David Turver Profile picture
Mar 29 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
In a vote tantamount to treason, Parliament decided 297-108 to put Net Zero ideology above Britain's energy security. MPs rejected a Tory motion to scrap the Energy Profits Levy, lift the ban on new North Sea licences & approve the Rosebank & Jackdaw fields. A thread (1/15) Image
Not a single Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Reform or Restore Britain MP voted in favour. This decision came at a dangerous time – amid a the largest ever energy shock triggered by the war in Iran. (2/15)
Normally ~20% of the world's oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Since the conflict started, traffic has plunged by over 95%. Brent crude and UK gas prices have risen sharply as a result. (3/15) Image
The disruption is severe: Qatar’s giant Ras Laffan LNG plant was hit, knocking out 17% of its export capacity and triggering force majeure. Bahrain refinery attacked. Iraq has cut oil output too. (4/15)
Fertiliser, helium (vital for semiconductors), petrochemicals, sulphur and aluminium production have all been disrupted across the Gulf. The IEA has warned of the largest oil supply disruption in history. Fuel shortages in Europe could hit soon. (5/15)
The UK is especially vulnerable. Decades of policy have degraded our oil & gas industry, chemical sector and aluminium production. We no longer make our own ammonia for fertiliser. Coal, oil & gas still supply nearly three-quarters of our energy. (6/15) Image
Yet import dependence is rising while domestic production falls. Labour’s response has been feeble: a “Cheaper Fuel Finder” website, plug-in solar panels in supermarkets, and forcing new homes to install solar and heat pumps. The Chocolate Teapot response. (7/15) Image
At PMQs, Keir Starmer refused to overrule Ed Miliband and fast-track Jackdaw and Rosebank. Even the Tony Blair Institute, RenewableUK, Offshore Energies UK and some Labour backbenchers have called for more North Sea drilling. (8/15)
Critics claim the North Sea is a “mature basin in decline”. But official forecasts assume the current hostile tax and regulatory regime remains in place. With lower taxes and less red tape, production would fall far more slowly. (9/15) Image
OEUK analysis shows oil & gas reserves & resources could almost triple to 7.5bn boe from low case with a shift in policy. More domestic production would deliver well-paid jobs, tax revenue, improved energy security & lower prices by displacing expensive LNG imports. (10/15) Image
It would even reduce global emissions by avoiding the energy-intensive process of liquefying and shipping LNG. A rational response would include scrapping the 78% marginal windfall tax and ending the ban on new exploration. (11/15)
Also needed: lift the fracking moratorium, reform or scrap costly Scope 3 rules, cut carbon taxes and expensive renewable subsidies, and reduce fuel duty. These tax cuts could be funded by trimming EV and heat pump subsidies. (12/15)
The vote flushed out the enemies of energy security. Nearly 300 MPs (Labour, Greens, Plaid etc.) voted against more domestic energy. Lib Dem leader Ed Davey led his party in mass abstention. Nine SNP MPs – including some from hard-hit Aberdeen – also failed to vote. (13/15)
118 Labour MPs abstained too. Reform and Restore Britain MPs also refused to support the motion despite agreeing with its aims. Only 108 MPs backed it – mostly Conservatives. Prioritising Net Zero over energy security in this crisis is reckless. (14/15)
At best it is wilful negligence. At worst, tantamount to treason against the British people. If you enjoyed this thread, please like and share. You can sign up to read the full article on the link below (15/15)
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More from @7Kiwi

Mar 22
The CCC recently dropped a supplementary analysis of their 7th Carbon Budget, doubling down on past errors. They claim Net Zero costs less than the 2022 fossil fuel price spike & delivers a "net benefit" to society. Let's dismantle the ivory tower claptrap. A thread (1/13) Image
They also claim achieving Net Zero is “more cost-effective” than continued reliance on fossil fuels in all scenarios (2/13)
To support this, they’ve added “co-impacts” — cleaner air, warmer homes, active travel, “healthier diets” and carbon savings. Sounds impressive… until you examine the numbers and assumptions. (3/13)
Read 14 tweets
Mar 15
New deep dive: "Octopus Smoke and Mirrors" exposes what's really going on behind the hype at Octopus, the UK's biggest energy supplier. Spoiler: a lot of valuation puffery, restated accounts and marketing flim-flam. A thread (1/10) Image
Recap: Last year I asked if we'd hit "Peak Pink Octopus" after news of spinning off Kraken (their tech platform) at £10bn, valuing the whole group at £15bn. It smelled like hype before a sale which was borne out by the actual valuation of ~£6.7bn. (2/10)
Now the latest FY2025 accounts for Octopus Energy Group Limited show it fell into losses again. Investors were not on hand to provide more funding. Instead they sought to monetise their investment by demerging Kraken (3/10) Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 8
🚨New article alert: "Net Zero is the Road to Serfdom" – UK’s rush to Net Zero is futile virtue signalling, hiking energy costs, and tanking the economy. Inspired by Hayek's warnings on central planning, we’re on the Road to Serfdom. A thread (1/11) #NetZero #UKEnergy Image
Labour MPs boast about "secure" renewables & wind power, while Starmer signs us up to stricter EU Net Zero rules. But govt control of energy is leading to energy austerity & poor economic performance. How far down the road to serfdom are we? (2/11)
Energy Prices: UK industrial electricity tops the developed world at 26.63p/kWh – 3.5x Canada's cheapest. Domestic prices 2.4x US levels. Gas fares better but still 6x Canada for industry. Nothing to brag about – it's crippling us! (3/11) Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 1
There's a lot going on today, but nevertheless it's important to understand what happened in the latest Ofgem price cap. Labour's fairground shell game of shuffling of subsidy costs cannot hide the increasing costs of renewables. A thread 🧵(1/n) Image
First up, Labour promised a £300 cut in bills at the election. They also claimed they would reduce bills by £150 in April, but the reality is a reduction of just £117. So both Labour's promises were lies (2/n) Image
We can see in the detail that wholesale gas and electricity prices fell in the latest price cap. This led to q cut of about £19 in direct fuel costs for electricity and £44 for gas (3/n)
Read 12 tweets
Feb 22
The productivity of the electricity generation sector has halved since generation peaked in 2005. Renewables are dragging us over the energy cliff. A thread (1/n) Image
Over the past few weeks the government has released the results of the AR7 and AR7a renewables auctions and celebrated the creation of up to 17,000 jobs. But more jobs in electricity generation is not a goodie thing - akin to digging holes and filling them in again (2/n)
Looked at in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA), electricity generation productivity looks superficially good. Even though hours worked has soared, GVA/hour has gone up. But this is only tracking high energy prices (3/n) Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 15
The results of the AR7a renewables auction expose government lies about the cost of renewables and net zero. A thread 🧵(1/n) (link to full article in bio) Image
AR7a awarded contracts for 4.9GW of new solar at a clearing price of £68/MWh (in 2025 prices), 1.3GW of onshore wind at £75/MWh and a further 21MW of tidal stream capacity. (2/n)
Superficially it looks cheap, leading @Ed_Miliband to claim new onshore wind & solar are 50% cheaper than gas & he is lowering bills. But his claims are based on lies (3/n) Image
Read 17 tweets

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