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Casus Belli Profile picture
@casusbellii
Apr 25 • 33 tweets • 10 min read • Read on X
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🚨🇲🇱 Starting a thread here on the massive attacks that started today on malian / russian positions in different cities including ; Bamako - Kidal - Kati and few other locations.

Bookmark it so you keep yourself updated on key informations ⬇️
1/
2/ One malian helicopter down
3/ JNIM in Kati
4/ Bamako Senou airport attacks
5/ Urban Warfare in Kati
6/ Footage this morning from the house of the malian defence minister blown up by VBIED.

Loud explosion that was heard km aways
7/ US embassy in Mali confirm the attacks at Bamako airport and asks its citizens to avoid any travel.
8/ Bourem camp (Nothern Mali) is now owned by JNIM
9/ Social medias accounts warns about ongoing clashes in Mamaribougou and Djicoronicoura.

Local sources confirm the JNIM has taken control of the customs office (cc @SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ ) Image
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 10/ Video from Kidal were the JNIM took control over an oil station.

Remember oil is a huge issue in Mali since few months after various shortages and now due to the tensions with Iran. Some cities has been out of electricity for weeks now.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 11/ FLA troops has now the control over Kidal and went inside Kidal governorate.

The governor withdrew.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 12/ More footage from Sadio Camarra’s (Malian defence minister) house which was targeted by JNIM in which is believed to be a VBIED attack.

Rumors has been saying he was kidnapped, and the Chief of Staff of malian army killed. Nothing confirmed as for now.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 13/ A Niger 🇳🇪 Air Force plane landed in Burkina Faso - Bobo Dialousso.

Unclear why for now but this could be a hint for other aes states to send few troops to support Mali.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 14/ More footage from Gao with FLA and/or JNIM units entering the city.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 15/ second official statement made by malian army
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 16/ both JNIM & FLA are now inside Gao
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 17/ Visual confirmation of JNIM entering Sévaré @SaladinAlDronni
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 18/ It seems like both russians and malians are now releasing footages and videos of their counter attacks showing dead bodies abandoned vehicles including drones.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 19/ Footage of Bourem, capture an hour ago by FLA.
20/ Footage showing JNIM commander Abdourhamane Zaza, and his troops stealing stuff from the malian tuareg general El Hadj Ag Gamou in Kidal governorate building.

Zaza was the JNIM commander in charge of the Tinzawaten attack back in july 2024 which led to the death of multiple Wagner members and considered as one of the biggest russian loss.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 21/ More footage from Sévaré.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 22/ first images of malian soldiers being taken hostage by FLA.
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ 23/ Geolocation work done by @aeowinpact (cc @detresfa_ ) (1)
@SaladinAlDronni @BrantPhilip_ @aeowinpact @detresfa_ 24/ (2) geolocation
25/ (3) Geolocation in Kidal
26/ More footage showing malian prisoners released on social networks.

I assume they are held prisonners by JNIM.
27/ Geolocation Kidal
28/ Since this morning the malian army released 2 communiqué saying the situation was in control.

The government also released phone numbers to reach out for civilians.

The national TV released a special intervention asking citizens to stay calm, and more importantly to not record any incident and publish it and rather to follow only the malian army communiqué.
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29/ Heavy clashes are still reported at Sévaré.

One helicopter conducted at least 4 airstrikes before leaving the area while ground forces are still fighting.

Situation remains unclear.
30/ The French DGAC (Directorate General of Civil Aviation) has issued a NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) instructing all French airlines not to land at Bamako airport and to maintain high altitude while flying over Mali.

NOTAM is in place until 27 April Image
31/ Calm is back in Bamako and vicinity.

Seen videos of tuareg bodies (assuming its JNIM) lynched by crowd.

One of them is tied to a rope attached to a car, which is dragging him through the streets.

Obviously not publishing anything gore.
32/ few days before the attacks, malian authorities had an emergency meeting to reinforce security ..

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More from @casusbellii

Casus Belli Profile picture
Nov 27, 2025
🇳🇪🇫🇷🇷🇺🚨| Orano condemns "illegal transport" of uranium stored at the SOMAIR site.

French company Orano (formerly Areva) said it had learned from the media that a shipment of uranium had left the SOMAIR mining site in Arlit. Image
🇳🇪🇫🇷🇷🇺🚨| According to RFI, convoy has just left the Arlit mine, where uranium ore (probably yellowcake) had been stored for several months.

These resources were stored at the mining site by the company Orano due to problems with the new authorities in Niamey.

For several months, there had been reports of significant interest in these resources, particularly from Russia and Iran.
🇳🇪🇫🇷🇷🇺🚨| A first video appeared on social media showing a convoy allegedly leaving the Arlit mining site.

The origin and the people in the video remain to be confirmed.

