Michael Caley Profile picture
Apr 1 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
the new Expecting Goals newsletter continues my studies of the set piece revolution in the Premier League

Corner kicks and long throws have accounted for nearly 1 in 4 of PL goals scored this season

How did this happen?

There are two clear innovators -- Brentford and Arsenal Image
in the early 2010s, managers including Sam Allardyce, Tony Pulis and Mick McCarthy tried to optimize their corner kicks with deliveries to the six yard box, but they did not manage to solve the mystery and their teams' corner kick results were merely ~average Image
we can see from a comparison of their tactics with Arsenal and several of this season's top teams that they are unable to target the area 3-4 yards from goal, likely because they did not successfully impede the keeper -- there was no meat wall it seems Image
Image
on throw-ins we find the Rory Delap Trap

Stoke City were a below average team at scoring from throw-ins despite Delap's incredible arms. Instead of developing throw-in specific routines, they played for easily saved direct headers, scoring just 2 of 55 over three seasons Image
It took Brentford's tactics developed specifically for throw-ins to realize the value of these opportunities Image
over the longer history of the Premier League we can see that other teams, especially in the early 2010s, were trying to maximize their corner kicks with deliveries very close to goal. But Sam Allardyce, Tony Pulis and Mick McCarthy did not solve the puzzle here Image
read the whole thing!

open.substack.com/pub/expectingg…

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