Clément Molin Profile picture
Apr 4 18 tweets 7 min read Read on X
100 km of kill zone, let's dive inside one of Ukraine's 🇺🇦 best defensive line

The Verkhnya Tersa line -with only 18 crossing over 100km- is one of the strongest and best prepared fortified line in Ukraine. Here is a detailed analysis :

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First "New Donbas Line" style prepared in the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk region, this line is covered north of Novomykolaivka by 3 other lines, while only one before Novomykolaivka.

South of it, this line is the first defensive line, only protected by older line and barbed wire.Image
Here is a video from few months ago of the central part of this line, the one protecting Novomykolaivka.

This area of around 25 km is the most ready on the 100 km of that particular line. North of Novomykolaivka, barbed wire has not been installed, the frontline is too far.
As you can see, there are 18 rows of barbed wire on 6 different lines, including 3 at the bottom of anti-tank ditches and one on top of draon teeths.

There are as well three anti-tank ditches and anti-vehicle obstacles, the dragon teeths.

This is an obtsacle line. Image
Here is a closer view of a road, which is let open to allow logistics.

If the line is a problem for Russia, it can quickly become one for Ukraine as well, making any movement more difficult. We could see Ukraine forced to breach its one lines... Image
The revolution of these new lines are that they even cover forest, ponds and rivers. No more holes are let behind, except the prepared ones.

In total, 18 roads for 100 km is one every 5.5 km, but if we take only the part of the line south of Novomykolaivka, it's one every 6.6 km Image
With a 90° rotation, we can see how this line is meant to secure a large countryside area. Just behind are lying more than 170 small hidden positions for soldiers and drone teams. Image
To understand the scale of the line, here is where it is in Ukraine. This line is not even the longest continous one. For example, a line going from Ternuvate to Sloviansk is 250 km long !

Ones under construction could be even longer. Image
Here is a closer view of the weaker part of the line. South of Novomykolaivka, Ukraine switches from 3 to 2 anti-tank ditches (they are doing this when they don't have the time to dig a full line).

You can see a new line under construction west and few barbed wires. Image
Russia will be forced to push into open terrain with a lot of barbed wire. All this area will be under ukrainien fire control, which will be safe from infiltrations and attacks behind their lines.

These fields will create high attrition for russians that will struggle to push. Image
This strategy is being prepared everywhere with 3 to 6 lines !

Overall, we can see a grid being formed as I already talked about it in the past. Image
Let's get back to more recent images. Everyday that passes is an occasion to better the defenses. Ukrainian counter-attacks near Pokrovsk'e allowed the placement of 4 rows of barded wire which are roughly 100 meter large !

This was made to fill the holes in the lone ditch line. Image
Here too, we can see multiple rows of barbed wire being placed, both around a line that is under construction and also in the middle of fields. Image
To cover the roads, the ukrainians are now also digging a small corridor of around 100 meter along key roads, which will complicate the crossing of these roads. Image
In the north, Ukraine is now adopting 4 lines of barbed wire + 3 lines of ditches. This will be extremely deadly to cross. Image
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The last things : positions. The ukrainian forces are preparing small trenches that will be hidden in summer.

These are bunkers to hide infantry/drone teams... Other positions are everywhere as well. Image
Thanks for following this analysis on a particular sector of the defensive lines.

This line is interesting because it's finished, continuous and well built. If you want, I can do same for other lines, just tell me which ones ! Image
For the ones that are still saying that I'm helping Russia :
-I'm doing this in an analytical way, to understand where Russia will attack and Ukraine defend
-Ukrainian forces will need to know where are the safe roads, I can help them
-Russian forces are losing hundred of recon drones above these areas everyday, they know everything
-These are public images, accessible by everyone
-I'm doing same for Russia, but they are not digging any big line
-Russian bloggers are already doing their own maps, example : opor_2014

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More from @clement_molin

Apr 27
3 jours après une triple offensive du JNIM et du FLA contre l'armée malienne 🇲🇱 et l'Afrika Corps russe 🇷🇺, le point sur la situation :

Le Front de Libération de l'Azawad a levé ce matin son drapeau sur Kidal, marquant une retentissante victoire.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️ Image
Alors que les rebelles touaregs du Front de Libération de l'Azawad (FLA) levaient leur drapeau sur Kidal, russe de l'AC et une partie des maliens (FAMA) étaient escortés par le groupe terroriste JNIM (groupe de soutien à l'Islam et aux Musulmans) en dehors de la ville.
Le 14 novembre 2023, deux semaines après le départ de la MONUSCO de Kidal, les FAMA et Wagner aveint relancé la guerre contre les touareg (malgré les accords de paix d'Alger), s'emparant de la ville.

