The dividing lines in the next election will be clear and will be around issues of Canada's sovereignty. The Conservatives are relentlessly anti-China.
Poilievere seeks to reestablish trade relations with the U.S. by capitulating to Trump's whims. He's already said that he will tariff Chinese EVs at 100%. Trump hates Canada's supply management of the dairy industry and that will be the next to go in Poilievre's platform.
We are in an historical pivot point brought about (largely) by a fracturing of institutions and their supporting systems, like global trade. We were there at the end of WWII.
The Liberal government then (largely under the auspices of Canada's "Minister of Everything" C.D. Howe) pushed a rapid industrialization of Canada, largely with U.S. foreign investment.
Adequate capital formation has always been a problem for the country. Under Trump, this strategy will not be easy, but China has the cash and direct foreign investment is, as Keynes pointed out at Bretton Woods in 1943,
...a means to relieve trade imbalances that he correctly predicted would arise if there were no mechanisms to avoid it. China would do well to push it more intensely, like building an EV manufacturing business in Canada.
Americans oppose it for obvious reasons, but they are so far behind technologically in EV and battery technology that on price the Chinese made product will be irresistible to consumers.
The latest salvo from the Conservatives is that Liberals are moral hypocrites for not acknowledging what they claim is a Chinese genocide against the Uyghurs of the Xinjiang Autonomous Region. This is the lay of the land:
There are approximately 11.77 million Uyghurs in China, with the majority living in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. Uyghurs constitute roughly 44.96% of Xinjiang's population, making them one of the largest ethnic groups in the region, closely followed by the Han Chinese.
Conservatives cite the American proscription on the importation of goods made with forced labour which they say accounts for about 10% of the aluminum produced in China.
Canada and Australia used to be on par economically. That changed around 2010 when Australia started making hay with their trade with China.
Canadian Conservatives have fully bought into American anti-China dogma. It was a trap we fell into when in his first term, Trump took Huawei's CFO Meng Wanzhou hostage. Trudeau's Liberal government rolled over for the U.S. extradition request and arrested her in Vancouver.
I remember at the time retired members of Canada's diplomatic corp recommending that ministerial prerogative be exercised to release her. They saw through the sham and ultimately the American DOJ did not prosecute her. It ruined our trade relations with China.
Canada and Australia used to be on par economically. That changed around 2010 when Australia started making hay with their trade with China.
Canadian Conservatives have fully bought into American anti-China dogma. It was a trap we fell into when in his first term, Trump took Huawei's CFO Meng Wanzhou hostage. Trudeau's Liberal government rolled over for the U.S. extradition request and arrested her in Vancouver.
I remember at the time retired members of Canada's diplomatic corp recommending that ministerial prerogative be exercised to release her. They saw through the sham and ultimately the American DOJ did not prosecute her. It ruined our trade relations with China.
Gotta say that having an instant AI summary's gives one the opportunity to assess whether doing the heavy reading of original texts is worth the effort. The question is always, "Why".
It segues well into Walter Benjamin's observations of the rise of fascism in Germany in the early 20th century.
"Benjamin said that fascism tends towards an aestheticization of politics, in the sense of a spectacle in which it allows the masses to express themselves without seeing their rights recognized,
1980 is a significant date in the Kondratiev model of long waves of economic activity where many economic data broke trend, and so too the chart of mean global temperatures confirms the same about planetary warming.
I have cited numerous times that 2022 is also a year where number of key economic data broke trend in the opposite direction, suggesting to me that we have started a new long wave.
On the trend of global warming, does this chart indicate that our efforts to date to decarbonize world economies are starting to gain traction? If so, we are looking at a good news story.
Walter Scheidel's thesis in his new book, The
Great Leveller: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the 21st Century, is that only violent events have significantly lessened inequality.
"For thousands of years, civilisation did not lend itself to peaceful equalisation. Across a wide range of societies anddifferent levels of development, stability favoured economic inequality. This was as true of Pharaonic Egypt as itwas of Victorian England,
...as true of the Roman Empire as of the United States. Violent shocks were of paramount importance in disrupting the established order, in compressing the distribution of income and wealth, in narrowing the gap between rich and poor.