From @ighazer
Read 23 tweets
Casus Belli Profile picture
Dec 8, 2024
Russian military bases in Syria had been part of the global deployment architecture in Africa for years.

With Khmeimim and Tartous, the Russians had a strategic node that ensured the deployment of men and military equipment on the African continent, at a time when major changes were underway, notably on the mercenary front (Wagner being gradually replaced by Africa Corps).

The timing is rather amusing: Russia's Deputy Defense Minister has been on the African continent in recent weeks, with new visits to Libya / Mali / Togo and Equatorial Guinea.Image
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At the same time, Prime Minister Novak and the Russian Interior Minister visited Burkina Faso, Niger and Mali. Image
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The fall of Assad in Syria will considerably slow down Russian operations on the African continent.

For Wagner (Mali/CAR and a little in Sudan/Libya), this is a godsend: they can continue to stay in the field longer than planned, and will continue to take advantage of local resources and contracts to finance themselves.

For Africa Corps (the new entity set to replace Wagner since Prigojine's death, deployed in Niger, Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea) the subject is completely different.

Without supplies, they'll quickly find themselves in trouble on the ground, and their credibility will suffer, making Wagner's departure even more complicated.

A temporary solution could be found by the Russians in Libya (Al Jufra) or Sudan (Port Sudan) to have a new logistical point, but I'm not sure about these outlets.

For the moment, Russian operations in Africa seem to be in trouble, and Rybar's comment is very interesting in this sense, although we shouldn't jump too fast to conclusions either.
Read 5 tweets
Casus Belli Profile picture
Oct 21, 2024
🇸🇩🇰🇬| A Kyrgyz plane appears to have been shot down by the RSF in Sudan.

The aircraft is believed to be EX-76011, according to the wreckage found, and was carrying crew. A Russian passport and an engineer's work card, also potentially Russian, were also found.
🇰🇬🇸🇩| This plane was already identified back then flying from Abu Dhabi to different locations in East Africa including Ethiopia, Libya, Sudan ...

It seems that the plane shot is an IL-76 which @Gerjon_ identified back then Image
🇰🇬🇸🇩| As you can see in the documents below, we can read two russian names ;

- An engineer called Viktor Granov
- Another guy called Anton Selivaneis.

The name of Viktor Granov appears in some documents in Panama Papers and seems to have activites in Sourh Africa.

It’s still unclear on wether they are the same guy or not.

offshoreleaks.icij.org/nodes/11003719Image
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Read 7 tweets
Casus Belli Profile picture
May 17, 2024
Si l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie était une rupture nette de l’ordre international établi, la situation actuelle en Nouvelle Calédonie et particulièrement l’ingérence étrangère sur le territoire français est le signal de ce que va connaîtrede plus en plus la France dans les prochaines décennies
La débâcle américaine en été 2021 Afghanistan était peut-être déjà le premier signal d’un basculement important pour les occidentaux

S’en est suivi le retrait français du Sahel depuis 2020, qui a eu lieu d’abord parce que les populations locales rejetaient notre présence
La nature ayant horreur du vide, plusieurs Etats étrangers plus ou moins visibles ont comblé le vide et ont proposé des alternatives - parfois discutables - à ces pays là.

Wagner en est le symptôme mais en réalité il est la partie émergée de l’ice-berg
Read 9 tweets
Casus Belli Profile picture
May 16, 2024
I see a lots of people being surprised by the azerbaijani activities in New Caledonia so here’s a short thread :

Back in end of 2023, a "copy pasta" campain was launched on twitter and other plateform using this AI generated picture to denounce the agreement betweent 🇫🇷 & 🇦🇲



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For the record, few weeks after the complete cession of Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan, France supplied Armenia with 50 armored vehicles "Bastion" which triggered a large campain from Baku against France.

hetq.am/en/article/162…
Not only that but the french ambassador to Armenia @O_Decottignies was also subject to false accusations of sexual assault.

These accusations were made by agents of influence (which appeared on russian medias) well known for their past activities.
Read 5 tweets
Casus Belli Profile picture
May 15, 2024
🇦🇿🇳🇨🇫🇷🚨| Following the current incidents in New Caledonia, a significant influence OP has been launched on internet against France.

Dozens of burner accounts appeared, sharing messages attempting to make the link between algerian history of decolonization and New Caledonia.


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🇦🇿🇳🇨🇫🇷🚨| At this time it is unclear wether there’s only Azerbaijan behind this info OP or any other state (China.. Russia ..).

This is not the first influence OP they push on here.

They are also very active on different levels, including political and local.


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🇦🇿🇳🇨🇫🇷🚨| For your information, there are violent struggles going on in New Caledonia.

At least 1 gendarmes died and tonight France announced the banning of Tiktok in New Caledonia as well as the dispatch of the army and police forces.

All this is due to the fact that a constitutional reform for New Caledonia has been voted through in France, which is contested by the independantists.
Read 5 tweets

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