FPI money in India?"
Read 14 tweets
Mar 21
Gold hit $5,589. Silver hit $120.

Then both crashed hard while wars were still raging, tariffs still alive, and central banks still buying record amounts.

Most people don't understand why.

Thread on the real reason gold and silver fall during uncertainty 🧵
Gold is up 65% in a year.

Now it's crashing hard.

Do you know why?
First, understand the timeline.

Gold surged 65% in 2025. Silver surged 144%.

These were the sharpest annual gains for both metals since 1979.

Then on January 30, 2026 → gold crashed ~9% in a single day. Silver crashed ~30%.

The worst single-day silver collapse since March 1980. All while the world was still on fire.
Read 16 tweets
Mar 17
The US Fed meets today.

92% chance they hold rates.
77% chance they hold again in June.

Everyone's calling this "good news."

It's not. For India, it's quietly dangerous.

Here's the full picture 🧵
The Fed isn't holding because the economy is fine.

It's holding because it's confused 😐

→ Oil at $100+ is reigniting inflation
→ Cutting now risks a price spiral
→ Hiking now risks a recession

So they freeze. And call it "data dependent."

That's not confidence. That's paralysis.
The rate cut dream is dead. For now 📉

January 2026 → markets pricing in multiple cuts this year

Today → CME FedWatch says:
→ 92%+ probability of HOLD this week
→ 95% probability of HOLD on April 30
→ 77% probability of HOLD even in June

What changed?
→ Israel-Iran war → crude at $100+
→ US diesel above $5/gallon
→ Core PCE inflation stuck at 2.8%

The rate cut party has been postponed. Indefinitely.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 16
Foreign investors just dumped ₹56,883 crore from Indian markets.

In 9 trading sessions.

Not 9 months. Not 9 weeks.

9 days.

Before you panic or load up - you need to understand what's actually happening. 🧵
🚨 The Numbers Nobody Is Putting In One Place - March 2026 FII Data

Session-by-session destruction:

02 Mar → FII -₹3,296 Cr | DII +₹8,594 Cr
04 Mar → FII -₹8,753 Cr | DII +₹12,068 Cr
05 Mar → FII -₹3,753 Cr | DII +₹5,153 Cr
06 Mar → FII -₹6,030 Cr | DII +₹6,972 Cr
09 Mar → FII -₹6,346 Cr | DII +₹9,014 Cr
10 Mar → FII -₹4,673 Cr | DII +₹6,333 Cr
11 Mar → FII -₹6,267 Cr | DII +₹4,966 Cr
12 Mar → FII -₹7,050 Cr | DII +₹7,450 Cr
13 Mar → FII -₹10,717 Cr | DII +₹9,977 Cr

Net sellers. Every. Single. Session.

March total: ₹56,883 Cr sold. In 9 days.
📉 What This Has Done To Indian Markets In 2026

The damage report:

🔴 Nifty 50 → -3,030 pts (-11.59%) in 2026
🔴 Sensex → -10,772 pts (-12.65%) in 2026
🔴 Nifty in March alone → -2,062 pts in 9 sessions
🔴 Sensex in March alone → -6,723 pts in 9 sessions
🔴 FII total selling in 2026 → ₹1,04,000 Cr+

Over half of 2026's FII selling happened in 9 days.

That's not a correction.

That's capital flight.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 15
🚨 Iran Just Split The World Into Two Lists And India Made The Right One

Iran divided every nation into friends and enemies.

India made the friends list.

Two Indian LPG tankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz this morning under Navy escort.

Here's what just happened and why it changes everything for India. 🧵
(Read slowly and share widely)
⚠️ Most Indians Don't Know How Close We Were To A Kitchen Crisis

Strait of Hormuz blocked = India's lifeline cut.

Numbers most people don't know:
→ 90% of India's LPG comes through Hormuz
→ 53-60% of LNG comes through Hormuz
→ ~50% of crude oil from Iraq, Saudi, UAE through Hormuz

333 million Indian households depend on LPG for cooking.

This wasn't an energy crisis on paper.

It was a kitchen crisis in real life.
🇮🇳 The Government Didn't Wait. Here's What Happened Behind Closed Doors.

→ PM Modi called Iran's President directly
→ Emergency LPG production protocols activated
→ Refiners pushed to maximum output
→ Rationing plans quietly prepared

India was 15 days away from real shortages.

Then Jaishankar made one phone call that changed the equation.
Read 15 tweets
Mar 14
🚨 BREAKING:

The US bombed Iran.
Iran blocked the Strait.
Oil hit $100.

Everyone is watching Iran vs USA.

Nobody is watching China.

That's exactly what Beijing wants.

Here's China's hidden hand in this war and why it terrifies Washington: 🧵

(Read this slowly. Share it widely.)
First, understand the battlefield.

Feb 28, 2026: US-Israel strike Iran.
→ Nuclear sites. Military infrastructure. Supreme Leader assassinated.

Iran's response:
→ Blockades the Strait of Hormuz
→ Attacks US bases and Israeli targets
→ 2,000+ Iranian casualties. 3.2M displaced.
→ Brent crude: $98-103/barrel

But Iran also made ONE move nobody expected.

A financial move.

And China quietly handed them the weapon.
China's PUBLIC position looks clean.

→ "Unacceptable violation of sovereignty."
→ Calls for immediate ceasefire.
→ Sends Special Envoy Zhai Jun for "mediation."
→ 12 diplomatic calls with Russia, Oman, Iran.
→ $200,000 humanitarian aid via Red Cross.
→ Evacuates 3,000+ Chinese citizens from Iran.

Sounds like a neutral peacemaker, right?

Look closer.

Because behind this diplomatic curtain is the most calculated strategic play of the decade. 🧵
Read 20 tweets

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