CA Vivek Khatri Profile picture
Algo Trader | Macro Strategist | Spiritual Thinker ll Partner at @Stocki_zen -SEBI Reg. RA Firm-INH000017675 ll Join - https://t.co/oOm6SRALUY
Apr 3 20 tweets 10 min read
🚨India is quietly walking into the worst oil shock since 1973.

Brent crude: $109.
WTI: $111.
Strait of Hormuz: effectively paralyzed.
India's forex reserves: bleeding.

Nobody is telling you the full picture.

I will. Right now.

A complete breakdown of what happens to India if crude stays above $100 for the next 30 days - sector by sector, rupee by rupee, barrel by barrel.

Buckle up.🧵
[ Save this. Share this. Your portfolio depends on it.] 2/20 - THE WAR NOBODY PRICED IN

Feb 28, 2026.

US & Israeli strikes hit Iran.
Iran retaliates. Gulf infrastructure takes hits.
Strait of Hormuz - the jugular of global energy goes dark.

What flows through Hormuz?
→ 20% of ALL global oil
→ 40-52% of India's crude supply
→ $1 TRILLION in annual energy trade

India imports 85% of its crude.
~5.5 million barrels. Every. Single. Day.

This isn't a hypothetical.
This is April 3, 2026.
This is happening RIGHT NOW.

The question isn't IF this hits India.
It's HOW HARD.
Mar 29 14 tweets 3 min read
Pakistan fired 300+ drones and missiles at India.

Every single one was destroyed.

India didn't get lucky.

India had spent years building something most people still don't understand.

And now they just approved ₹2.38 LAKH CRORE more of it. 🧵 The night of May 7–8, 2025.

Pakistan launched:
→ 300+ drones
→ JF-17s firing CM-400AKG hypersonic missiles
→ Suicide drones targeting 15 Indian cities

Targets: Srinagar. Jammu. Amritsar. Bhuj. Chandigarh.

Indian S-400 "Sudarshan Chakra" activated.

Not a single target was hit.

That night changed everything about how India buys weapons.
Mar 27 21 tweets 7 min read
इस साल कुछ stocks बेचे। Profit हुआ।

अब tax भरना पड़ेगा।

लेकिन आपके portfolio में कहीं न कहीं एक fund या stock RED में बैठा है।

वो loss? वो आपका profit CANCEL कर सकता है।

पूरी तरह। कानूनी तरह से। 31 March से पहले।

इसी को Tax Harvesting कहते हैं।

और ज़्यादातर Indian investors को नहीं पता कि वो एक free tax refund पर बैठे हैं। 🧵

(Thread 1/22) 1/ पहले समझते हैं असली खेल।

इस साल आपने कुछ stocks या mutual funds बेचे।

Profit हुआ → Tax लगेगा।

📌 STCG (12 महीने से कम): 20% tax
📌 LTCG (12 महीने से ज़्यादा): 12.5% tax - ₹1.25L के ऊपर

यह दोनों rates Budget 2024 में बढ़ाई गई थीं (July 23, 2024 से लागू)।

अब इस tax को कम करने का तरीका आता है। 👇
Mar 24 21 tweets 6 min read
India imports 88% of its crude oil.

Its strategic reserves cover just 9.5 days of consumption.

The govt just awarded construction of Phase 2 SPR and is drafting mandatory LNG buffer rules.

A multi-year infra build cycle has begun.

Here are the 8 listed stocks positioned to benefit. 🧵 1/ The hard numbers first - because they matter.

India's ISPRL (Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd) operates 3 underground caverns:
→ Visakhapatnam: 1.33 MMT
→ Mangaluru: 1.50 MMT
→ Padur: 2.50 MMT

Total: 5.33 MMT. Enough for ~9.5 days of national demand.

As of March 2026, only 3.37 MMT is filled - 64% of capacity.
Mar 24 14 tweets 4 min read
India has investors from 50+ countries.

But right now, 1 country controls 44% of ALL foreign money in Indian equities.

Not 20%.
Not 30%.

44%.

And the sell-off happening in March 2026 makes total sense once you understand WHY this number is dangerous.

