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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27 • 9 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X

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Russia poured $11.8B into occupied Ukrainian territories in 2024–2026 — 3x more than the combined development funds for 20 other Russian regions — Reuters.

The money is permanently building occupied Ukraine into Russia — ahead of any peace deal. 1/

Reuters analyzed thousands of satellite images using a machine-learning model.

Result: 2,500+ km of railroads, highways and roads newly built or upgraded across occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson since 2022. 2/

Novorossiya Railways: $425M spent since 2023. A 525 km main line is under construction across all four occupied Ukrainian regions

Satellite images show a 60 km section in Donetsk already laid, built to deliver ammunition and military vehicles away from Ukrainian strike range. 3/

Ukrainian fighter Orest operates behind enemy lines in Donetsk. He watches Russia rebuild the railways his unit keeps bombing.

"The railroad is hundreds of kilometres long. We're not all-powerful, unfortunately." 4/

Novorossiya Highway: $214M+ in awarded tenders, 630 km when finished — part of a 1,400 km "Azov Ring" loop connecting Russia, occupied Ukraine and Crimea.

It already bypasses the Crimean Bridge — Ukraine's main chokepoint against Russian military supply. 5/

Moscow added Mariupol and Berdiansk to its list of open Russian ports in August.

Satellite: a new silver-domed structure on Mariupol's docks. 18 cargo ships departed July–November 2025, loaded with grain and coal. In 2024: zero. 6/

Russia is auctioning Ukrainian natural resources. A gold deposit in Luhansk with $260M in reserves was sold to a Russian mining company for $9.7M.

508,500 tons of Ukrainian coal exported since 2022 — to Turkey, UAE, India and Indonesia. 7X

Source: reuters.com/investigations…

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

Russia is trying to reduce contact with the outside world. It’s starting to look like a war-time Iran model: closed, controllable, security-first.

In early March, mobile internet in Moscow and St. Petersburg was blocked on FSB orders — almost 3 weeks, Economist. 1/

In Moscow, the social contract is: no civic freedom, but daily life works via apps.

Then suddenly parents can’t message kids, parking can’t be paid, couriers can’t deliver, taxis revert to phone calls. 2/

Price tag: up to 1B rubles a day ($12M) for business losses.

People started buying radios, pagers, paper maps. A payphone shows up at Patriarch’s Ponds like conceptual art: “Guess what they’re burying.” 3/

Read 8 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

This is a Ukrainian veteran, Serhii Pomahaibo (46).

In August 2022, a gunshot shrapnel wound to the head near Kherson. Open brain trauma. Coma.

His wife was told he was dead. She didn't believe it. She searched hospitals until she found him in intensive care in Odesa. 1/

When doctors let her in for one minute, she touched his hand and spoke to him. He opened his eyes. Tears rolled down his face.

A monitor showed brain activity that wasn't there before.

Serhii recognized her. That was the moment his fight for recovery began. 2/

Serhii first went to war in 2014, when the ATO started. On the morning of February 24, 2022, he was already standing at his recruitment office in Vinnytsia region with his brothers in arms.

Group 1A disability. Left side of his body doesn't move. He uses a wheelchair. 3/

Read 6 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

Keane on Iran: We're [US] in the red zone. We're on the 20-yard line. This is conditions-based — the enemy has a vote. About three more weeks to finish the operation.

We will accomplish all of the objectives Trump has given CENTCOM. 1/

Keane: Iran's leadership is in chaos. The paranoia is real, the chaotic decision-making is real.

We are fragmenting that leadership and we have weeks to do more of that. They are trying to survive personally and keep the regime intact. That is an enormous problem for them. 2/

Keane: Iran is protecting what it has left to retaliate when the US opens the Strait of Hormuz and takes Kharg Island.

They are still flying missiles and drones at US bases and at Israel while hiding those assets. That makes target identification harder, but we will get there. 3/

Read 8 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

John Foreman: The factors that drove Putin to war have not been settled. Russia is not a great power.

Putin’s legacy is not secure. NATO expanded. Americans are still in Europe. Europe and NATO need to provide security guarantees to Ukraine to prevent Russia from reattacking. 1/

Foreman: American sanctions and pressure were having a serious effect on the Russian economy in December, January, February.

Then the Iran war happens, the pressure’s off, and there’s war fatigue in the West — Ukraine becomes “yesterday’s news,” mentioned mainly after missile attacks. 2/

Foreman: That has driven Ukrainians down the path of self-sufficiency. They can’t trust the Americans and they’re not going to get into NATO.

They are producing 60–65% of their own arms and placing long-term relationships in Europe. Some capabilities only allies can provide. 3X

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

Zelenskyy: I signed a defense deal with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

We reached an important agreement between the defense ministries of Ukraine and Saudi Arabia on defense cooperation.

We are ready to cooperate with Saudi Arabia to better protect lives. 1/

Zelenskyy: The agreement lays the foundation for future contracts, technological cooperation, investment, and strengthens Ukraine’s international role as a security provider.

We are ready to share our expertise and systems with Saudi Arabia. 2/

Zelenskyy: For 5 years, Ukrainians have been fighting against the same kind of terrorist attacks using ballistic missiles and drones that the Iranian regime is now carrying out in the Middle East and the Gulf region. 3/

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 27

US senators move to sanction Hungary over blocking Ukraine aid.

A bipartisan bill from Shaheen and Tillis would target Hungarian officials with asset freezes and visa bans for obstructing support to Kyiv and buying Russian energy — as Orbán holds up a €90B EU loan, FT. 1/

The “Block Putin Act” is led by Dem. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and Rep. Sen. Thom Tillis.

It would force Trump to sanction officials tied to Russian oil and gas deals and efforts to block Ukraine support. 2/

The trigger is Budapest’s veto. Orbán is blocking a €90B EU loan to Ukraine ahead of elections where polls show his party trailing by 23 points against Tisza. 3/

Read 8 tweets

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