ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Apr 11 19 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ A very interesting interview with Donbas separatist Pavel Gubarev is being interpreted by Russian warbloggers as a move by 'angry patriots' to lay the ground for a coup in Russia. They see a potential replay of the 1918 overthrow of Tsar Nicholas II. ⬇️
2/ The interview is notable not only for its revealing admissions about Russia's seizure of the Donbas in 2014, which Russian nationalists refer to as 'the Russian Spring', but for its choice of venue.
3/ Yuri Dud, to whom Gubarev spoke, is a German-born Russian journalist and YouTuber who now lives in exile. He has been labelled a 'foreign agent' by the Russian government and was sentenced in absentia to 23 months' imprisonment in November 2025.
4/ 'Comrade Artem' writes:

"I think Gubarev didn’t just give an interview to Dud for no reason; he also spouted a whole load of nonsense that discredits not only the Special Military Operation but also the Russian Spring,…
5/ …and Gubarev’s own involvement in that has always raised a lot of questions for me…

What Gubarev told Dudya indirectly confirms what the esteemed Vladimir Anatolyevich Lepekhin is saying: the establishment liberals have begun work to remove the ‘old guard’ from power.
6/ "Given that the ‘state-oriented’ figures didn’t exactly catch many mice in their youth, and certainly not now, the very near future looks set to be very turbulent. Are you ready for it?
7/ "Gubarev, who seems to personify the opposition patriots, has begun to align himself with the non-establishment liberals in the form of Dud and his audience.
8/ "Therefore, it is highly likely that behind Gubarev stand the establishment liberals, whose task is to bring the patriotic opposition and the liberal opposition together. All in all, a perfectly understandable political objective."
9/ Alexey Zhivov agrees, and comments on the points from the interview that he personally noted:

"Speaking on behalf of ‘angry patriots’, Gubarev appeared on the largest opposition platform alongside ‘angry liberals’, thereby seemingly bringing them together."
10/ "Gubarev voices personal grievances against Vladimir Putin and his style of political governance. In other words, there is criticism from the liberals, and now, from the other side, criticism from the ‘patriots’ through Gubarev’s words.
11/ "No platform other than Dud would have allowed Gubarev’s appearance to become such a significant event. This is a calculated manoeuvre to capture the entire protest audience in Russia and abroad.
12/ "From the above, I conclude that at a certain point, they intend to turn these ‘angry patriots’ into a political torpedo aimed at the president.
13/ "All this strongly reminds me of the scenario of the 1914–1918 war and the run-up to the February Revolution, which, I would remind you, was bourgeois-patriotic; Nicholas was accused of political weakness, whilst the ‘angry patriots’ promised war until victory and…
14/ …prosperity for Russia. There were not many traitors around Nicholas, but all of them (generals, ministers, deputies, family members) were very close to him, whilst the urban public and patriots were merely required not to oppose the tsar’s removal.
15/ "I made my position clear on 24 February 2022, and it has not changed since then. Personally, I do not wish to be anyone’s pawn, and I would not advise anyone else to be one either. We have a legitimately elected government and established procedures.
16/ "If the government takes unpopular measures, it can be reasonably criticised and alternative options proposed, but certainly not by participating in others’ schemes to destabilise it. We’ve had enough of that in past years; enough is enough.
17/ "The President launched the military campaign in Ukraine through his own resolute decision, and he will end it through the same decision when the time comes.
18/ "It is better to achieve modest results whilst preserving a stable constitutional order and legitimate authority than to play the games being imposed on us from outside.
19/ "When the Russian state is in decline, it always crushes first all that is good, bright and eternal. So let it stand firm. Amen." /end

Sources:
🔹 t.me/t_artm/7480
🔹 t.me/t_artm/7481
🔹 t.me/t_artm/7482
🔹 t.me/zhivoff/25999

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Apr 12
1/ Simply using a 💩 emoji on the state-mandated Russian messenger app MAX is enough to result in a user being convicted and fined, or potentially even imprisoned. A recent court case highlights how the app is blatantly being used as an instrument of repression. ⬇️ Image
2/ The District Court of Rostov-on-Don has imposed a fine of 30,000 rubles ($387) on a man named Sergey Nikolaevich Korovayny. As the court's decision states:
3/ "On DD. MM. YYYY, S. N. Korovayny, registered and residing at: <address> -on- FULL NAME2 , <address> , a member of the common chat of the above-mentioned apartment building,…
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Apr 12
1/ A Russian politician's advice to fellow citizens to carry paper maps because they can no longer rely on online navigation due to Internet blocking has gone down badly in Russia. A Moscow science institute has advised Russians to navigate by the sun and stars instead. ⬇️
2/ State Duma Deputy Yaroslav Nilov, head of the Committee on Labor and Social Policy, arrived late at a conference because the online map on his phone wasn't working, due to Russia's increasingly stringent blocking of mobile Internet access.
3/ He advised his fellow citizens that "we really need to [carry] a paper map. We can't rely solely on the internet; this is the new reality."

A Duma colleague, Oleg Leonov, has recommended using street signs and asking passersby for help.
Read 13 tweets
Apr 11
1/ Russia's ongoing budget crisis, caused by the war in Ukraine, has caused government funding of science to fall to its lowest level since the chaotic mid-1990s. Meanwhile, ordinary Russians are increasingly investing in magic amulets and aspen stakes to drive away vampires. ⬇️ Image
Image
2/ The National Research University's Higher School of Economics (HSE) has published its annual 'Science Indicators' yearbook. It shows that domestic expenditure on research and development in Russia has fallen to 0.97% of GDP, its lowest level since 1996.
3/ This is lower than the R&D funding levels of Malaysia (1.01% of GDP), Egypt (1.03%), and Lithuania (1.05%). It is also far lower than the levels of Israel, which ranks first in the world in terms of R&D funding (6.35% of GDP), South Korea (4.96%), and Taiwan (3.97%).
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Apr 10
1/ Russia is proclaiming success in its ongoing recruitment drive, but this is being achieved by scraping the bottom of the barrel. A newly-published video shows the abysmal quality of the current recruits: old, disabled, and homeless men, with only two fingers between them. ⬇️
2/ The video shows three newly recruited men in Omsk. Despite having severe physical disabilities, all three are recognised as medically fit for military service at a selection point called Sirius. They have signed a contract and will be sent to Ukraine.
3/ It was filmed at an office of the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (military unit 95383) of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division (military unit 77860) of the 3rd Army Corps (military unit 41794).
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Apr 9
1/ The Iranian Republican Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy has published a map showing the 'new' shipping lanes for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz. However, what it shows greatly increases the risk of future shipping disasters in the Persian Gulf. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Strait of Hormuz is only 33–39 km (20-24 mi) wide at its narrowest point, but its usable width is far narrower. The shipping lanes in the middle of the Strait pass through a 9 km-wide (5 mi) stretch of the deepest water, comprising two 3 km wide lanes with a 3 km gap. Image
3/ Iran is currently diverting ships around Larak island to the north of the existing shipping lanes, through the so-called 'Tehran Tollbooth'. However, this has a major problem: the water between Larak and Qeshm is only 20 m deep, far too shallow for fully loaded oil tankers. Image
Read 11 tweets
Apr 9
1/ This continues Russian drone developer Alexey Chadayev's analysis of the state of Russia's drone warfare; see the links below for parts 1 and 2. In this part, he assesses the crucial role of communications systems in drone control. ⬇️ Image
Read 37 tweets

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