A thread most people won't want to hear. 🧵 Here's the actual breakdown (Feb 2026, NSDL data):

🇺🇸 USA → ₹31.53 lakh crore
🇱🇺 Luxembourg → ₹5.27 lakh crore
🇮🇪 Ireland → ₹4.78 lakh crore
🇸🇬 Singapore → ₹4.70 lakh crore
🇬🇧 UK → ₹3.15 lakh crore
🌍 Rest of world → ₹10.85 lakh crore

That's 60.28 lakh crore total foreign AUC.

US alone = more than Luxembourg + Ireland + Singapore + UK + everyone else combined.

Let that sink in.
Mar 21 16 tweets 3 min read
Gold hit $5,589. Silver hit $120.

Then both crashed hard while wars were still raging, tariffs still alive, and central banks still buying record amounts.

Most people don't understand why.

Thread on the real reason gold and silver fall during uncertainty 🧵 Gold is up 65% in a year.

Now it's crashing hard.

Do you know why?
Mar 17 9 tweets 3 min read
The US Fed meets today.

92% chance they hold rates.
77% chance they hold again in June.

Everyone's calling this "good news."

It's not. For India, it's quietly dangerous.

Here's the full picture 🧵 The Fed isn't holding because the economy is fine.

It's holding because it's confused 😐

→ Oil at $100+ is reigniting inflation
→ Cutting now risks a price spiral
→ Hiking now risks a recession

So they freeze. And call it "data dependent."

That's not confidence. That's paralysis.
Mar 16 12 tweets 4 min read
Foreign investors just dumped ₹56,883 crore from Indian markets.

In 9 trading sessions.

Not 9 months. Not 9 weeks.

9 days.

Before you panic or load up - you need to understand what's actually happening. 🧵 🚨 The Numbers Nobody Is Putting In One Place - March 2026 FII Data

Session-by-session destruction:

02 Mar → FII -₹3,296 Cr | DII +₹8,594 Cr
04 Mar → FII -₹8,753 Cr | DII +₹12,068 Cr
05 Mar → FII -₹3,753 Cr | DII +₹5,153 Cr
06 Mar → FII -₹6,030 Cr | DII +₹6,972 Cr
09 Mar → FII -₹6,346 Cr | DII +₹9,014 Cr
10 Mar → FII -₹4,673 Cr | DII +₹6,333 Cr
11 Mar → FII -₹6,267 Cr | DII +₹4,966 Cr
12 Mar → FII -₹7,050 Cr | DII +₹7,450 Cr
13 Mar → FII -₹10,717 Cr | DII +₹9,977 Cr

Net sellers. Every. Single. Session.

March total: ₹56,883 Cr sold. In 9 days.
Mar 15 15 tweets 4 min read
🚨 Iran Just Split The World Into Two Lists And India Made The Right One

Iran divided every nation into friends and enemies.

India made the friends list.

Two Indian LPG tankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz this morning under Navy escort.

Here's what just happened and why it changes everything for India. 🧵
(Read slowly and share widely) ⚠️ Most Indians Don't Know How Close We Were To A Kitchen Crisis

Strait of Hormuz blocked = India's lifeline cut.

Numbers most people don't know:
→ 90% of India's LPG comes through Hormuz
→ 53-60% of LNG comes through Hormuz
→ ~50% of crude oil from Iraq, Saudi, UAE through Hormuz

333 million Indian households depend on LPG for cooking.

This wasn't an energy crisis on paper.

It was a kitchen crisis in real life.
Mar 14 20 tweets 7 min read
🚨 BREAKING:

The US bombed Iran.
Iran blocked the Strait.
Oil hit $100.

Everyone is watching Iran vs USA.

Nobody is watching China.

That's exactly what Beijing wants.

Here's China's hidden hand in this war and why it terrifies Washington: 🧵

(Read this slowly. Share it widely.) First, understand the battlefield.

Feb 28, 2026: US-Israel strike Iran.
→ Nuclear sites. Military infrastructure. Supreme Leader assassinated.

Iran's response:
→ Blockades the Strait of Hormuz
→ Attacks US bases and Israeli targets
→ 2,000+ Iranian casualties. 3.2M displaced.
→ Brent crude: $98-103/barrel

But Iran also made ONE move nobody expected.

