Mikhail Khodorkovsky Profile picture
Mar 24 12 tweets 4 min read Read on X
We already knew the Kremlin was sending men to die in Ukraine.

But a new @dossier_center investigation based on leaked military records shows it's far worse than anyone imagined. For soldiers in front-line assault units, the odds of surviving the war are approaching zero.

(Read on)Image
According to internal documents, more than 28,000 soldiers were assigned to a single Russian division in 2024. Its full wartime strength should not exceed 14,000.

That means roughly a whole division's worth of personnel was lost in one year — killed, wounded beyond return, captured, or missing.

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This unit has been at the front line since April 2024 and has never been withdrawn for rest or reconstitution. Instead, it is sustained by a constant inflow of new recruits from across Russia, sent directly into assault groups to replace the dead. They die. They are replaced. The cycle continues.

[3/12]Image
The structure mirrors what Wagner Group did under Prigozhin: a relatively protected core of command and support staff, and expendable assault units fed by a steady stream of fresh bodies.

The difference is that Wagner relied on convicts. Today, many filling the same role are ordinary citizens who signed contracts — often with little understanding of what they were walking into.

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Officially, Russia recorded just 12 deaths for this division in all of 2024. In reality, nearly 4,800 soldiers are listed as "missing for more than one day." Cross-referencing the data suggests most of them are dead.

[5/12]
Independent estimates put the real toll at roughly 5,000 killed or missing, and up to 10,000 severely wounded and permanently removed from service. That's around 15,000 irreversible losses from a single unit in a single year.

[6/12]
A new recruit joining this division had a 15-17% chance of being killed within a year, and a 30-35% chance of suffering an injury that ended their service permanently. For those assigned to assault roles — which is where most new recruits are sent — the odds were even worse.

[7/12]
New soldiers are not distributed evenly. They are overwhelmingly funneled into front-line rifle companies where losses are highest. In one regiment alone, more than 6,800 soldiers passed through in 2024. Around 5,000 were lost.

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The data also shows that older soldiers are more likely to be killed, and many officers are not career professionals but reservists or hastily trained personnel. This is not an army built for sustainability. It is built to absorb losses.

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Over two years of fighting, this division advanced roughly 50 kilometers — taking tens of thousands of casualties in the process. This isn't speculation or battlefield anecdotes. It's based on internal personnel records that were never supposed to be made public.

[10/12]
Putin's complete disregard for human life — including the lives of his own citizens — should surprise no one at this point. He doesn't care how many people need to die, Russians or Ukrainians, as long as he remains in power.

[11/12]
Read @dossier_center's full investigation here:

Follow for more!

[12/12]dossier.center/minus27/

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More from @khodorkovsky_en

Jun 9
“They’ve lost their fear.” A spy who inspired “The Americans” uses “Putin’s Davos” to suggest blowing up LNG tankers bound for Europe.

(🧵Here’s what else he said)
His name is Andrei Bezrukov. For two decades he lived in the U.S. under a stolen Canadian identity, residing in Cambridge, Massachusetts, as Harvard-educated consultant “Donald Heathfield.”


[2/12]thecrimson.com/article/2010/7…
He worked with his wife Elena Vavilova, who was posing as real estate agent “Tracey Foley.” At the time of the arrest, they had two sons, 20 and 16, who had no idea their parents were spies for a foreign country.

[3/12]
Read 12 tweets
Jun 8
Imagine this: terrorists take 900 people hostage. They have political demands, offer to release 10 people a day. They name the opposition MP they're ready to talk to.

The MP agrees—but the president stops him, afraid the MP's rating might rise... 🧵[1/7]
That president was Vladimir Putin, and the opposition MP was Boris Nemtsov. The 2002 Nord-Ost theater siege was one of the moments that came to define Putin's presidency.

He chose to use a fentanyl-based gas to knock out the terrorists and then sent in special forces to kill them off.

[2/7]
The problem: the gas didn't selectively work on terrorists only—it also affected hostages. The medics who went in didn't know how to revive them because they weren't given an antidote.

130 people ended up dying, and we don't know how many more could've been saved had Nemtsov been allowed to negotiate.

[3/7]
Read 7 tweets
Jun 6
Imagine a foreign government doesn't like what your country is doing, and decides to change it. Without asking you.

That's what Putin is doing in the Baltic states. He just got his first big win in Latvia. 🧵 [1/13]
On May 7, Ukrainian drones, pushed off course by Russian electronic warfare, entered Latvia from Russia. One exploded at an oil depot in Rēzekne: four empty fuel tanks were destroyed — luckily, no one was hurt.

[2/13]
You'd think that should have been the end of it — instead, three days later, Latvia's defense minister resigned. Four days after that, the government collapsed altogether.

Essentially, a NATO country's cabinet was removed from power by a hybrid operation conducted by the Kremlin.

[3/13]
Read 13 tweets
Jun 2
Remember the pig heads at the Paris mosques? Or the Jewish centers painted green?

I knew exactly whose work it was the moment I saw it. Now — I finally have the proof. 🧵 [1/19]
My colleagues at the @dossier_center have obtained a large internal leak from a Moscow company called the Social Design Agency, or SDA.

It is run by a political operative named Ilya Gambashidze, the Kremlin is contracting him to manufacture scandals.

[2/19] Image
Their work is divided into two parts: online and offline. Online, the SDA writes fake news and posts fake videos. Offline, it pays crews from the Balkans to stage real stunts on European streets. 

It's now abundantly clear that many of Europe's "spontaneous" scandals originated in Moscow.

[3/19]
Read 20 tweets
May 26
"Privacy. That's iPhone." Apple pulled 1,213 apps from its Russian App Store last year at the Kremlin's request — more than from China, Vietnam, India, Korea, and the U.S. combined.

🧵 Most were VPN apps used to access WhatsApp
To understand why they're doing this, you have to look at what the Kremlin wants people to use instead — a state messenger called MAX, built by VK, whose CEO is the son of Kremlin domestic policy adviser Sergei Kiriyenko. It's an app with a back door for security services.

[2/12]
A federal law passed in 2025 required MAX to be pre-installed on every smartphone sold in Russia by September. The design follows China's WeChat: one app for messages, payments, government services, digital passport, medical insurance, and tax records.

[3/12]
Read 12 tweets
May 25
The Kremlin has a plan for the Armenian NGOs left stranded after USAID's collapse: take them over.

Leaked documents obtained by @dossier_center show it's just one piece of Moscow's effort to derail Armenia's pivot to the West 🧵[1/21] Image
Dossier Center has obtained internal Kremlin-linked strategy documents showing how Russian political consultants have been trying to influence Armenia's election by building, from nothing, an entire ecosystem of opposition to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

[2/21]
Publicly, Putin claims (of course) Moscow doesn't interfere in Armenian politics. Privately, Kremlin-linked consultants coordinated polling, messaging, coalition planning, media operations, and campaign strategy to weaken Pashinyan and halt Armenia's pivot to the West.

[3/21]
Read 21 tweets

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