Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 14 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Madyar, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Force Commander: Putin hits his own people hardest — drains their money, kills their social media. Every dictator needs to know the limit.

This one has no brakes and breaks himself.

1/
Madyar: Ending the war? Stopping it — maybe, under pressure. But Russia demands we leave Donetsk.

That won't happen. No deal without third parties. Even a frozen line buys time — they rearm in years, then push again: Ukraine, then NATO members.

2/
Madyar: Don't get emotional about Hungary's new leader. Let it settle. Hungary bans me — I couldn't care less.

My father is Hungarian, my kids born there. But I'm Ukrainian, I live this war. What the new leaders do — time will tell.

3X
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More from @Mylovanov

May 20
Xi got Trump to hedge on a multibillion-dollar Taiwan arms sale and gave up nothing in return.

After 43 hours in Beijing, Trump said he had not decided whether to proceed with the sale — Washington Post. 1/ Image
Xi pursued stability above all else.

He framed the summit as a "constructive, strategically stable relationship." Chinese state media said the framework should guide US-China ties through Trump's term and beyond. 2/
Xi opened with Taiwan. He told Trump that crossing Beijing's red lines would bring "clashes and conflicts."

Trump then told Fox News he had not decided whether to proceed with a multibillion-dollar weapons sale to Taipei. 3/
Read 11 tweets
May 20
Russia's stalled offensive runs on North Korean shells, North Korean missiles, and North Korean blood.

Pyongyang has shipped up to $14.4B in arms and 15,000 troops since Aug 2023 — Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Russia pays mostly in sensitive military technology and precision components.

Russia also helped build two North Korean destroyers and upgraded Pyongyang's electronic warfare and jamming systems. 2/
North Korean troops helped Moscow retake the Kursk region after Ukraine held hundreds of square kilometers for months.

Russian FM Sergei Lavrov called the deployment an "invincible brotherhood." It's the largest North Korean foreign deployment since the Korean War. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 20
For three years Europe armed Ukraine. After Trump cancelled Germany's Tomahawks this month, Ukraine may now arm Europe.

Diplomatic source in Berlin: "Together with Ukraine, a lot is possible with short time frames" — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Joe Biden pledged the Tomahawks to Germany in Jul 2024, range 1,550 miles.

They were closing a fatal gap. Europe has sea-launched Tomahawks but no ground-launched system to hit Russian submarine ports and air bases. 2/
Berlin now faces three options. Buy Tomahawks outright, build with Ukraine, or accelerate Elsa, the European long-range missile project.

Germany is pursuing all three. Boris Pistorius, German defence minister, flies to Washington next week for a four-day charm offensive. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 20
Russia is running out of people for its war in Ukraine — so Putin is handing out passports in Transnistria.

Putin signed a decree allowing residents of Moldova's breakaway region to obtain Russian citizenship without living in Russia or speaking Russian — Politico. 1/ Image
Moldovan President Maia Sandu: "Probably they need more people to send to the war in Ukraine." 2/
Sandu added that since the start of the full-scale war most Transnistria residents have themselves taken Moldovan citizenship because they felt safer holding a Moldovan passport than a Russian one. 3/
Read 5 tweets
May 20
Q: What are the top-3 innovations Germany looks up to in Ukraine?

Pistorius: AI, drones, including UAV, and for us it's very important to develop a long-range missile, an anti-ballistic missile.

We need more European solutions for what we are now forced to buy elsewhere.

1/
Fedorov: Our goal is to intercept 90–95% of missiles and Shaheds.

Ukraine launched the world's first 'Short-Range Air Defense' structure within the Air Force. Interceptor drones now hit 50–75% of Shaheds.

Germany is investing in Ukrainian Air Defense.

2/
Pistorius: I really admire the creativity and power of innovation in Ukraine. Not everything has to be invented in Germany.

We have to see what we can learn, what we can improve — or what we can just copy.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 19
Rachman, FT: "The current wars in Ukraine and Iran underline how foolish it is to assume that a military superpower will always win a war against a smaller country."

China's assumption that Taiwan would be helpless without American support is a dangerous mistake.

1/ Image
Ukraine has no navy — yet forced the Russian navy out of the Black Sea. Iran's navy was reportedly destroyed — yet Tehran keeps the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed with drones, missiles and speedboats.

Naval superpowers are increasingly vulnerable to cheap weapons.

2/
Taiwan's strengths: a top-20 global economy, 90%+ of the world's most advanced semiconductors, its own anti-ship missiles and drones, and the natural protection of being an island.

China would need one of the most ambitious seaborne invasions in history.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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