Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 10 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Kasparov: Putin’s state is a mafia estate. The war was profitable for elites, but no longer.

Every refinery, oil terminal, and military plant hit by Ukraine is owned by someone, and those people are now losing billions, not just the state. 1/
Kasparov: Russians may not embrace Western democracy by heart, but they may embrace it by stomach if forced to choose between becoming a Chinese satellite or paying the price to return to Europe.

Nothing happens in Russia until Ukraine wins: victory for Ukraine, freedom for Russia. 2X
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More from @Mylovanov

May 12
Belarus already gave Russia territory for the 2022 assault on Kyiv, launched missiles from its soil, repaired Russian tanks, and treated wounded soldiers.

But Putin appears to want more and is pressuring Lukashenko[Putin’s puppet] to deepen Belarus’s role in the war, Times. 1/ Image
Ukraine now fortifies the 1,080 km Belarus border with mines, trenches, anti-tank barriers, sensors, barbed wire, and anti-drone defenses.

The Rivne crossing, once used by thousands daily, now sits behind minefields and armored patrols. 2/
Zelenskyy: Belarus is building roads toward Ukraine and placing artillery near the border.

Ukraine also reported “unusual activity” on the Belarusian side on May 2. 3/
Read 11 tweets
May 12
Trump arrives in Beijing as a weakened president.

The Iran war unresolved, the Strait of Hormuz still closed, tariffs failing.

Xi holds the cards, including a near-monopoly over rare earths and critical minerals. — Gideon Rachman, FT.

1/ Image
When Trump imposed 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, Beijing restricted mineral exports.

US factory production lines shut down within weeks. Within months — a trade truce.

2/
China's AI models are now roughly six months behind US rivals. Electric vehicles — China is ahead. Nvidia is lobbying to soften chip export restrictions, arguing it will lose markets to Chinese competitors.

The US lead in technology is narrowing.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 12
Germany and Ukraine will jointly produce long range drones that can fly 1,500 km.

Ukraine needs reach to hit launch sites and logistics deep behind Russian lines.

Germany wants Ukraine’s battlefield feedback loop built into production — Kyiv Post. 1/ Image
Boris Pistorius came to Kyiv quietly for a reason.

Weapons cooperation is no longer about just deliveries. Now Ukraine is building joint manufacturing capacity. 2/
The project spans two layers.

Short range systems under 100 km for the front, and deep strike platforms up to 1,500 km. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 12
Palantir CEO Alex Karp met with Zelenskyy and Fedorov in Kyiv. Ukraine is scaling AI for warfighting with real data.

Palantir is helping Ukraine to analyze air attacks. Now the task is to integrate AI into defense tech projects and deep strikes, using intelligence data at scale. 1/Image
Ukraine builds feedback loops. Drones and missiles produce data. Analysts turn it into targets and defenses. The system learns. If the loop runs faster than Russia adapts, Ukraine wins time and lives. 2/
Fedorov showed Brave1 Dataroom — a pipeline that lets Ukrainian developers train models on battlefield data. More than 100 companies already use it. That is an industrial base for military AI, not a demo day. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 11
Pomerantsev: Ukraine has all of society approaches to cognitive defense. It is way ahead.

When talking with partners, you have to be careful not to give anyone a sense that you're intervening in domestic politics. If you're dealing in truth, you have a duty to release it. 1/
Pomerantsev: Russia is aggressive inside Europe with assassinations, sabotage and cyber attacks. Some countries get intimidated, while others feel emboldened to act. The more aggressive Russia becomes, the more people see it as fair game to strike back. 2/
Pomerantsev: Americans accused anyone working on disinformation and media literacy of being part of a censorship industrial complex. European organizations monitoring disinformation have been sanctioned by the US. The Americans own tech companies that suppress voices. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 11
Kasparov: Trump always plays for Trump: his money, his glory, his family. But in the Ukraine war, he is playing on Putin’s side.

He never says a bad word about Putin, always explains Putin’s actions, and every concrete step helps Putin’s war effort. 1/
Kasparov: This is a world war. China stands behind Putin and wants it to continue because it drains the West, splits America and Europe, and weakens Russia.

Iran and the terrorist networks it funds are also part of the same global picture. 2/
Kasparov: NATO is dead as an organization.

It was created to stop Soviet-Russian aggression against free Europe, and when that aggression came, NATO did not even try to stop it. A new European security system is now being built. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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