ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Apr 21 14 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russia's continuing difficulties in the war in Ukraine is leading to multiple warbloggers admitting that the war effort is failing. The latest entry in the genre comes from Alexander Karchenko, who says that ordinary Russians are more concerned about the "price of a latte". ⬇️ Image
2/ Writing on his Telegram channel 'Witnesses of Bayraktar', Karchenko admits:

"Yes, we’re struggling. We’re all in this together. Me, you, and everyone reading this. For four years, we’ve been living in limbo."
3/ "The army is fighting, but the rest of us might not have been affected. The regrouping in the Kharkiv direction gave a push for change, but it fizzled out.
4/ "After repelling the 2023 counteroffensive, we convinced ourselves that victory would just fall into our laps. All we had to do was wait.
5/ "No, it didn’t. The enemy mobilised its modest resources. It switched to drone technology and is striving with all its might toward a robot war. Well, that’s when we’ll have to trade a living human for a flying machine.
6/ "The Ukrainians have another strong trait. They’ve shifted to total war. In recent months, they’ve ramped up mobilisation exponentially. Now they’re even weaving religious narratives into their propaganda.
7/ "You can laugh all you want, but the Ukrainian leadership is preparing to win this conflict. They’ve discarded all other options and staked everything on a military solution.
8/ "I can’t say the same about us. We’re still worried about the price of a latte. This is a dangerous trend. In war, between pragmatism and fanaticism, the latter will prevail.
9/ "They’re luring us with negotiations while simultaneously increasing the costs of military operations. But what will we do if we fail to reach an agreement this year?
10/ "For now, everything points to the Ukrainians not withdrawing from Donbas. They can only be defeated on the battlefield. You can throw stones at me, but under the current circumstances, we won’t be able to break their back.
11/ "Let me say it again: they’re leading us down the path of controlled escalation. That’s a sure path to the gallows. It’s time to turn the tables. Mobilisation and a shift to total war by any means necessary is a perfectly logical decision.
12/ "Yes, our lives will get harder, but we’ll survive. Don’t kid yourselves—no one is going to leave us alone.
13/ "So go ahead and sip your banana lattes while the politicians discuss peace. If the talks fail, we’ll pack our backpacks and learn how to operate drones on the fly. There are no other options.
14/ "P.S. In my view, total war isn’t about blocking the internet. Total war is the mobilisation of all available resources and their most effective use. Without the internet and communications, we won’t be able to wage a robot war." /end

Source:
t.me/bayraktar1070/…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

May 21
1/ Russian warblogger Lev Vershinin wonders how Russia has managed to revert to 18th century standards of brutal military discipline, as seen in this video. How did it "become so savage in just one generation?", he asks. ⬇️
2/ The video shows a commander (almost certainly Russian, despite Vershinin's disingenuous uncertainty in the post below) savagely beating several men. They have apparently retreated ("rolled back") without authorisation from a mission or frontline position.
3/ “I came across some front-line footage. Not AI. But I don’t know which side it was filmed on. Neither the Russian language nor the swearing mean anything, because the war is essentially a civil one. So, it could be both.
Read 8 tweets
May 21
1/ A Russian soldier says that he and his comrades were told by their commander that "a single shell is worth more than all your lives". The men were sent on suicidal missions without artillery support, without supplies, and had to scavenge for weapons on the battlefield. ⬇️
2/ In a video explaining his decision to desert from the Russian army's 144th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade (military unit 11739), 36-year-old Anton Aleksandrovich Shirshin describes his commanders as brutal and corrupt.
3/ He was forced to join the army after being blamed for a traffic accident. The police offered him a choice between imprisonment followed by being conscripted to join the army, or joining the army voluntarily. He chose the latter option.
Read 15 tweets
May 21
1/ Continuing his review of how Ukraine is employing Palantir Technologies' platforms in its war with Russia, Belarusian-Russian journalist Alex Zimovsky breaks down in detail Palantir's capabilities and usages, according to public statements and reports. ⬇️ Image
2/ (For a briefer summary see the linked thread below.)
3/ "Palantir's platforms (primarily Gotham for data fusion and targeting, MetaConstellation for multisensor orchestration, and their derivatives, integrated through the Brave1 Dataroom) serve as the primary "operating system of war."
Read 25 tweets
May 21
1/ Russian warbloggers are increasingly admitting that Russia is suffering steady attrition from endless swarms of Ukrainian drones. '13 Tactical' posts a lament about Russia's strategic dilemma as it faces escalating costs in its war in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ The Russian military volunteer Dmitry Tinkov, writing on the '13 Tactical' Telegram channel, reviews the current situation and is very unhappy at what he sees, but takes refuge in half-hearted bravado as the only solution that he sees:
3/ "I think there are three underlying factors at the root of all our problems:

1. Those at the top genuinely believed they could reach an agreement on our terms.

2. They don't know what to do next with Ukraine (= what the outcome should be).
Read 22 tweets
May 20
1/ The powerful AI-driven Palantir platform is becoming Ukraine's 'operating system' for the war with Russia. Belarusian-Russian journalist journalist Alex Zimovsky warns that it's "heading towards the point where Palantir will soon become a scary name for children in Russia." ⬇️ Image
2/ Zimovsky has been assessing how Ukraine uses Palantir. He writes:

"As of May 2026, the American company Palantir Technologies has become a key element of Ukraine's AI- and big data-based war management architecture."
3/ "The system is based on the Gotham and MetaConstellation platforms, which integrate into a single combat environment:

→ UAV video feeds
→ satellite reconnaissance
→ SIGINT / electronic intelligence
→ radar data
→ OSINT and open sources
Read 17 tweets
May 20
1/ After mobilised Russian troops were threatened with being sent to their deaths if they didn't sign contracts making them permanent soldiers, they were promised a big cash bonus if they did so. There's just one problem: they've now been scammed out of the payments. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Vault No. 8,' a serving Russian soldier, writes that the mobilised residents of the Moscow region who are serving in his unit are now complaining bitterly that they have been scammed:
3/ "As some may recall, last fall was marked by the slogan, "Mobilised men! Sign a contract or run to attack!"
Read 15 tweets

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