Robert Brovdi, Commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces:
A “symbolic” attack on Red Square would generate headlines around the world but says Ukraine will probably deliver a “slap in the face” where Russia’s air defences are weaker. 1/9
“Why waste drones on the ‘great wall’,” he said, referring to the enhanced security around Moscow. "If you hit the energy sector or military that’s the best strike, on the periphery.” 2/9
“Practically everything there [at Russia's Tuapse oil terminal] has burned." Putin spends 40% of his $530bn annual budget on the military and Brovdi estimates that 100m tonnes of Russian oil, worth $100bn, is exported each year from ports within range of his drones. 3/9
For the fifth month in a row the Kremlin has lost more soldiers than it can recruit, putting deaths at 30,000 to 34,000 a month. “This affects the combat capability of the Russian army, reducing its offensive potential. That is a fact,” 4/9
A situational awareness system, Delta, logs every mission, including failures. Brovdi says he receives 12-15 terabytes of raw video footage every day. 5/9
In Brovdi’s view, Ukraine has pioneered a “new doctrine of war”. Drones are responsible for 80% of destruction, supplanting assault rifles and armour. “A blitzkrieg is now impossible." 6/9
"If Russia had a million tanks and tried to seize Kyiv again, it would be the biggest bloodbath in world history. Two million drones would swarm over these tanks and burn them mercilessly.” 7/9
NATO countries have not yet fully grasped the need to overhaul their armies. Many of the generals in charge received their military training when “nobody gave a shit about drones”. 8/9
They need to emulate Ukraine’s example by building an ecosystem that integrates video footage, photographs, coordinates, and confirmed kills. “Russia won’t stop. Neither we nor you have time.”. 9/9
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Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine's Defense Minister, on the middle-strike campaign and the siege of Crimea:
The Ukrainian forces have increasingly begun employing drones equipped with a particular type of communications link to achieve operational effects. 1/13
The current objective is to significantly increase the number of middle-strike drones. This is not simply a reaction to current developments—it is a capability that was modeled as early as February. 2/13
In February, procurement of operational-depth drones was increased severalfold. Without going into procurement details, substantially larger quantities of drones capable of operating at distances of 50 kilometers or more were acquired. 3/13
General Syrskyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces on the transformation of modern warfare:
Throughout history, different types of weapons have emerged and reshaped warfare. 1/13
Take missiles, for example. When the first ballistic missiles appeared toward the end of the Second World War, many believed they represented the future of warfare—that aviation and bombers would become obsolete, and missiles alone would decide wars. 2/13
But that did not happen. While missile technology continued to advance, so did other forms of warfare. Aviation evolved as well, developing the capability to destroy missile launchers and employing stand-off weapons designed to penetrate and suppress air defense systems. 3/13
Borys "Fidel" Martynenko, co-founder of the 1st Separate UAS Center of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces:
The reason we’re seeing more of deep, strategic attacks now [on Moscow, St. Petersburg, etc.] is actually quite straightforward. 1/11
First, Russia’s air defense has become more strained. Second, there are simply more strike systems available. Third, there are more units conducting deep-strike operations. 2/11
It’s also about the ability to coordinate and command. All of this creates a cumulative effect: more systems, better coordination, and experienced people moving up through the ranks. 3/11
General Syrskyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces:
Overall, the situation on the front remains difficult. It would be wrong to underestimate Russia or assume that it has been significantly weakened or is losing ground on the main axes. 1/10
The enemy continues to conduct its strategic offensive operation. It retains a significant advantage in manpower, equipment, and troop numbers, and continues offensive operations along the main operational and strategic directions. 2/10
The number of enemy air strikes, drone attacks, and ballistic missile strikes has unfortunately not decreased. 3/10
General Syrskyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces:
Active defense is our strategy. We are containing the enemy along the main axes of its offensive. In May, the amount of territory we liberated exceeded the territory we lost by more than 100 square kilometers. 1/15
Overall, since the beginning of the year, Ukrainian forces have liberated more than 670 square kilometers of territory.
These are signs of a certain degree of enemy exhaustion. But again, I want to stress that we must not underestimate Russia. 2/15
We are inflicting losses at a rate that is several times greater than our own. On some sectors, we have gained the initiative and are conducting successful offensive operations.
At the same time, however, this is still not enough to achieve a decisive breakthrough. 3/15
Thomas Nilsson, Chief of Swedish Military Intelligence:
The Russian regime is likely to remain a threat to its neighbors well after President Vladimir Putin’s time in office end. 1/8
We don’t see this crisis as a temporary one; Russia has chosen its path, and there is no way back. We are in a strategic confrontation that is deep, structural and enduring — we can’t wish that away. 2/8
Russia's economy continues to face serious difficulties and that officials are manipulating statistics to conceal the economic consequences of four years of full-scale war, particularly its impact on economic growth and inflation. 3/8