Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
Apr 11 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🇭🇺🇪🇺vs🇺🇸🇷🇺🐸
#Hungary’s tomorrow elections have become a geopolitical battlefield, with last-ditch efforts by the #Trump administration, the #Kremlin, and Europe’s far right to defend a key ally, who has contributed more than anyone over the past 16 years to dividing the #EU.
2.
As absurd as claims of EU interference in European elections are—EU institutions are in silence mode—the same narrative is pushed by Patriots for Europe (@PatriotsEP), as seen in their pre-election statement, now actively exploited by Hungarian government propaganda. Image
@PatriotsEP 3.
@realDonaldTrump on Truth Social claims he is ready “to use the full economic might of the US to strengthen Hungary’s economy” and invest in the prosperity generated by Orbán’s continued leadership. Image
@PatriotsEP @realDonaldTrump 4.
With an eye on Hungary’s actual economic performance under Orbán, it is easy for Donald Trump to evade this promise. Properity is barely generated. But his online endorsement demonstrates his desire to keep his European spoiler in position.
@PatriotsEP @realDonaldTrump 5.
Fun fact: @realDonaldTrump sent @JDVance to Budapest empty-handed, yet just a couple of days later he is already talking about massive economic assistance. We see a real strategy and a solid policy track record here.
@PatriotsEP @realDonaldTrump @JDVance 6.
Regarding the #Kremlin, The Insider (@InsiderEng) has just published a sharp analysis of the activities of the #GRU and the #Matryoshka network in Hungary.
Highly recommended.
theins.press/en/inv/291361
@PatriotsEP @realDonaldTrump @JDVance @InsiderEng Please unroll @threadreaderapp

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More from @DanielHegedus82

Mar 19
#Hungary’s April 2026 election may become one of the most consequential political contests in Europe this year - not only for Hungary, but for the EU and Ukraine.

In my new @iep_berlin #Wahlmonitor paper, I outline five scenarios Europe should be prepared for. 🧵 Image
2.
The key point: these are not simply five different election outcomes.
They are five distinct political trajectories with very different implications for Hungarian democracy, EU decision-making, and relations with Ukraine.
iep-berlin.de/site/assets/fi…
3.
The five scenarios are—ranked by plausibility:
1) Opposition victory with a stable mandate to govern
2) Opposition victory with a parliamentary stalemate
3) The EU’s first rigged election
4) Constitutional coup d’état
5) Fidesz victory in free elections
Read 15 tweets
Oct 12, 2025
I had the pleasure to discuss the alleged case of Hungarian espionage against the European Commission with @TVPWorld_com.
Find the link and my main points in THREAD. Image
2.
1) The Hungarian regime has been using active measures to influence the domestic politics of EU Member States for years.
3.
There is nothing surprising about the revelation that they use intelligence services to spy on EU institutions, with which they have been in a decade-long legal and political conflict.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 19, 2024
The granting of political asylum to former 🇵🇱 Justice Minister #Romanowski aligns seamlessly with the broader strategy of 🇭🇺's #Orbán regime, which has consistently provided asylum to illiberal political allies facing legal troubles or persecution in their home countries.
THREAD
2.
Perhaps the most notable example is that of former North Macedonian Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski, who enjoyed asylum and Prime Minister Orbán’s hospitality from 2018 to 2024.
3.
For PM Orbán, such cases are investments in future relationships and alliances, laying the groundwork for mutual favors down the line.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 3, 2024
While #Trump’s demands from #European allies may resonate deeply with #GOP stakeholders and the #Republican electorate, there has been little consideration of the fact that his articulated Europe policy may ultimately prove self-defeating.
Here is why 👇
A LONG 🇺🇸🇪🇺THREAD Image
2.
Rather than making Europe less reliant on U.S. security guarantees, Trump risks leaving the continent more vulnerable to both #Russian aggression and #Chinese economic dominance.
3.
From what can be discerned of Trump’s prospective strategy, two priorities stand out: reducing the U.S. trade deficit with the EU and pushing European allies to shoulder more of the defense burden.
Read 20 tweets
Nov 25, 2024
I was asked today whether Kaja #Kallas is the right person to lead EU Foreign & Security Policy in a period when consensus among EU Members on #Ukraine and #Russia is fading. Here are my thoughts 👇
THREAD 1/13 Image
2.
Kaja Kallas is undoubtedly the right person to keep the EU and its Member States focused on the single most critical security challenge they will face in the next five years: Russian revisionism.
3.
While some stakeholders adopt overly optimistic views about Trump’s potential impact on Europe—expecting EU Members to unite & deepen defense and security integration in response to Russian aggression and weakening U.S. security guarantees—a more realistic perspective suggests otherwise.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 27, 2024
A #Hungarian national named #BenceHorváth was arrested by U.S. authorities in San Francisco on August 23 for attempting to purchase U.S. military-grade communications equipment and ship it to #Russia.
What do we know about Bence Horváth?
THREAD 1/3
justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/hun…
2/3
We know that #BenceHorváth was part of the official Hungarian #MFA delegation led by #PéterSzijjártó in February 2022 to Egypt and Bahrain.

atlatszo.hu/kozadat/2023/0…
3/3
So we are certainly talking about a person who belongs to the core of the Hungarian foreign policy and international trade establishment.
And he conspired to smuggle U.S. military equipment into Russia.
Take the time to let that sink in.
Read 7 tweets

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