Stephen Barlow Profile picture
Apr 12 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
At the very best @TonyJuniper is ecologically naive, and is being manipulated by grouse shooting interests, into believing that the breeding success of Curlews on grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, with predator control.
1/🧵
I have provided a comprehensive explanation as to why it is false and naive to believe that the breeding successes of Curlews and other ground nesting waders, on managed grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, for a number of factors.

2/
Part of the reason, this can't be replicated, as I explain, is because upland grouse moors naturally support far lower numbers of Crows and Foxes, as sheep are generally excluded from them, and there would be very little to support, their populations all year round.
3/
I will now present the killer fact, which absolutely proves that grouse moor control of Foxes and Crows, can't be replicated elsewhere, in a way, that would benefit the breeding success of Curlews, as @Natures_Voice found.

4/rspb.org.uk/helping-nature…
You see, upland grouse moor, is not the only place, where there are full-time gamekeepers engaged in the intensive killing of Foxes and Crows, because it also happens on lowland Pheasant and Red-legged Partridge shoots.
5/
However, this is what all those pointing to the success of breeding Curlews on grouse moors, and who naively believe this can be replicated outside grouse moor, with Fox and Crow control are overlooking.

6/curlewaction.org/parliamentary-…
Whilst pheasant shoots, intensively cull Crows and Foxes, they are far less successful at eliminating them, like on upland grouse moor, which have very little food and attraction for Crows and Foxes. In fact, they attract Foxes and Crows.
7/
To be clear what I am saying, if you kill Crows and Foxes on managed grouse moor, very few will be drawn back onto it, because there is almost a total lack of food, all year round, to attract them. Not even dead sheep and afterbirth from the lambing season.
8/
This is why this example of upland grouse moor success in sustaining successfully breeding Curlews, cannot be replicated elsewhere, through predator control, because not even managed pheasant shoots, can suppress Fox and Crow populations like this.
9/
However, there are not many places that have managed pheasant shoots, and populations of breeding Curlew, as the habitat is generally not suitable for Curlew.
10/
However, there is one example of this, Fenns and Whixall Moss NNR, National Nature Reserve, where all my observations of the last 11 years are based. There is an active pheasant shoot, on the Fenns, Welsh side, because of an historical lease on shooting rights.
11/
As I have detailed, attempts by the @NaturalEngland management of Fenns and Whixall Moss NNR to control Foxes and Crows, have been singularly unsuccessful, with me seeing similar numbers of Crows and Foxes, post culling as before.
12/
In fact, the place I still see most Foxes, are around the pheasant rearing pens, in the conifer plantation, at the north end of the Moss. But the pheasant shoot has always been killing Foxes here, but they are still attracted by the pheasants.
13/
As shooters and their supporters have noted, when responding to me, is you hardly see any Crows and Foxes on managed grouse moors. But this is not because the keepers are so good. Rather It's because there is little to attract them.
14/
Go to a managed pheasant shoot, even with a bevvy of full-time gamekeepers, and you will see plenty of Foxes and Crows, even though they kill loads of them. This is why grouse moor breeding Curlew success, can't be transferred elsewhere, with predator control.
15/
Curlew conservationists are allowing themselves to be used and manipulated by grouse shooting interests, who desperately need Curlews as a fig leaf, to cover up their illegal persecution of raptors, especially Hen Harriers, and greenwash themselves.

16/deframedia.blog.gov.uk/2019/03/20/hen…
So these grouse shooting interests are pretending to be heroes of conservation, and greenwashing themselves, by pretending to have the solution to reversing the Curlew decline, with grouse moor type predator control.
17/
However, as I explain here, the claim that the Curlew decline, can be reversed away from grouse moors, is a specious explanation. A specious argument, is one that is superficially plausible, but on close examination, spurious.
18/
For reasons I have explained here, it is relatively easy to suppress Fox and Crow populations as there is not much of a year round food supply, to attract more. This is entirely different away from managed grouse moors.
19/
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More from @SteB777

Apr 12
The crucial issue is where, that is not a managed grouse moor, has there been an example, where culling Foxes and Crows, alone, resulted in a clear difference to Curlew breeding success?

