At the very best @TonyJuniper is ecologically naive, and is being manipulated by grouse shooting interests, into believing that the breeding success of Curlews on grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, with predator control.
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I have provided a comprehensive explanation as to why it is false and naive to believe that the breeding successes of Curlews and other ground nesting waders, on managed grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, for a number of factors.
Part of the reason, this can't be replicated, as I explain, is because upland grouse moors naturally support far lower numbers of Crows and Foxes, as sheep are generally excluded from them, and there would be very little to support, their populations all year round.
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I will now present the killer fact, which absolutely proves that grouse moor control of Foxes and Crows, can't be replicated elsewhere, in a way, that would benefit the breeding success of Curlews, as @Natures_Voice found.
You see, upland grouse moor, is not the only place, where there are full-time gamekeepers engaged in the intensive killing of Foxes and Crows, because it also happens on lowland Pheasant and Red-legged Partridge shoots.
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However, this is what all those pointing to the success of breeding Curlews on grouse moors, and who naively believe this can be replicated outside grouse moor, with Fox and Crow control are overlooking.
Whilst pheasant shoots, intensively cull Crows and Foxes, they are far less successful at eliminating them, like on upland grouse moor, which have very little food and attraction for Crows and Foxes. In fact, they attract Foxes and Crows.
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To be clear what I am saying, if you kill Crows and Foxes on managed grouse moor, very few will be drawn back onto it, because there is almost a total lack of food, all year round, to attract them. Not even dead sheep and afterbirth from the lambing season.
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This is why this example of upland grouse moor success in sustaining successfully breeding Curlews, cannot be replicated elsewhere, through predator control, because not even managed pheasant shoots, can suppress Fox and Crow populations like this.
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However, there are not many places that have managed pheasant shoots, and populations of breeding Curlew, as the habitat is generally not suitable for Curlew.
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However, there is one example of this, Fenns and Whixall Moss NNR, National Nature Reserve, where all my observations of the last 11 years are based. There is an active pheasant shoot, on the Fenns, Welsh side, because of an historical lease on shooting rights.
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As I have detailed, attempts by the @NaturalEngland management of Fenns and Whixall Moss NNR to control Foxes and Crows, have been singularly unsuccessful, with me seeing similar numbers of Crows and Foxes, post culling as before.
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In fact, the place I still see most Foxes, are around the pheasant rearing pens, in the conifer plantation, at the north end of the Moss. But the pheasant shoot has always been killing Foxes here, but they are still attracted by the pheasants.
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As shooters and their supporters have noted, when responding to me, is you hardly see any Crows and Foxes on managed grouse moors. But this is not because the keepers are so good. Rather It's because there is little to attract them.
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Go to a managed pheasant shoot, even with a bevvy of full-time gamekeepers, and you will see plenty of Foxes and Crows, even though they kill loads of them. This is why grouse moor breeding Curlew success, can't be transferred elsewhere, with predator control.
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Curlew conservationists are allowing themselves to be used and manipulated by grouse shooting interests, who desperately need Curlews as a fig leaf, to cover up their illegal persecution of raptors, especially Hen Harriers, and greenwash themselves.
So these grouse shooting interests are pretending to be heroes of conservation, and greenwashing themselves, by pretending to have the solution to reversing the Curlew decline, with grouse moor type predator control.
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However, as I explain here, the claim that the Curlew decline, can be reversed away from grouse moors, is a specious explanation. A specious argument, is one that is superficially plausible, but on close examination, spurious.
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For reasons I have explained here, it is relatively easy to suppress Fox and Crow populations as there is not much of a year round food supply, to attract more. This is entirely different away from managed grouse moors.
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@GreenJennyJones
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"Burnham to say UK must be honest about its challenges as he prepares to become PM"
The why isn't Andy Burnham being honest about the climate and ecological emergency, and the serious challenges it poses to the UK?
"as he prepares to introduce measures to ease the cost of living and allow more North Sea fossil fuel drilling." theguardian.com/politics/2026/…
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After all this report is by the UK Intelligence Services and is on the UK Govt website.
"Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity. The world is already experiencing impacts including crop failures, intensified natural disasters and infectious disease outbreaks."
Look at the dates given, this is not some far off future threat.
"The resilience of human systems to ecosystem degradation is moderately uncertain and the wider geopolitical context out to 2030 and 2050 is highly uncertain." gov.uk/government/pub…
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Then there is potential AMOC collapse, driven by climate change, which would make agriculture in Northern Europe, including the UK, all but impossible. Along with other major climate impacts.
"May and June heatwaves killed about 2,700 people in England and Wales, data suggests"
There is profound misunderstanding about the climate crisis, because we have seen nothing yet, if politicians had taken the action they promised 33 years ago, we would not be in this situation.
Let's get this clear, our political leaders are wholly responsible for the climate emergency. They were the only people with the power to take action, and they repeatedly promised to take action, and then failed to take that action.
The public are not to blame.
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I hear lots of people blaming the public. This is entirely misguided. The majority of the public have been in favour of climate action since the late 1980s. This is a verifiable fact, and it is why our scheming politicians promised action.
Sometimes I think I'm the only person who can remember what was said and happened a few years ago. As I said in the post I linked to, I attended a seminar about the then recent 1992 Rio Earth Summit, just months after it.
The senior scientist who was the chair, and how wrote the standard text book at the time on air pollution and climate change, said "now we know what the problem is, we can solve it"
In the last 50+ years, mainstream politicians, obsessed with economic growth use the same dishonest trick to defeat taking action on the environment. They pledge to take action, and when they think everyone has forgotten about what they pledged, they renege on their pledges.
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All climate activists/environmentalists need to be aware of this, because mainstream economic growth obsessed politicians, have consistently used the same deceitful dishonesty, over and again. I'm not aware of any political pledge on the environment, that has been honoured.
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There's almost a 100% record, of politicians and governments, never honouring their pledges on the environment. In every instance, politicians and governments, subsequently renege on pledges they make, on climate change, biodiversity loss, and environmental protection.
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The crucial issue is where, that is not a managed grouse moor, has there been an example, where culling Foxes and Crows, alone, resulted in a clear difference to Curlew breeding success?
I mean, it has been tried, so where has it worked?
Can I briefly explain the ecological thinking error, in this thinking. You say, there are too many crows, Foxes and Badgers. Well what are you going to do about it. The ecologically ignorant, say, well cull them, and there will be far less.
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However, it doesn't work like this, populations of memo-predators like Foxes and Crows aren't determined by predation a.k.a. culling. Common sense reasoning has it, that if you kill ten thousand Crows or Foxes, then the population is going to be ten thousand less of them.
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The population density of say Foxes, isn't determined by how many get killed by humans. It is determined by territoriality and ecological carrying capacity. Most young Foxes don't live much past the first year, because they fail to establish a territory.
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