A financial move.

And China quietly handed them the weapon.
Mar 14 22 tweets 6 min read
🚨 BREAKING:

Iran didn't respond to US bombs with missiles.

They responded with GAME THEORY.

And in doing so, they may have just fired the most dangerous shot at the US dollar in 52 years.

Here's the move most people completely missed: 🧵

(Read this slowly. Share it widely.) The Strait of Hormuz is closed.

20% of ALL global oil flows through a 21-mile-wide channel.

7 major insurance clubs have pulled coverage.

80% of merchant shipping is locked out.

The world is screaming for a solution.

Iran just gave them one. But the price will shock you.
Mar 11 18 tweets 6 min read
🚨BREAKING: India's Reliance just locked a 20-year oil deal with the US.

1.2 BILLION barrels.
$125 BILLION in crude.
$175 BILLION in refined products.
$300 BILLION total deal.

Trump called it the BIGGEST DEAL IN US HISTORY.

And for India, this changes everything.

Here's why Ambani made this bet now 👇 THREAD MAP

What you'll understand after reading this thread:

→ Why the US is sitting on oil it CAN'T refine
→ Why America hasn't built a refinery since the 1970s
→ Why Reliance locked 20 years NOW not later
→ How this reduces India's biggest vulnerability
→ Who wins, who loses, and what changes globally

Bookmark before you scroll 🔖
Mar 3 31 tweets 7 min read
China is pressuring Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

There is one problem.

Iran did not close it.

Seven insurance companies in London did.

This thread explains the mechanism nobody is talking about. 🧵 Normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz: ~107 cargo vessels per day.

Traffic as of Sunday March 2: 19 transits.

That is an 81% collapse.

Not from mines. Not from missiles.

From actuaries in London deciding the math no longer worked.
Feb 28 12 tweets 6 min read
₹8,00,000 crore.

That's the estimated value of contracts, deals and trade flowing from Modi's Israel visit.

I spent 6 hours breaking down every MoU, every sector, and every listed stock that just changed.

Here's what nobody sent you 👇🧵
(MUST BOOKMARK) In this thread you will learn:

→ Which 5 sectors just got a decade-long tailwind
→ 20+ listed stocks with direct exposure to these deals
→ The one MoU nobody covered that could 3x Indian agriculture
→ Why Adani already owns the physical gateway of this entire trade corridor
→ The hidden risk that could make all of this irrelevant
→ Exact timeframes - which plays are 6 months, which are 10 years

By the end you won't just understand the visit.

You'll know exactly where the money flows next.

Let's go 👇
Feb 27 8 tweets 3 min read
🚨 BREAKING: India's GDP just hit 7.8%.

The Sensex fell 961 points on the exact same day.

Most people saw two headlines.

They missed the entire story.

Here's what actually happened and what it means for your money 👇🧵 Before the numbers you need to understand one thing.

India just threw away its 13-year-old measuring stick.

And built a completely new one.

Everything you've read about India's GDP before today?

Measured wrong.

Here's what changed and why it matters more than the 7.8% number.
Feb 26 16 tweets 12 min read
India is adding 37 GW of solar every year.

But the sun doesn't shine at night.
The wind doesn't blow on command.

The grid needs STORAGE.

BESS - Battery Energy Storage Systems.

₹9,400 crore VGF scheme.
₹18,100 crore PLI for cell manufacturing.
74 GW storage needed by 2031-32.
Operational capacity set to go 10X in 2026 alone.

Nobody is talking about this sector loudly enough.

Complete category-wise stock breakdown 🧵👇

[Save this. You'll thank me later.] Why BESS is THE sector of this decade 👇

The numbers tell the story:

→ India's BESS installed capacity (2025) → 507 MWh
→ India's BESS projected capacity (2026) → 5 GWh (nearly 10X jump)
→ CEA storage requirement by 2031-32 → 47 GW / 236 GWh of BESS alone
→ 69 mega-tenders issued in 2025 → 102 GWh worth of BESS projects
→ BESS market size (2025) → $1.54 billion
→ BESS market target (2031) → $8.59 billion at 33.2% CAGR

Government policy muscle behind it:
→ ₹9,400 crore VGF covers up to 40% of standalone BESS capex
→ ₹18,100 crore PLI scheme for domestic battery cell manufacturing
→ ISTS charge waivers for storage projects until June 2028
→ 20% domestic value addition mandate → Indian manufacturers win
→ Energy Storage Obligation (ESO) → DISCOMs legally required to source % of power from storage

This isn't a speculative theme.
This is a policy-backed, legally mandated industrial revolution. ⚡
Feb 25 9 tweets 3 min read
🚨BREAKING: Anthropic just rewrote the AI disruption playbook.