Depuis, les FAMA et Wagner maintenaient une série d'avant postes dans le nord. Image
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Read 27 tweets
Apr 26
La Russie 🇷🇺 c'est vraiment le pire allié possible à avoir...

Quand tout va bien ils sont là, montrant une fausse protection, mais quand vous en avez besoin, ils sont nulle part.

Arménie 2020, Syrie 2024, Venezuela 2026, Iran 2026, Hongrie 2026 et désormais le Sahel. ⬇️ Image
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Ce que beaucoup de leaders ne comprennent pas, c'est que Moscou se fiche de protéger un homme, ils protègent leur influence (parfois même en négociant directement avec leur ennemi, comme avec l'Azerbaïdjan, HTS ou le JNIM).
En Afrique, l'influence russe est en réalité assez faible. Ils tentent surtout de contrer l'influence occidentale.

Les investissements en Afrique ne sont pas russes, ils sont chinois, émiratis, turcs... les russes sont là que pour la propagande et une apparente sécurité.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 25
A la suite d'une alliance, les djihadistes du JNIM et les rebelles du FLA ont lancé une vaste offensive commune ce matin au Mali.

Les armées maliennes 🇲🇱 et russes 🇷🇺 sont en difficulté dans le nord mais gardent le contrôle de la capitale Bamako.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️ Image
Deux semaines plus tôt, la junte malienne 🇲🇱 a décidé de reconnaitre le Sahara Marocain 🇲🇦 provoquant l'ire de l'Algérie 🇩🇿.

Les tensions croissantes entre Alger de Bamako sont visibles dans cette offensives, notamment au vu de la proximité entre le FLA et l'Algérie. Image
Qui sont les acteurs ?

FLA = front de libération de l'Azawad, rébellion (principalement Touareg) unifiée contre Bamako, souhaitant l'indépendance du nord du pays
JNIM = Al Qaida au Mali
EIGS = Etat Islamique au Grand Sahara, concurrent du JNIM, ne semble pas impliqué dans les combats
FAMA = Forces Armées Maliennes
AC = Africa Corps, nom de l'armée russe d'Afrique présente au MaliImage
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Read 25 tweets
Apr 24
Les tanks sont-ils obsolètes ? Doit-on revoir notre artillerie ? Faut-il abandonner la construction d'un nouveau porte-avion ?

On entend souvent que les drones rendent obsolètes de nombreux matériels militaires. Pourtant, ce n'est pas la réalité :

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️ Image
On entend souvent qu'un drone à 1 000€ peut détruire un char à plusieurs millions, rendant celui-ci obsolète.

Et bien c'est faux et je vais vous le démontrer. D'abord, il ne faut en général pas un drone mais plus de 15, parfois jusqu'à 40 pour simplement immobiliser un char. Image
Les chars sur le front ukrainien ressemblent désormais à des cages hideuses. Ils peuvent résister à des dizaines d'impacts de FPV.

Evidemment, si vous envoyez 10 T72 classiques pour prendre un village en Ukraine, il est très probable qu'aucun ne reviendra Image
Read 13 tweets
Apr 23
This month of april 2026, Russia seized 117km2, of which 55% are located on the UKR-RUS 🇺🇦🇷🇺 border

Since the start of the year, Russian northern corps expanded its infiltrations in Sumy and Kharkiv regions

This strategy is forcing Ukraine to defend the border

🧵THREAD🧵1/15⬇️ Image
The current war is mainly fought in the blue area, the active frontline. The green area is a secondary frontline (Dnipro river).

Expanding the war on the black line (border) means a lot bigger frontline. Grey borders are unlikely to be expanded into conflict. (@UAControlMap) Image
According to data gathered by @Pouletvolant3, Russia seized 117km2 of Ukraine this month (still 8 days to go).

The situation is similar to 2024 and 2025, but this year has seen less progress than in 2025 (Kursk not included + half of this year is in Sumy last year was in Donbas) Image
Read 15 tweets
Apr 16
Un drone FPV ukrainien 🇺🇦 du 1er corps Azov a survolé le stade du Shakhtar Donetsk.

A plus de 55km de la ligne de front, la ville de Donetsk n'est plus à l'abris des drones. En parallèle, l'armée ukrainienne intensifie ses frappes dans les territoires occupés.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️ Image
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Publiée par le 1er corps d'Azov, cette vidéo montre les drones FPV ukrainiens volant librement au dessus du cœur de la ville de Donetsk, plus grande ville ukrainienne occupée par l'armée russe.

Les drones visent également de nombreux camions de logistique de l'armée russe.
En parallèle, l'armée ukrainienne multiplie les frappes à moyenne portée, principalement avec des drones FP-1 et FP-2.

Des dizaines de frappes ont lieu chaque jours et mettent à mal l'armée russe dans la profondeur.
Read 12 tweets

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