Martin Lowe Profile picture
Apr 13 20 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The centralization of Western culture. A story of a wonderful culture, and its ongoing childhood disease.

There is a charming theory of why Northern Europe benefited more from the enlightenment than southern Europe. It starts with Martin Luther.
Once his detachment from the catholic church was a fact, he got to work translating the bible. He even had to invent a complete german grammar to do it.

Luther saw literacy as a religious duty, since it was the only way to get a personal connection to the word of God.
The theory says that protestant Europe would thus, 200 years later, have a pool of literate farmers from which they could build efficient bureaucracies. This is similar to Weber's theory of the protestant work ethic, though maybe more specific.

Alas, it's probably not true.
If the farmers were literate, they had no books or apetite for them. Historical research seems to indicate literacy was marginally better than in catholic Europe, but not meaningfully so.

But Luther did set off a series of events that, be it indirectly, caused great harm.
The 30 years war was pretty much a direct consequence of the protestant reformation, and it absolutely wrecked the german territories.

Maybe none so much as Brandenburg-Prussia, where Frederick William came to power at the tail of the war. He got to work securing his borders.
And both he and his successors did an admirable job.

A standing, highly disciplined army, funded by the central authority's tax income. Over time, the militaristic logic came to dominate all areas of policy. The bureacracy and schools were also built on the same principles.
The industriousness of Prussia was impressive. Successive rulers were not afraid of reforms, and they kept fiddling around with laws and regulations, guided by a few principles:

Centralization, discipline, security, conservatism and duty.
By the time Frederick the great, who was a man of the enlightenment through and through, took the throne, it was said of Prussia that it was an army with a state. Military expenditure was around 70% of the budget.

And now began the disaster of the west.
Under Frederick the great, a great rationalization took place, among them the establishment of the prussian school system that we have all been exposed to.

But his patronage of the arts made Prussia seem cultured in a way it had not before, causing admiration across the world.
It was an unfortunate coincidence that at this period of time, being a reform-horny absolutist militaristic enlightenment kingdom, REALLY paid off.

Prussia mustered its efficient system to industrialize more rapidly than any other territory. Enormous wealth and leverage ensued.
One could say that while Britain explored, Prussia exploited, though that is probably a wild oversimplification.
But in broad strokes, it captures the essence of it. Prussia reaped the rewards of britain's risky tinkering.
Fast forward to 1871. The french long standing strategy of keeping the german states fractured had finally failed, and the two great continental powers were at war.

People expected the Franco-Prussian war to last for many years. It didn't even last one. Prussia was superior.
And pretty soon, what had been called Prussian institutions and culture were German institutions and culture. And admired.

Japan, who was in a hurry to modernize, had imported British, French and prussian experts during the 1860's and 70's, but promptly switched to all Prussian
The world went Prussian.

The military logic of a traumatized small dutchy became an indistinguishable part of the West.

Today, people assume that the prussian system is the cause of western success, though it is more accurately described as a parasite on it.
The tradeoff is subtle, but recognizable all around us.

Germany continued to excel in most areas - science, technology, culture - for many decades after unification. But the military logic at the heart of it exerted its own gravitational pull on the rest of the system.
The importance of control meant that political choices tended to go in the direction of more centralization, more formalization, standardization... you know the drill by now.

Turning around, opting for more freedom, less control, seemed like opposition to the entire system.
The abandonment of the gold standard in 1913, from this perspective, was just another domino falling.

The irony is that Germany could have saved itself both world wars. They had already won the most important battle of all, the battle for the soul of the West.
I think most of the trouble we're seeing today is a result of that very same Prussian militarism. Or call it exploitation mode. Or controlmaxxing.

We need to exorcise that logic from Western culture, root and stem, and rediscover the value of decentralized playful discovery.
How do we get there? That is the topic of my next thread, but for now:

The first step in solving a problem is to formulate it, which I have done. Please help me spread the word.
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More from @NormalDenizen

Apr 13
Why is science broken?

That it is broken is beyond doubt. Universities are selecting clever hacks who can publish 5 bad papers per year over polymaths. Most fields haven't seen meaningful progress in decades, and the pure inflationary bloat in just about everything spells doom.
As I wrote about yesterday, society is inundated with what I call controlmaxxing. Formalization, specialization, standardization, quantification, and so on.

At a deeper level, this can be defined as "optimizing for exploitation", as opposed to exploration.
For those who are not familiar, the exploitation/exploration-dilemma is a universal problem that arises in complex adaptive systems acquiring resources.

It's a fundamental tradeoff problem, which presumably exists in all species and cultures, from bacteria to civilizations.
Read 18 tweets
Apr 12
Here's a strange thing I realized a couple of years ago.

Most (social) sciences are split into a quantitative and qualitative camp.

It's not just about methodology though. These camps are so different that they're almost unable to talk to each other.
In economics: Neoclassical vs. austrian

In education: School effectiveness research vs. pedagogy

In general: Statistical plug-and-play research vs. eclectic ad hoc mumbo jumbo.

(OK, it's not all bad, but the vast majority of published science now seems to be garbage)
Hilariously, in organization theory, the meaning of the word 'organization' is disputed. Quantitative researchers do not consider voluntary, religious or political organizations to be.. well, organizations.

They want comparability, clean datasets and tight definitions.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 9, 2023
Blockchains were not the big innovation of #Bitcoin. On the contrary:

Public ledgers have been around for centuries. Everything a blockchain does can be done faster and cheaper on a centralized model. This was the *price* Nakamoto paid to make Bitcoin’s incentive structure work.
"It is outside the realm of possibility that a technology designed specifically to eliminate third-party intermediation could end up serving any useful purpose to the intermediaries it was created to replace." -@saifedean
As it happens, Saifedean is wrong in this quote. Many intermediaries have successfully used blockchain technology to fool investors into thinking that what would otherwise be an obvious ponzi-scheme is actually a glorious sci-fi contraption that will save humanity.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 5, 2023
I watched @ShellenbergerMD's two debates on crypto. They were both interesting and painful to watch, and though I expected both of these reactions they were triggered for slightly unexpected reasons.

Here's how this looked from the perspective of a bitcoin maxi.
Backstory:
Shellenberger wrote a piece/thread on crypto. It was a real Gell-Mann moment for me, having followed Michael for a while, and a reminder of how it can look from the outside.
He challenged critics to debate him, and they were all too willing.
For reasons unknown, the first invitation he accepted was from some YouTuber named "Hotep Jesus", who wanted Shellenberger to come on his channel to get schooled by another stranger to me, @cyprianous.
The debate can be found here:
Read 21 tweets

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