1/ A very interesting interview with Donbas separatist Pavel Gubarev is being interpreted by Russian warbloggers as a move by 'angry patriots' to lay the ground for a coup in Russia. They see a potential replay of the 1918 overthrow of Tsar Nicholas II. ⬇️
2/ The interview is notable not only for its revealing admissions about Russia's seizure of the Donbas in 2014, which Russian nationalists refer to as 'the Russian Spring', but for its choice of venue.
3/ Yuri Dud, to whom Gubarev spoke, is a German-born Russian journalist and YouTuber who now lives in exile. He has been labelled a 'foreign agent' by the Russian government and was sentenced in absentia to 23 months' imprisonment in November 2025.
4/ 'Comrade Artem' writes:
"I think Gubarev didn’t just give an interview to Dud for no reason; he also spouted a whole load of nonsense that discredits not only the Special Military Operation but also the Russian Spring,…
5/ …and Gubarev’s own involvement in that has always raised a lot of questions for me…
What Gubarev told Dudya indirectly confirms what the esteemed Vladimir Anatolyevich Lepekhin is saying: the establishment liberals have begun work to remove the ‘old guard’ from power.
6/ "Given that the ‘state-oriented’ figures didn’t exactly catch many mice in their youth, and certainly not now, the very near future looks set to be very turbulent. Are you ready for it?
7/ "Gubarev, who seems to personify the opposition patriots, has begun to align himself with the non-establishment liberals in the form of Dud and his audience.
8/ "Therefore, it is highly likely that behind Gubarev stand the establishment liberals, whose task is to bring the patriotic opposition and the liberal opposition together. All in all, a perfectly understandable political objective."
9/ Alexey Zhivov agrees, and comments on the points from the interview that he personally noted:
"Speaking on behalf of ‘angry patriots’, Gubarev appeared on the largest opposition platform alongside ‘angry liberals’, thereby seemingly bringing them together."
10/ "Gubarev voices personal grievances against Vladimir Putin and his style of political governance. In other words, there is criticism from the liberals, and now, from the other side, criticism from the ‘patriots’ through Gubarev’s words.
11/ "No platform other than Dud would have allowed Gubarev’s appearance to become such a significant event. This is a calculated manoeuvre to capture the entire protest audience in Russia and abroad.
12/ "From the above, I conclude that at a certain point, they intend to turn these ‘angry patriots’ into a political torpedo aimed at the president.
13/ "All this strongly reminds me of the scenario of the 1914–1918 war and the run-up to the February Revolution, which, I would remind you, was bourgeois-patriotic; Nicholas was accused of political weakness, whilst the ‘angry patriots’ promised war until victory and…
14/ …prosperity for Russia. There were not many traitors around Nicholas, but all of them (generals, ministers, deputies, family members) were very close to him, whilst the urban public and patriots were merely required not to oppose the tsar’s removal.
15/ "I made my position clear on 24 February 2022, and it has not changed since then. Personally, I do not wish to be anyone’s pawn, and I would not advise anyone else to be one either. We have a legitimately elected government and established procedures.
16/ "If the government takes unpopular measures, it can be reasonably criticised and alternative options proposed, but certainly not by participating in others’ schemes to destabilise it. We’ve had enough of that in past years; enough is enough.
17/ "The President launched the military campaign in Ukraine through his own resolute decision, and he will end it through the same decision when the time comes.
18/ "It is better to achieve modest results whilst preserving a stable constitutional order and legitimate authority than to play the games being imposed on us from outside.
19/ "When the Russian state is in decline, it always crushes first all that is good, bright and eternal. So let it stand firm. Amen." /end
1/ Iran has reportedly assessed that Donald Trump is "mentally incompetent" and has incorporated psychologists into its negotiating team to adapt the wording of the proposed agreement "as if the recipient were a [mental] patient ... whose capacity is limited." ⬇️
2/ The Russian 'Political Report' says that "Iranian authorities have included leading psychologists in the negotiating team to review drafts of all messages before sending them to Trump."
3/ "This is not a supplementary measure, but a direct consequence of an internal assessment that the American president is mentally incompetent, whose reactions cannot be predicted by conventional diplomatic methods.
1/ Russian commanders routinely make false claims to have captured territory, in order to win awards and personal bonuses. However, the army is reportedly stepping up efforts to uncover instances of "painting over" the map of the front line in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Vladimir Romanov highlights how the practice is causing mass casualties among Russian soldiers, with some commanders maintaining two parallel maps – one of the true line of contact, and a more flattering 'painted over' version to show to their superiors.
3/ "Returning to the paint-overs, the higher-ups periodically conduct compliance checks on the personnel data.
In some places (like in the Kupyansk sector), this is purely formal.
1/ An increasingly severe shortage of fuel is gripping wide areas of western Russia as well as occupied regions of Ukraine. Russian warbloggers report that there is no fuel at all in some regions, with fuel rationing affecting the army as well as civilians. ⬇️
2/ Following repeated Ukrainian attacks against Russian oil refineries, fuel shortages are spreading across western Russia. The Tatarstan-based Tatneft group appears to be particularly badly affected.
3/ Restrictions on fuel sales have been introduced in St. Petersburg, Moscow, the Moscow region, Samara, Nizhegorod, Udmurtia, Kazan, Cheboksary, Ulyanovsk, and other Russian cities, and in the occupied east and south of Ukraine, most notably in Crimea.
1/ A Russian soldier reports that he and four of his comrades were whipped, chained around the necks, tortured, and imprisoned in a sewer, while his officers stole his possessions and emptied his bank account. He says the men experienced "punishments like in Ancient Rome." ⬇️
2/ Dmitry Strelets is a soldier in the 4th Assault Company of the 68th Tank Regiment (military unit 91714). He says that he has endured torture and slave-like conditions at his Avdiivka-based unit.
3/ According to Strelets, these abuses were perpetrated by a sergeant major with the call sign "Foma," a political officer named "Dobry," his deputy "Bzhik," and their accomplice "Putnik."
1/ Ukraine's increasing dominance of the airspace over Crimea and southern Russia is causing great alarm amongst Russian warbloggers. One predicts impending catastrophe for Russia: "Panic and the total collapse of all the main roads." /end
2/ Commenting on the video above, 'Alex Parker Returns' observes:
"In Crimea, Ukrainian drones are freely flying over major roads. For now, they're programmed to target fuel trucks and various military targets."
3/ "But when the drones become significantly more numerous, the target pool can be expanded to include anything, and then the drones will start attacking passenger vehicles or, say, GAZelles [light trucks].
1/ Russia's attempts to block Telegram and force the population to switch to the state-approved messenger app MAX have simply resulted in the population adopting VPNs en masse. Ordinary Russians describe how they are evading the government's blocks. ⬇️
2/ VPNs are a booming business in Russia, with a massive increase in downloads over recent months. Circumvention is routine, even for pro-regime loyalists. According to one Russian citizen, "even the vatniks at work have VPNs."
3/ Readers of the Russian news outlet 'We can explain' (MO) have been describing how they get around the government's restrictions and are continuing to use Telegram. (Ironically, many state-owned businesses and government entities are doing the same things.)