Stubb: If Russia fired missiles at 12 European countries, we’d call it world war.
Europe’s position is clear: keep the Strait of Hormuz open and defend freedom of navigation. Once there’s a ceasefire or deal, Europe can help monitor and secure it with allies. 1/
Europe’s position is clear: keep the Strait of Hormuz open and defend freedom of navigation. Once there’s a ceasefire or deal, Europe can help monitor and secure it with allies. 1/
Stubb: Any Iran deal has four pillars: uranium enrichment, ending proxy groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis, limiting missiles, and securing the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran now sees Hormuz as leverage — a kind of economic nuclear weapon controlling 20% of global oil exports. 2/
Iran now sees Hormuz as leverage — a kind of economic nuclear weapon controlling 20% of global oil exports. 2/
Stubb: Russia-Ukraine talks are stuck for two reasons: US focus on Iran and Russia’s unwillingness to make peace.
Three scenarios remain — war continues, peace, or one side weakens. The most likely is continued war, with Ukraine in a much stronger position than a year ago. 3X
Three scenarios remain — war continues, peace, or one side weakens. The most likely is continued war, with Ukraine in a much stronger position than a year ago. 3X
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