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Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
@Mylovanov
May 15 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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Graham: China buys 90% of Iranian oil and tops Russian oil purchases. Xi could call and end both wars today.

If this summit ends with no action on that — we made a big mistake.

1/
Graham: China buys Russian and Iranian oil cheap — keeps both war machines running. Stop it — the wars end.

Xi isn't irrational. If he believes Trump will crush China's economy for propping up Iran, he'll change. Make it real.

2/
Graham: China puts on a show — but their economy struggles. 1.4 billion people, no social security, no Medicare.

Our worst day is China's best day. Trump must tell Xi: fuel Iran and Russia — get punished. Stop — get rewarded. That's the goal of this summit.

3X
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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 15
The US-China relationship is a zero-sum contest. Their meetings and negotiations do not change that — even after Xi and Trump’s summit in Beijing on May 14th, writes The Economist. 1/
Xi greeted Trump with a ceremony on Tiananmen Square, talks in the Great Hall of the People and an escorted tour of the Temple of Heaven — the first American president to visit it since 1975. 2/
Trump called Xi a “great leader” and said they would have “a fantastic future together.” The main goal: extend the year-long trade truce agreed in South Korea last October. At their peak, Trump’s tariffs on some Chinese goods reached 145%. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 15
Bolton: Xi could trade Trump concessions on Iran or trade for one phrase: "The US opposes Taiwanese independence."

Taiwan is terrified. We don't know yet if Trump gave it. They still have hours of meetings left.

1/
Bolton: Trump wanted the biggest trade deal in history — he won't get it today either.

Some Boeing sales, some economic deals he'll tout. But the core issues aren't resolved. China played rare earths. They may agree a trade war ceasefire. That's it.

2/
Bolton: If the US pulls back on Taiwan, Taiwan is in real jeopardy.

China won't invade across 100 miles of open ocean — they'll blockade and wait to see if we break it. Deterrence works only if China stays uncertain what Trump would do.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 14
Stubb: Russia failed on every front — Ukraine became European, NATO gained Finland and Sweden.

In WWII the Soviets marched 1,600km in four years. Russia has moved 60km in four years now. They won't test Article 5 — they'll hit us below it. That's already happening.

1/
Stubb: Ukraine kills or wounds 30–35,000 Russian soldiers per month since December.

Ukraine now fires more drones and missiles into Russia than Russia can answer. In April, Ukraine took back more territory than Russia gained. Ukraine holds all the cards.

2/
Stubb: Russians ask: why are we in this war? Why are we losing this many young men?

Russia closed Telegram, WhatsApp, the internet — and people noticed. Ukraine negotiates from strength.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 14
Vance: If Iran gets a nuclear weapon, Gulf states follow, then others.

Proliferation is the single biggest long-term threat to American security — people don't see it until it's too late.

1/
Vance: The red line is simple — Iran never gets a nuclear weapon. That's what we negotiate toward.

We want to tell the American people: this dangerous regime will never touch the world's most dangerous weapons.

2/
Vance: Iran war hits the economy, last month's inflation number was not great.

But go back to Biden — we're nowhere near what Americans lived through then. We know the work isn't done. The President knows it. We talk about it every day.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 14
Rubio: Spain blocks US access to NATO bases — what's the purpose of the alliance then?

Portugal said yes before we told them what the question was. Allies when they want to be is not an alliance.

1/
Rubio: We protect Spain. Spain blocks our bases in a conflict.

We're there for them — they're not there for us. That is a legitimate question for any alliance.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 14
Serhii Kernytskyi spent 346 days at a position near Chasiv Yar, killed 23 Russians and took 6 prisoner.

He deliberately let them close to 20 meters before throwing a grenade. He has been nominated for the title of Hero of Ukraine — 24th Brigade. 1/ Image
Throughout that year Kernytskyi kept a video diary — filming attacks, trophies and daily life on his phone. There was no signal, but the phone worked.

Hundreds of short videos survived: a dugout burning after an incendiary device, him counting trophy rifles, frying ribs and cooking soup. 2/
Before the army he was a construction worker from Khmelnytskyi Oblast. He mobilized on November 3, 2024. He expected to stay three months, then maybe six.

It turned into almost a year. When he asked his commander why they weren't rotating him out, the answer was: there are no people, no one to send. 3/
Read 13 tweets

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