It is nearly impossible for a European to comprehend the psychological reality inside Russia. It is not just "fake news." It is a total deconstruction of reality.
Let me try to immerse you in the world Russians live in [1/9]
First, understand the isolation. Around 90% of Russians have never left the country. Even fewer have ever stepped beyond the borders of the former Soviet Union.
For the vast majority, the "West" is not a place they have visited. It is a ghost story told by the state. [2/9]
This is difficult to imagine in Europe. You take a 2-hour train ride and you are in another country. In Russia, the scale is different. When I was transported from Moscow to prison, the journey took 7 days. SEVEN. 7 days on a train in the same country. [3/9]
And the only voice you hear is the voice of propaganda.
I told my friends who are still there: "But you have access to information. We live in a modern world." They told me: "Mikhail, you don't understand what it is like when propaganda works on you in 3D." [4/9]
Imagine your routine. You wake up and the TV says "the damned West" attacked us. And then you go to work. Your boss talks about "the damned West." You go to a cafe. The people at the next table are arguing about how "the damned West" is at the doors. [5/9]
You call a friend to vent. They hesitate. They repeat what they heard: "the damned West is trying to destroy us." Propaganda is a devastating force. When every person in your life repeats the same script, you start questioning your own sanity. [6/9]
You think: "How can everyone be wrong and only I am right? Maybe I am the crazy one. Maybe we didn't start this. Maybe they really did attack us." You do not just lose the argument. You lose your grip on reality. [7/9]
We have to stop viewing this as a political choice. It is like a person catching the plague. You do not blame them for being sick. You put them in quarantine, but you recognize it is a tragedy. This infection is not their fault. It is their misfortune. [8/9]
The blame lies with the architects. The ones who engineered this virus. They purposefully built this 3D cage to turn 140 million people into a weapon. They have names and faces. [9/9]
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The real Iran crisis is nearing a terrifying tipping point. We are one mistake away from a catastrophic energy and water collapse that will trigger a global humanitarian emergency.
Here is why the "informal limits" are about to break: 🧵 [1/15]
The Iran crisis is approaching a crossroads. Either it settles into a fragile political arrangement, or it escalates into a wider regional conflict. Either way, the consequences will reach far beyond the Middle East. [2/15]
For Washington, a prolonged war is politically difficult to sustain. Legal constraints, competing priorities and the pressure of the upcoming midterms all push toward outcomes that appear decisive without being open-ended. [3/15]
Do you remember that recent, incredibly awkward exchange between Pashinyan and Putin in the Kremlin?
It was a masterclass in geopolitical trolling. Pashinyan literally looked Putin in the eye and teased him about Armenia having "too much democracy," even lecturing him on how they hold fair elections "twice a year." 1/4
From bragging that social media is "100% free" (a pointed jab at Putin’s total ban of social media and recent crackdown on Telegram in favor of the state-run "Max" messenger), to pointing out the lack of political prisoners, it was a bold and very public distancing from Moscow's playbook. 2/4
With the June 2026 elections looming, Armenia is at a historic crossroads.
Join us at the NEST Centre for our Midweek Briefing as we welcome @Tom_deWaal, Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe and the leading Caucasus expert, to break down what Armenia truly means for Russia today. 3/4
The generation of Europeans who understood Russia is gone.
The knowledge gap they left behind is now being filled by disinformation — and the Kremlin is exploiting it.
Here's what Europe must do before it's too late: 🧵[1/7]
Europe is moving, steadily and predictably, toward a cold war with Russia. This is not a question of rhetoric or political mood, but of structural reality.
The Kremlin is already testing Europe's cohesion, and without a clear demonstration of readiness, those tests will intensify.
[2/7]
The next six months are crucial. Ireland, as it assumes the EU presidency, will need to take a leading role.
Putin's most powerful weapon in this war isn't the Oreshnik missile.
It is something far cheaper and infinitely more scalable: lies.
🧵Shameless lies literally capture cities — here're some examples:
The Russian military has a term for this: "capturing a settlement on credit."
They report the victory on Telegram and TV now and plan to achieve it "someday." This way, the same town can be "taken" over and over, for example, General Kuzovlev "captured" Kupiansk twice in two months.
As a visual proof for these premature "captures," there is a field maneuver called "flagovtyk" — a squad plants a flag in a destroyed village, photographs it, and reports it "liberated."
We already knew the Kremlin was sending men to die in Ukraine.
But a new @dossier_center investigation based on leaked military records shows it's far worse than anyone imagined. For soldiers in front-line assault units, the odds of surviving the war are approaching zero.
(Read on)
According to internal documents, more than 28,000 soldiers were assigned to a single Russian division in 2024. Its full wartime strength should not exceed 14,000.
That means roughly a whole division's worth of personnel was lost in one year — killed, wounded beyond return, captured, or missing.
[2/12]
This unit has been at the front line since April 2024 and has never been withdrawn for rest or reconstitution. Instead, it is sustained by a constant inflow of new recruits from across Russia, sent directly into assault groups to replace the dead. They die. They are replaced. The cycle continues.
The Iran war is expected to bring Putin an extra $4.5 billion in April alone. That buys him time in Ukraine, but it does not buy him a breakthrough.
Here's why: 🧵[1/6]
Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz removed a substantial share of global oil supply from the market, and demand for Russian crude rose sharply. At the same time, higher energy prices complicate the task for Western governments trying to maintain strict sanctions.
[2/6]
This escalation stalled the negotiating process, slowed EU decision-making, and strengthened those who argue for a "pause" in supporting Ukraine. The war has also intensified competition for the same limited stocks of air defence systems and ammunition.