Zelensky is right on this one, Ukraine 🇺🇦 has no interest in giving away the remaining part of Donbas
This area is the most fortified of Ukraine, there are some of the last big cities, 200 000 inhabitants and losing it would open the path for Kharkiv or Dnipro.
Here is a map showing all the barbed wire protecting cities, towns and villages from infiltration. Going though will be costly, and this is in Donbas.
The main city is Kramatorsk, but there are also additionnal cities such as Sloviansk or Dobropilla.
These cities are highly fortified, but there is also heavy industry, power plants and mines. Ukraine has no interest leaving the area.
Here is the same map but with trenches and ditches in red in addition.
If Russia seized Donbas without a fight, it would be able to push further into Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblast, slowly threatening Kharkiv and Dnipro.
Also this is what new kind of fortifications look like, hell for russians. This one has been holding for more than 8 months already !
For the record, the only two areas russians reached the New Donbas Line (both time unfinished) are looking last this : nearly no progress in 8 (!) months.
Novopavlivka and Kucheriv Yar.
Next time could be near Hulialpole or near Pokrovsk, probably in the next few months.
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Across the weekend, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to harass Russian 🇷🇺 logistics routes along the Azov Sea and in Donetsk
Ukrainian strikes are beginning to pose a problem for Moscow, whose advance on the front has slowed this year.
🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️
This morning, @azov_media published a second video of their strikes around Mariupol, this time hitting around 20 military and fuel trucks between Mariupol and the russian border.
On this important road, I have now mapped more than 23 hits (some trucks are confirmed as destroyed by ground videos showing destroyed vehicles) with Hornet drones on russian logistics.
I updated the map of ukrainian middle strikes against trucks with some new geolocations and informations published today.
I have now ~15 confirmed hits on the Rostov-Crimea road and 30 confirmed hits on the Mariupol-Donetsk road + Donetsk ring. ⬇️
For now, we have mainly videos from these two roads. I've tryed to geolocate some videos from supply roads leading to Donetsk, but it's much more difficult, especially due to the quality of the images.
This video is useful, because they put the area hit:
In the Sloviansk direction, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 800 airstrikes this month in two directions, preparing the terrain for a larger offensive.
At the same time, Ukraine's third Azov Corps launched the first counter-attacks to cut the Lyman salient.
🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️
Few days ago, I posted an update on the Oskil front situation, depicting the most important assault roads used by russian troops.
On this update, you could see two ukrainian drone strikes located by @giK1893 in Pryshyb and Tetianivka, behind the Donets river.
This river is very important, it was the main ukrainian defensive line in the region in 2022, it's covered by massive forests and directly protecting cities like Izium or Sloviansk.
For 3 years, the russians are trying to reach it, behind the town of Lyman.