Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Apr 27 25 tweets 4 min read Read on X
On Budanov’s desk sits notebook labeled “List of Assholes 2026.”

He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/ Image
Born in Darnytsia, raised in an ordinary family. His father engineered parts for the Soviet space program at the Kyiv Radio Plant. He studied at a school with Jewish classes funded by the Jewish community. He learned Hebrew and still keeps ties with Ukraine’s chief rabbi. 2/
He dreamed of being a soldier from childhood — his grandfather told family legends about intelligence officers. He trained in Crimea every summer, hiking 30-40 km with a backpack and climbing cliffs. That passion would later save his life. 3/
In 2003, 40 were selected from 200 applicants for the Odesa Military Institute. Budanov made the cut. Students lined up for his help with higher mathematics. 4/
When locals picked fights with cadets, the whole class went out to brawl together on Kulykove field. He secretly took classified books from the library and read them on duty — an offense that could get him expelled. 5/
After graduation everyone expected him to join airborne brigades or SBU Alpha. When they learned he had chosen military intelligence, everyone was shocked. Nobody had even dreamed of intelligence. 6/
From 2007 he served at GUR headquarters on Rybalsky Island. Until 2014 he took part in no combat operations — he studied and prepared. In 2014 he joined “Group 40” — GUR volunteers who went to the front. 7/
They traveled from Mariupol to Stanytsia Luhanska, gathering intelligence, going behind enemy lines, organizing sabotage. 8/
First wound: March 2015, shrapnel in the neck and shoulder blade. He asked his brothers-in-arms to leave him and retreat. They refused. The fragment was never removed at the scene — surgery came later in Dnipro. 9/
In 2016 Budanov personally led an operation in Crimea. Russia had concentrated weapons and helicopters in Dzhankoi and GUR decided to destroy them. Before every difficult operation he played “Sword of Arey” and every participant drank 20 grams of rum. 10/
Weapons were smuggled into Crimea by inflatable boat. The group swam in underwater. At the meeting point instead of their driver — Russia’s elite FSB Vympel unit. They jumped out shouting “Everyone down, FSB is here.” Nobody went down except them. 11/
Budanov counted 13 shots fired point-blank at one attacker. The GUR officers killed FSB Lieutenant Colonel Kamenev. The rest scattered. Budanov and a comrade ran to the shore and jumped off a cliff into the water. One bullet had hit his satellite phone. 12/
They waited in the water for a day then swam nearly 10 km across Perekop Bay to the mainland. The operation was not completed — two men were captured. Budanov took the failure hard. 13/
Second wound came on Marianna’s birthday. He called from the ambulance and calmly, joking about counting his fingers, told her he had been wounded. Third wound December 2016 — a bullet shattered his right elbow. Twenty surgeries. Rehabilitation at Walter Reed. 14/
He met Marianna on a train in 2013 returning from Odesa. For their first date he brought flowers, a Stefan Zweig book she had mentioned, and scales — she was monitoring her weight, he had remembered. She did not know where he worked for a long time. 15/
He remembers the exact date they met — August 17, 2013. Some important political dates he does not. 16/
On August 5, 2020 Budanov became head of GUR. In November 2021 he told Military Times in detail what the full-scale invasion would look like and when. The Kremlin called it “hysteria.” 17/
On February 22, 2022 at a meeting with faction leaders he named the attack directions and warned of the threat from Chornobyl. The forecast came true. Before the invasion they nearly fired him — one version says Russia demanded it in exchange for improved relations. 18/
On February 24, 2022 he and Marianna met the invasion at GUR headquarters. She lived in his office and watched the first groups leave for Hostomel and saw the wounded brought back. “In his element: with weapons and grenades — a man of war.” 19/
According to The Economist, Yermak tried to remove Budanov from his GUR position at least nine times. Each time his good relations with the president saved him. 20/
On January 2, 2026 Zelenskyy appointed him head of the Presidential Office. Budanov initially did not want to go and tried to negotiate so that his own person would be appointed GUR head. It did not work out. 21/
In his new office: a large chessboard, an icon, a samurai katana and a record player with albums from Prodigy to Beatles. Unlike Yermak, Budanov does not restrict access to the president. MPs, regional heads and business representatives no longer need passes to enter. 22/
At his first meeting on military recruitment offices he gave two weeks for bribery to stop and warned: if he learns of bribes in any specific office after that, the entire chain of command will be removed. 23/
“Don’t you want to be liked?” Babel asked after another sharp response.

