Bolton: Xi could trade Trump concessions on Iran or trade for one phrase: "The US opposes Taiwanese independence."
Taiwan is terrified. We don't know yet if Trump gave it. They still have hours of meetings left.
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Bolton: Trump wanted the biggest trade deal in history — he won't get it today either.
Some Boeing sales, some economic deals he'll tout. But the core issues aren't resolved. China played rare earths. They may agree a trade war ceasefire. That's it.
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Bolton: If the US pulls back on Taiwan, Taiwan is in real jeopardy.
China won't invade across 100 miles of open ocean — they'll blockade and wait to see if we break it. Deterrence works only if China stays uncertain what Trump would do.
Stubb: Russia failed on every front — Ukraine became European, NATO gained Finland and Sweden.
In WWII the Soviets marched 1,600km in four years. Russia has moved 60km in four years now. They won't test Article 5 — they'll hit us below it. That's already happening.
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Stubb: Ukraine kills or wounds 30–35,000 Russian soldiers per month since December.
Ukraine now fires more drones and missiles into Russia than Russia can answer. In April, Ukraine took back more territory than Russia gained. Ukraine holds all the cards.
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Stubb: Russians ask: why are we in this war? Why are we losing this many young men?
Russia closed Telegram, WhatsApp, the internet — and people noticed. Ukraine negotiates from strength.
Vance: If Iran gets a nuclear weapon, Gulf states follow, then others.
Proliferation is the single biggest long-term threat to American security — people don't see it until it's too late.
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Vance: The red line is simple — Iran never gets a nuclear weapon. That's what we negotiate toward.
We want to tell the American people: this dangerous regime will never touch the world's most dangerous weapons.
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Vance: Iran war hits the economy, last month's inflation number was not great.
But go back to Biden — we're nowhere near what Americans lived through then. We know the work isn't done. The President knows it. We talk about it every day.
Serhii Kernytskyi spent 346 days at a position near Chasiv Yar, killed 23 Russians and took 6 prisoner.
He deliberately let them close to 20 meters before throwing a grenade. He has been nominated for the title of Hero of Ukraine — 24th Brigade. 1/
Throughout that year Kernytskyi kept a video diary — filming attacks, trophies and daily life on his phone. There was no signal, but the phone worked.
Hundreds of short videos survived: a dugout burning after an incendiary device, him counting trophy rifles, frying ribs and cooking soup. 2/
Before the army he was a construction worker from Khmelnytskyi Oblast. He mobilized on November 3, 2024. He expected to stay three months, then maybe six.
It turned into almost a year. When he asked his commander why they weren't rotating him out, the answer was: there are no people, no one to send. 3/
A senior Republican strategist: “When I hear it I’ll let you know, but there doesn’t appear to be one.” Trump cannot afford to lose Senate votes — like Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy, writesThe Economist. 1/
In the middle of an unpopular war and soaring grocery prices, Republicans have no positive message.
Instead Trump is focused on two things: redrawing electoral maps and taking revenge on incumbents who crossed him. 2/
Bill Cassidy voted to impeach Trump after January 6th 2021. Since then he has desperately tried to win back favor — he even voted to confirm RFK Jr to the cabinet despite opposing anti-vaxxers as a doctor. 3/