I mean, it has been tried, so where has it worked?

1/5🧵
I explain and demonstrate in this thread, why the grouse moor management model, can't be copied on other Curlew breeding areas.

Yet advocates for culling predators fail to support their belief that Fox and Crow culling will work elsewhere.

2/5threadreaderapp.com/thread/2043253…
The RSPB @Natures_Voice tried it, and found it didn't make any significant difference to Curlew breeding success.

But @TonyJuniper somehow implies it's not been tried yet, because it's a difficult subject. He's got very selective perception/memory.

3/5rspb.org.uk/helping-nature…
Read 7 tweets
Apr 5
Can I briefly explain the ecological thinking error, in this thinking. You say, there are too many crows, Foxes and Badgers. Well what are you going to do about it. The ecologically ignorant, say, well cull them, and there will be far less.
1/🧵
However, it doesn't work like this, populations of memo-predators like Foxes and Crows aren't determined by predation a.k.a. culling. Common sense reasoning has it, that if you kill ten thousand Crows or Foxes, then the population is going to be ten thousand less of them.
2/
The population density of say Foxes, isn't determined by how many get killed by humans. It is determined by territoriality and ecological carrying capacity. Most young Foxes don't live much past the first year, because they fail to establish a territory.
3/
Read 22 tweets
Mar 27
"Nigel Farage furious as police find no evidence of ‘family voting’ in Gorton and Denton by-election"

I raised the alarm, in the Gorton and Denton by-election, that the allegations of "family voting" were likely false and malicious.

1/independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
The pollster who went to the Tory Press with these claims was a Tory Peer i.e. right wing. It is not clear who these Democracy Volunteers are, and what their political allegiances were.

2/threadreaderapp.com/thread/2027184…
However, it is clear that both this organization, was founded on the premise of "family voting" a conspiracy theory that Asian families coerce family members in how they vote, and Lord Hayward pushed the legislation.

3/democracyvolunteers.org/about-us/
Read 10 tweets
Mar 23
I'm baffled by our media, not fit for purpose. They are still trying to spin this Trump/Netanyahu shit show, and normalize it, by pretending that their goals are somehow achievable. Probably to bolster the financial markets.
1/5
How are these propagandists, going to spin it in a few months time, when Trump/Netanyahu, have achieved nothing, and the world is plunged into chaos? They should have been holding these 2 lunatics to account, to pressure them into ceasing and desisting.
2/5
An even bigger enemy to humankind than lunatics like Trump/Netanyahu, is the media, who stopped reporting the news ages ago, and at the behest of their oligarch owners, turned into propagandists, gaslighting the public.
3/5
Read 6 tweets
Mar 4
A huge thanks to @ZackPolanski and the rest of the @TheGreenParty for restoring sanity and humanity, to British politics, and ignoring the received wisdom, that no politician or party can say positive things, or it is political suicide.
1/🧵
As we can see now, and @ZackPolanski has exposed Keir Starmer for the fraud he is, in claiming that his nasty authoritarian, anti-people policy, was a political necessity. No it was a choice of Starmer, and the regressive forces he represents.
2/
@ZackPolanski has done a marvellous job in interviews on mainstream TV of being level-headed, in answering the attempts to trip him up, in an intelligent and persuasive way. I think the attacks and smears are backfiring, because people do not see what they are being told.
3/
Read 10 tweets
Mar 1
I am hoping @ChrisGPackham will understand this as a naturalist, and he has some understanding of ecology and biodiversity, because my important points about this assessment are being ignored.

My central point is these redacted parts are of little use to us.
1/🧵
I completely agree with @GreenRupertRead that these parts should never have been redacted. However, the idea that the full unredacted report, would help us better understand these threats, is profoundly mistaken, and the ITN report is misleading.
2/
I have been making the same warnings for decades, and they were actually based on the same science and references, as this assessment used.

My point, is we don't know enough about the way our human systems rely on natural systems, to confidently make such projections.
3/
Read 21 tweets

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