1/ Ukraine's increasing dominance in drones is reportedly leading to individual Russian soldiers being attacked by 20 or 30 drones at once. Russian warbloggers say that Ukrainian drones are operating with impunity while their side faces a shortage. ⬇️
2/ A report by Russian news outlet RT says that as many as 20 to 30 drones are being used to attack individual Russian soldiers. 'Belarusian Silovik' responds: "Unfortunately, that’s exactly how it is."
3/ "What’s even worse is that in some areas, our side is conserving drones due to a shortage, while the Ukrainian Armed Forces can deploy 20–30 UAVs in a single sortie over a short period of time.
Right now, the average ratio of UAV deployment is probably 3 to 1."
4/ Dmitri Steshin writes of the experience of being in an environment saturated with enemy drones, and calls for Russian strikes against drone factories in EU countries:
5/ "It’s a well-known fact—and an unpleasant one—that over the past few months, the enemy has rapidly gained the upper hand in terms of drone numbers, both on the front lines and in our rear areas.
6/ "When drones appear near a rear-area bakery during an interview, and the people you were having a heartfelt conversation with just a second ago suddenly lose their train of thought, listen intently to the sky, and then start firing into that sky...
7/ "You say goodbye to your companions, drive home, and the first thing you come across is a quadcopter blazing hot under anti-drone nets. And in the evening, in Donetsk, you turn on the “spectrum analyzer.”
8/ "From 5 GHz on, the screen is red; all the signals won’t fit, and numbers appear above the waterfall, showing how many drones are on a specific frequency—a record: 12 of them.
9/ "You see it on the device’s screen and hear with your own ears how a Ukrainian relay station hangs over you for a full hour, transmitting a signal to drones at 1040 GHz, and then, after the raid, calmly flies away, having made a “lap of honour” over my district of Donetsk,…
10/ …the martyred city.
It’s better to think about why the enemy has pulled ahead and how to stop it. In my opinion, the Ministry of Defence made a good start by publishing the addresses of drone workshops in EU countries. But this is clearly not enough to solve the problem.
11/ "They didn’t start solving it in the right order, as far as I’m concerned. First, precision strikes—then publishing the addresses. That can be put on hold." /end
1/ Russia's economic crisis is deepening, with mass layoffs at public sector organisations and heavily indebted state corporations. It's a further sign of the severe strain on the Russian government's finances caused by the Ukraine war, and is a major political risk for Putin. ⬇️
2/ The 'Political Report' Telegram channel highlights the growing scale of the crisis in Russia's state-run bodies. It also notes the political risks that this is creating for the Russian government, which faces growing public hostility towards its policies:
3/ "Russia is plunging into a massive wave of layoffs and reductions, which is hitting public sector employees and state corporations particularly hard.
1/ Average gasoline prices in the US could rise to an all-time record of $5.50, and much higher in some states, if the Strait of Hormuz does not reopen by the end of June. Citigroup warns that the world's oil inventories risk falling to record low levels. ⬇️
2/ A new report published by Citi sets out scenarios for the current impasse in the Strait of Hormuz, while other analysts say it could take nine months for things to return to normal even if a peace agreement is signed. Citi's analysts predict three possible outcomes:
3/ 1️⃣ A ceasefire extension is signed this week, oil tanker traffic resumes, flows recover through May, and pre-war levels resume by the end of June. A total of 900 million barrels of oil production is lost since the start of the Iran war.
1/ Russia's premier drone unit, Rubikon, has published statistics on the Ukrainian targets it has hit to date. To the concern of some Russian warbloggers, they reveal a strikingly different targeting strategy from that used by Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Boris Rozhin reports on his 'Colonelcassad' Telegram channel:
"The Rubikon Center's official channel has published over 24,000 episodes of enemy target destruction.
Structure and dynamics of hit targets by type:
3/ "36.7% (+0.3%) - Unmanned systems (multicopter and aircraft UAVs, ground robots)
16.7% (-0.2%) - Communication and surveillance equipment
15.8% (+0.3%) - Ground hardened targets (airborne, field fortifications)
1/ Russian companies are blocking foreign IP addresses in a bid to block VPNs, stranding thousands of Russians abroad without access to money, flight details, or taxes. Major Russian apps are also being repurposed to scan users' phones for VPNs and secretly obtain user data. ⬇️
2/ While apps such as Telegram, Instagram, and WhatsApp have been blocked in Russia, millions of Russians still access them daily using VPNs. However, the Russian government is working hard to choke off this access by deterring VPN use (while not yet banning them).
3/ Russian online service providers have been ordered by the government to block access from VPN IP addresses. They are taking a very crude approach of blocking all foreign IP addresses, causing great inconvenience to travellers, as Russian blogger 'Abu' complains:
1/ Russia is entering a full-scale debt crisis, according to newly published official figures. Non-payments have reached an all-time high equivalent to nearly 4% of GDP or a fifth of the entire federal budget. It's a fresh sign of a deepening economic crisis worsened by war. ⬇️
2/ Russian media is reporting today that data from Rosstat, the official statistics agency, says that as of the end of January 2026 unpaid business debt has reached a record 8.2 trillion rubles ($109.3 billion). Non-payments have nearly tripled since 2022.
3/ This is equivalent to about 20% of the annual federal budget, 150% of Moscow's budget, and 1500% of the budget of large and wealthy regions such as the Sverdlovsk Region and the Krasnodar Krai.
1/ Russia's Ministry of Defence has hailed its first "airborne religious procession" – a fly-by of an icon of the Archangel Michael in a Mi-8 transport helicopter over Russian units in eastern Ukraine. However, it has received a sour response from those on the ground. ⬇️
2/ According to the Russian MOD, "an Mi-8 helicopter carrying an icon of the Archangel Michael flew along the operational zone of the 27th Motorised Rifle Brigade and the 68th Motorised Rifle Division of the "West" group of forces.
A Ka-52 helicopter provided escort."
3/ One of those on the ground, the warblogger 'Vault No. 8' – a serving Russian soldier – points out that the 27th Motorised Rifle Brigade (military unit 61899) has a dire reputation for sending its men to their deaths en masse and otherwise abusing its soldiers.