@TrentTelenko @grok Once again, Trent, when you stray from your area of expertise you generate smoke and misunderstanding rather than insight. There is a lot more than improved trauma response going on in the drop in murder rates, though to be sure trauma care does play a role. 1/
@TrentTelenko @grok We can gain insight into this by examining crime and criminal justice broadly, rather than focusing on one crime - murder - and one factor - trauma care.
Depending on time periods & locations studied, we can see that increased clearance rates, violence interruption efforts 2/
@TrentTelenko @grok targeted enforcement, community stabilization and social support efforts all have played a role.
We can also see, not just a drop in murder rates, but a drop in a wide variety of other crimes. 3/counciloncj.org/whats-driving-…
@TrentTelenko @grok Using FBI data, we can see that violent crime (murder, non-negligent homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault) all have dropped.
The long and steady drop in crime in the US is shaped by multiple factors.
@TrentTelenko @grok Everything from lead paint removal (and therefore less developmental lead poisoning) to abortion availability (fewer unwanted children in unprepared homes) to an aging population (young guys being the dumbest group on the planet - Jackass the Movie was a documentary) 7/
@TrentTelenko @grok ...might have played roles in these decades long trends. The only "mystery" is why people think crime's going up. That's not a mystery, but it's a different story.
The data is out there. The analysis is clear. Crime, violent and property, has been going down for decades.
@TrentTelenko @grok @threadreaderapp unroll
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
@TrentTelenko I know Trent, you're perfect and I'm sure you never made a mistake in your entire professional life. 30 years in DCMA, never a comma or a period out of place.
@TrentTelenko Had you had a career in doing, instead of checking (don't get me wrong, checking's good, I'm glad people do it), you would have found out that shit happens. Sometimes the best plan just doesn't work. Read your Stephen Vincent Benet....
@TrentTelenko "If you take a flat map
And move wooden blocks upon it strategically,
The thing looks well, the blocks behave as they should.
The science of war is moving live men like blocks.
And getting the blocks into place at a fixed moment.
But it takes time to mold your men into blocks...
@tribelaw @stengel 1. What was striking for me was the gross misunderstanding of politics in a democracy exhibited by the Trumpet justices. They raised the specter of the politicization of accountability as if that was a flaw in the system. In a democracy, particularly one founded by revolution...
@tribelaw @stengel 2. on the logic of that "all men are created equal", that government derives its JUST powers from the consent of the governed, & accountability for an executive with a history of "repeated injuries and usurpations", political accountability is the ultimate form of accountability.
@tribelaw @stengel 3. Washington's example, as often, is dispositive. He rejected "Excellency" and other European claptrap, choosing instead the honorific of common citizens "Mr" President. He understood that "Mr. President" is a citizen first, last, always.
@vinemetlex @stengel 1. This is where an understanding of the history of the moment is critical, and you're misreading that history. The structure of the Constitution plainly puts the President within the law, subject to the law. Washington rejected even the trappings of the Presidential role...
@vinemetlex @stengel 2. being unique, insisting on "Mr. President" (the honorific for all citizens) rather than "Excellency" or any of that European claptrap. Just as the war power was vested in Congress (truly unique - formally the war power still rests with the Crown in the UK), the impeachment
@vinemetlex @stengel 3. power places the President within the reach of law even when in office, even for official acts if they reach the test of "high crimes and misdemeanors". There's no carve out for "official acts". The checks and balances are not designed to substitute for criminal liability,
@StephanAJensen @DandyGent This needed to be built from the peace process down. Not having a theory of victory (TOV) they couldn't answer the question "tell me how this ends?" in a realistic, concise way to the public. They failed the "Westmoreland test", as did he. 2🧵irp.fas.org/offdocs/pdd56.…
@StephanAJensen @DandyGent Rice, Khalilzad, Petraeus others tried but never fully articulated a peace process TOV, never resolved the core problem of peace - the less you include adversaries in settlement, the more force you need to defeat them. A peace process TOV is comprehensive.... 3🧵
@StephanAJensen @DandyGent ...addressing political, economic, social change trade-offs and practical considerations as well as moral ones. The (US) public isn't intolerant of casualties, it is intolerant of wasting lives. If you don't know how you are going to build peace... 4🧵
@heroicslug@HecklerAndKoch By African Americans in the South during the Civil Rights era in the 1950s and 60s in the American South, against State tolerated & supported night riders and the KKK. reason.com/2015/06/25/cha…
@heroicslug@HecklerAndKoch Indeed it does. Ultimately all advertising is grounded in sex or fear. But what you just highlighted is that all that 2A crap is just legal mumbo-jumbo to enable the gun industry to sell guns.
@heroicslug@HecklerAndKoch The fact that you can effectively (from the POV of the gun companies) advertise based on that combination of sex & status, and fear & fantasies of power that tickle deep parts of the male brain doesn't mean it is good for community or society.
@heroicslug@HecklerAndKoch Particularly not when it reaches the 10% of the male population that is disturbed, violent, unstable, prone to domestic or external violence, or suicide.