Not by replacing IT services… but by admitting it can't survive without them.

• A $380Bn AI giant needs human expertise to work in the real world.
• 350,000 professionals just got deployed not fired.
• The "AI kills IT" trade just became the most crowded wrong bet of 2026.

The real story?
Almost nobody is reading this correctly.

Let's break it down 🧵👇 For months, the narrative was simple:

"AI will replace IT services. Automate the coders. Kill the consultants."

Markets believed it.
Investors sold IT.
Everyone panicked.

There was just one problem.

Nobody asked: who deploys AI inside a bank?
Who manages compliance in a hospital?
Who modernises 30-year-old legacy systems?

Not Anthropic. They don't have 350,000 people.
Feb 23 12 tweets 5 min read
You work hard. Save money. Trust a bank.

Meanwhile, IDFC First Bank employees are stealing ₹590 crore from government accounts.

Nobody has gone to jail yet.

The stock crashed 18%.
Haryana Govt shut them out overnight.
Retail investors are left holding the bag.

Full breakdown 🧵👇Image First, understand who IDFC First Bank is.

This is NOT a small unknown bank.

→ Founded 2018 (merger of IDFC Bank + Capital First)
→ 943+ branches across India
→ Q3 FY26 net profit → ₹503 crore (up 48% YoY)
→ Deposits growing 24% year on year
→ Rated as one of India's fastest-growing private banks

Everything looked fine from the outside.

Then one routine visit by a government official changed everything. 💀
Feb 23 19 tweets 8 min read
Everyone knows Tata, L&T, Reliance.

The real wealth builders?

They quietly bought India's Aero & Defence stocks before the supercycle started.

₹6.81 lakh crore defence budget. Make in India. Atmanirbhar Bharat.

The biggest sector opportunity of this decade. 🛡️

Complete category-wise stock list 🧵👇

(Save this. You'll thank me later) Here's why smart money is piling into Aero & Defence 👇

- India's defence budget → ₹6.81 lakh crore in FY26
- Domestic procurement target → 75% of modernisation budget
- Defence export target → ₹50,000 crore by 2026
- Sector turnover target → $26 billion by 2026

Translation?

Government MUST buy from Indian companies.
Long order books. Guaranteed revenue. Multi-year visibility.

This isn't a trade. It's a decade-long structural story. 🇮🇳
Feb 22 14 tweets 5 min read
Everyone buys Maruti. Tata. M&M.

The real wealth builders?

They bought the companies that SUPPLY them.

Auto Ancillary → India's most underrated sector.

Complete category-wise stock list 🧵👇

(Save this. You'll thank me later) Here's why smart money loves Auto Ancillary 👇

Maruti sells 1 car → 1 revenue event
Ancillary supplies 1 car → 20,000+ components sold

Every. Single. Time.

OEM wins once.
Ancillary wins every time an OEM wins.

Now add EV transition on top.
Entire new component sets. New winners.

You want to be in COMPONENTS. 🔩
Feb 20 12 tweets 3 min read
Trump's Supreme Court just killed his tariff weapon.

India had already cut a deal at 18%.

But here's what nobody is telling you about both stories.

The real India impact is more complicated and more important than the headlines 🧵 Let's set the timeline straight first.

Aug 2025: Trump hits India with 50% tariffs total.
→ 25% reciprocal tariff (Liberation Day)
→ 25% extra penalty for buying Russian oil

India became one of the highest-tariffed nations on earth.

Feb 7, 2026: The 25% Russian oil penalty removed.
18% reciprocal tariff framework agreed.

That's the deal. But it's not fully implemented yet.