1/ Russia's continuing difficulties in the war in Ukraine is leading to multiple warbloggers admitting that the war effort is failing. The latest entry in the genre comes from Alexander Karchenko, who says that ordinary Russians are more concerned about the "price of a latte". ⬇️
2/ Writing on his Telegram channel 'Witnesses of Bayraktar', Karchenko admits:
"Yes, we’re struggling. We’re all in this together. Me, you, and everyone reading this. For four years, we’ve been living in limbo."
3/ "The army is fighting, but the rest of us might not have been affected. The regrouping in the Kharkiv direction gave a push for change, but it fizzled out.
4/ "After repelling the 2023 counteroffensive, we convinced ourselves that victory would just fall into our laps. All we had to do was wait.
5/ "No, it didn’t. The enemy mobilised its modest resources. It switched to drone technology and is striving with all its might toward a robot war. Well, that’s when we’ll have to trade a living human for a flying machine.
6/ "The Ukrainians have another strong trait. They’ve shifted to total war. In recent months, they’ve ramped up mobilisation exponentially. Now they’re even weaving religious narratives into their propaganda.
7/ "You can laugh all you want, but the Ukrainian leadership is preparing to win this conflict. They’ve discarded all other options and staked everything on a military solution.
8/ "I can’t say the same about us. We’re still worried about the price of a latte. This is a dangerous trend. In war, between pragmatism and fanaticism, the latter will prevail.
9/ "They’re luring us with negotiations while simultaneously increasing the costs of military operations. But what will we do if we fail to reach an agreement this year?
10/ "For now, everything points to the Ukrainians not withdrawing from Donbas. They can only be defeated on the battlefield. You can throw stones at me, but under the current circumstances, we won’t be able to break their back.
11/ "Let me say it again: they’re leading us down the path of controlled escalation. That’s a sure path to the gallows. It’s time to turn the tables. Mobilisation and a shift to total war by any means necessary is a perfectly logical decision.
12/ "Yes, our lives will get harder, but we’ll survive. Don’t kid yourselves—no one is going to leave us alone.
13/ "So go ahead and sip your banana lattes while the politicians discuss peace. If the talks fail, we’ll pack our backpacks and learn how to operate drones on the fly. There are no other options.
14/ "P.S. In my view, total war isn’t about blocking the internet. Total war is the mobilisation of all available resources and their most effective use. Without the internet and communications, we won’t be able to wage a robot war." /end
1/ Russian companies are blocking foreign IP addresses in a bid to block VPNs, stranding thousands of Russians abroad without access to money, flight details, or taxes. Major Russian apps are also being repurposed to scan users' phones for VPNs and secretly obtain user data. ⬇️
2/ While apps such as Telegram, Instagram, and WhatsApp have been blocked in Russia, millions of Russians still access them daily using VPNs. However, the Russian government is working hard to choke off this access by deterring VPN use (while not yet banning them).
3/ Russian online service providers have been ordered by the government to block access from VPN IP addresses. They are taking a very crude approach of blocking all foreign IP addresses, causing great inconvenience to travellers, as Russian blogger 'Abu' complains:
1/ Russia is entering a full-scale debt crisis, according to newly published official figures. Non-payments have reached an all-time high equivalent to nearly 4% of GDP or a fifth of the entire federal budget. It's a fresh sign of a deepening economic crisis worsened by war. ⬇️
2/ Russian media is reporting today that data from Rosstat, the official statistics agency, says that as of the end of January 2026 unpaid business debt has reached a record 8.2 trillion rubles ($109.3 billion). Non-payments have nearly tripled since 2022.
3/ This is equivalent to about 20% of the annual federal budget, 150% of Moscow's budget, and 1500% of the budget of large and wealthy regions such as the Sverdlovsk Region and the Krasnodar Krai.
1/ Russia's Ministry of Defence has hailed its first "airborne religious procession" – a fly-by of an icon of the Archangel Michael in a Mi-8 transport helicopter over Russian units in eastern Ukraine. However, it has received a sour response from those on the ground. ⬇️
2/ According to the Russian MOD, "an Mi-8 helicopter carrying an icon of the Archangel Michael flew along the operational zone of the 27th Motorised Rifle Brigade and the 68th Motorised Rifle Division of the "West" group of forces.
A Ka-52 helicopter provided escort."
3/ One of those on the ground, the warblogger 'Vault No. 8' – a serving Russian soldier – points out that the 27th Motorised Rifle Brigade (military unit 61899) has a dire reputation for sending its men to their deaths en masse and otherwise abusing its soldiers.
1/ Ukraine's increasing dominance in drones is reportedly leading to individual Russian soldiers being attacked by 20 or 30 drones at once. Russian warbloggers say that Ukrainian drones are operating with impunity while their side faces a shortage. ⬇️
2/ A report by Russian news outlet RT says that as many as 20 to 30 drones are being used to attack individual Russian soldiers. 'Belarusian Silovik' responds: "Unfortunately, that’s exactly how it is."
3/ "What’s even worse is that in some areas, our side is conserving drones due to a shortage, while the Ukrainian Armed Forces can deploy 20–30 UAVs in a single sortie over a short period of time.
Right now, the average ratio of UAV deployment is probably 3 to 1."
1/ Ukraine's success this year in stalling Russia's offensive, and driving Russian forces back in some places, has prompted increasingly bleak assessments from Russian warbloggers. In a lengthy series of posts, Yuri Kotenok warns that Russia's war effort is faltering badly. ⬇️
2/ In a six-part series of posts on his 'Voenkor Kotenok' Telegram channel, he writes:
3/ "I. If, at the very beginning of the conflict, as soon as the story broke about the Rzeszow airfield in Poland, where weapons for the Kyiv regime were being massively deployed, we had acted decisively, like Iran did against Israel and the United States in the spring of 2026,…
1/ Russian soldiers are being sent to their deaths by the military police for infractions as trivial as not wearing a seatbelt. Many avoid doing so in order to jump out quickly if their vehicle is attacked by a drone, but they are finding that they face death either way. ⬇️
2/ The Military Police (VPs) are the target of widespread hatred from ordinary Russian soldiers for their corruption and zealous enforcement of arbitrary rules. They are also helping to meet the army replenish depleted assault units by sending arrested individuals to them.
3/ Russian warblogger Alexander Zhuchkovsky writes:
"In colloquial speech among soldiers, enemies are often referred to as "faggots" or "roosters." This is a simpler and more common derogatory term among soldiers than "khokhols."