🧵What if I told you that you could buy a world-class integrated steel plant for "free"?
There’s a massive valuation disconnect hiding in the Indian markets right now.
Let’s talk about Sunflag Iron & Steel (SUNFLAG) and why the smart money is watching.
(1/10)
Sunflag isn't a new kid on the block. Founded by the Sunflag Group (est. 1937).
• They’ve spent decades evolving from a textile venture in Kenya to a high-tech metallurgical powerhouse in India. This is industrial DNA at its finest.
(2/10)
Sunflag holds an 11% stake in Lloyds Metals. Today, that stake alone is worth ~₹7,000 Cr.
• The wild part? Sunflag’s own market cap is only ~₹5,800 Cr. The market is essentially giving you the steel business for less than zero.
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Most steelmakers use scrap, which brings "tramp elements" (impurities). Sunflag uses a 100% iron ore route to produce "Clean Steel."
• This ultra-purity is mandatory for critical sectors like aerospace and defense.
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They’ve successfully pivoted from commodity "spring steel" to high-moat Superalloys.
• We’re talking Nickel, Cobalt, and Iron-based materials that can survive 500 C+ inside aircraft engines. This is high-margin engineering, not just bulk steel.
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The technical moat is reinforced by a strategic partnership with Japan’s Daido Steel.
• Daido holds a 10% stake and provides the tech blueprint, ensuring Sunflag stays ahead of global standards for high-precision automotive and engine components.
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HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd) recently honored Sunflag for its contribution to aircraft engine manufacturing.
• As India pushes for "Atmanirbhar" (self-reliant) defense, Sunflag is the key player replacing expensive imports.
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• Virtually debt-free (D/E ratio of 0.07).
• Reaffirmed CRISIL AA- rating.
• Trading at a steep discount to Book Value (~0.65x).
For professional investors, this represents a significant structural mispricing.
(8/10)
No play is without risks. Sunflag is tied to the automotive cycle (60% of revenue) and faces raw material volatility.
• However, they are aggressively bidding for captive mines to lock in costs and protect those margins.
(9/10)
Sunflag is bridging the gap between "Old School Value" and "Future Tech Growth."
• Between their solar energy JVs and a growing defense order book, the future looks as polished as their high-grade steel.
#Investing #SunflagSteel #ValueInvesting
(10/10)
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🧵 Imagine owning a business that makes something every oil company needs, but almost no one else in India can build.
Meet Maharashtra Seamless Ltd (MSL). A almost debt-free giant with a monopoly-like grip on India’s energy infrastructure.
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MSL is the king of Seamless Pipes. These aren't your average water pipes; they are high-tech steel tubes built for extreme pressure in deep-sea oil drilling.
• They are the ONLY ones in India making massive 20-inch pipes.
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MSL controls a massive 55% of the Indian seamless pipe market. When giants like ONGC or Reliance need to drill for oil or gas, they call MSL.
• It’s a "Make in India" champion that replaced expensive imports with domestic muscle.
Today is D-Day. January 6, 2026. The APTEL court hears the case. 🏛️
The regulators (CERC) want to force something called "Market Coupling." It sounds boring. It is actually tyranny.
They want to break the machine that works. Why? 👇
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We built something beautiful. IEX is not a utility. It is not a bank. It is an Experience. ✨
We took the chaos of electricity... and turned it into Order. We built a Matching Engine. It finds the perfect price. Instantly. It is not just code. It is Art. 🎨
India Power : Outlook 2026.... from Energy Transition to Energy Addition...
In the coming year, we expect demand to recover to long term average, but those waiting for a big rebound might face disappointment as weather is not expected to be very supportive.
Renewables - We remain negative, and expect moderation in addition as slow tendering and grid constraints come to bite (& govt continues to reduce support).
Solar PV- The concern till now was supply, we think demand will disappoint as well. Nuclear - We expect real action with possibility of bulk ordering of equipments (supported by the latest bill).
Thermal - We remain positive and there is a possibility that Govt. could raise long term targets, though one should stay away from merchant players, in our view.
DISCOM - A bailout package is awaited, and the buzz on DISCOM privatization is likely to rise. BESS- Battery storage to finally hit the ground in India, moderating shortage risks.
Data-centers -Possibility of firm power off-take agreements by DCs could be a big driver for the broader sector.
Overall, we expect the sector to perform in line with market - with the only way for a broader out-performance being if weather surprises positively, Or if the data-center story gains strong traction.
INVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS
Detailed Thread 🧵🧵
Power sector coverage universe pecking order
Key catalysts for the year (Green- Positive, Red- Negative)
India power: After disapointing in FY26, we expect 0.8x of real GDP in FY27, post which we expect 1x of real GDP growth
DISCOMs - Key events in 2025, showcase a potential roadmap for CY26.
Renewable capacity addition in India- Our estimates are much lower than industry estimates and govt. plans
Global utilities price to 12m forward earnings comparison
India Solar PV manufacturers DCR Cell production (CY'25) (MW)