Budanov: “I am a general. I am a Hero of Ukraine. I can afford it.” 24X

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More from @Mylovanov

May 22
Browder: How does Putin afford to keep fighting after four years? Oil and oil products. That is where the money comes from.

If we want to stop the invasion, we take away his money — and that means stopping Russia’s oil sales. 1/
Browder: Pausing sanctions does not create new jet fuel. Russia can still sell under sanctions — it just gets a lower price.

Removing pressure only redistributes profit back to Moscow. It does not solve shortages; it gives Putin more money. 2/
Browder: Zelenskyy is watching the West talk about sanctions, do them halfway, or delay them.

So Ukraine is sending drones into Russia and blowing up oil refineries — imposing its own oil sanctions because Western policy is fickle and half-hearted. 3/
Read 4 tweets
May 22
Kellogg: Trump has been extremely measured with Iran, but negotiations should be broken off.

Seize Kharg Island. It controls 90% of Iran’s economy, puts the whole country at risk, especially the leadership, and creates leverage fast. 1/
Kellogg: Take the command-and-control hub for the Strait, put Marines there, line up Avenger-class minesweepers, and escort ships out on the Omani side.

Clear the Strait, take control of the situation, and stop trusting the IRGC. 2/
Kellogg: You do not have to invade Iran.

Take a couple of strategic choke points, take away the regime’s economy, strangle it, and build up resistance from inside. The government starts to fall when its survival is at stake. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Keane: Iran’s regime does not care about the suffering of its people.

It thinks it can run out the clock, increase political and economic pressure on Trump, and use any negotiated deal to finance the regime’s recovery. 1/
Keane: Trump has shown huge patience since the April 8 ceasefire, but a deal does not seem possible.

The U.S. is on the cusp of returning to combat operations with Israel — full throttle, all out, no half measures. 2/
Keane: The next target list should include remaining weapons, nuclear remnants, the organizations sustaining the regime, and Iran’s revenue sources.

The goal is not just military pressure, but forcing economic collapse. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Budanov: Russia is building a digital ghetto.

It wants to control people, complicate Ukrainian intelligence work, and prepare society for serious decisions that may be unpopular or hard to explain. That is why it cuts off alternative information. 1/
Budanov: Russia is replacing reality. In Moscow, there is a whole “museum of Ukrainian Nazism.”

It has nothing to do with reality, but it is built logically and professionally. A person who sees it can believe it — that is the danger. 2/
Budanov: Civil resistance under occupation must continue.

Every Ukrainian flag, every sign, every act is a connection with identity, state, history, culture and tradition. It is risky, but without it there will be full colonization. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Budanov: Russia’s goals keep moving lower under pressure from reality. First it was “Kyiv in three days.”

After almost four years, it became “Donbas at any cost.” Now the new goal is Ukraine outside military alliances and without nuclear status. 1/
Budanov: Russia’s leadership lives in numbers, charts, economic and geopolitical forecasts — and those forecasts look bad for them.

There is no real optimism at the top. That is why their public narratives keep changing. 2/
Budanov: Russian society still lives by television, but a dangerous thought is already appearing: maybe Russia will still do something, but clearly something is going wrong.

That narrative exists, it threatens the regime, and they know it. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 21
Putin came to Beijing weaker than at his last visit. Moscow took 500+ drones three days earlier. Russia lost net territory last month for the first time since Aug 2024.

With Middle East crude squeezed, Xi now extracts energy on Beijing's terms — CNN. 1/ Image
Xi rolled out the red carpet anyway. Honor guard, gun salute, children with flags. The same welcome Trump received days earlier.

The substance diverged. Trump left without a joint statement. Putin signed one. 2/
Putin and Xi reiterated their "no limits" partnership and a "multipolar world." This is Putin's 25th visit to China in 25 years; they have met more than 40 times.

Putin used a Chinese idiom on his bond with Xi: "One day apart feels like three autumns." 3/
Read 10 tweets

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