1/ Over four years into the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian commanders have still not beaten their deadliest enemy – the cumbersome centralised bureaucracy of the Russian military. 'Two Majors' gives a flavour of how badly Russian commanders are swamped with paperwork. ⬇️
2/ In an essay titled "On the Need for a Radical Overhaul of the Management System for Security Forces Involved in the Special Military Operation. Thoughts on the Topic, with Some Profanity", one of the contributors to the prominent 'Two Majors' Telegram channel writes:
3/ "▪️ The principle of multitasking and prioritisation. Even before the war, we once asked a young officer from a garrison unit subordinate to ours: why aren’t you working on such-and-such a task, since it’s objectively important?
4/ The answer struck us with its honesty: “The task is important. It’s just that nobody gives a shit about it.”
And indeed. Officers were beaten up over every bit of paperwork: plan implementation reports, logs, annual targets, more plans—but this time from higher-ups.
5/ "Staff officers demonstrated their work like this: “Look how many directives we’ve issued! Look how many meetings we’ve held! Look at all the reports we’ve received from below!” The statistics were rising, but the actual work process was deteriorating.
6/ "More accurately, it was being replaced by a simulacrum. Oh well. It was peacetime; there was no need to rush.
7/▪️“War is war, but they’ll hold us accountable for the reports.” By the first half of 2022, when jokes started up again in the smoking rooms of the rear units, everyone remembered about reporting.
8/ "The start of the special military operation went “under the radar” for everyone, so the lion’s share of peacetime decisions hadn’t been canceled.
9/ "In other words, the grueling first months of the war had passed, there were a couple of months left before mobilisation, and rear units—and not-so-rear units—were bogged down in paperwork.
10/ "Although earlier there had been verbal orders to “screw the paperwork, everything for the guys on the front lines.” And since then, regular reporting to the capital had only been piling up with new paperwork.
11/ "▪️The most alarming thing is that the objectives set out in numerous directives bear no relation whatsoever to the tasks within the Special Military Operation.
12/ Logistical, planning, organisational-administrative, and personnel-related telegrams and letters from higher-ups continue to be baffling. Certain types of consultative collegial bodies, headquarters, and organisational decision-making processes…
13/ …(and without a written decision, any action is illegal, and you’ll later be held accountable by the very same people who gave you verbal permission) simply do not keep pace with the rapidly changing situation.
14/ "▪️Hyper-centralisation is a scourge. Federal executive bodies and their regional offices are so bogged down that the top leader in his sphere receives a written, almost name-by-name breakdown of the agency’s personnel every day,…
15/ …detailing who is working where for the coming 24 hours. As a result, headquarters in the center are overburdened, and Moscow constantly “meddles” in virtually every combat incident. In other words, the strategic level is distracted by solving tactical tasks.
16/ "Come on, a colonel general can’t possibly command a sergeant or warrant officer over the phone who is currently engaged in combat, say, against a UAV or a multiple rocket launcher.
17/ And the headquarters certainly doesn’t need to know at all costs how many tracer rounds the sergeant fired into the sky or water: 15 or 17. But the habit of controlling everything and reporting in the finest detail to create the illusion of control over the situation remains.
18/ "▪️The only possible solution lies in the military-political sphere. Sorry, but nothing will change without a good thrashing from above. Remember how we started this discussion back in the good old days? “No one gives a shit about it.”
19/ "So here’s the thing. As long as they’re beating us up over plans to fix shortcomings, formal reports, and carrying out countless unnecessary orders, the military command system is unlikely to change.
20/ "We need a situation where every action (including in matters of training, combat readiness, educational work, etc.) by a military unit or formation is evaluated based on how it affects the situation within the context of achieving operational objectives.
21/ "Otherwise, we’ll just keep sitting here, pestering headquarters with registration numbers and plans. And the role of headquarters in solving combat tasks will be far from offensive, but rather one of control and reporting for briefings among high-level offices." /end
1/ Ukraine is using quadcopter drones carried by uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) to hunt down and destroy Russian anti-drone teams in occupied Crimea, according to a Russian source. ⬇️
2/ Ukrainian drone carrier USVs have been observed in use in the Black Sea in recent months. The Russian warblogger 'Veterans' Notes' describes how they are being used to support Ukraine's middle-strike campaign, by suppressing air defences in the occupied regions:
3/ "Regarding mobile task forces (MOGs) on the peninsula, the enemy has begun actively hunting them. There have already been numerous cases of MOG crews coming under fire from Ukrainian drones and suffering losses. These attacks were carried out on the coast using FPV drones.
1/ The Russian government is a "great hypnotoad" that is trying to distract the population from the fact that things are bad and about to get worse, says Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova. She complains that the government is attempting to "zombify people". ⬇️
2/ A common complaint among Russian warbloggers in recent months has been that the Russian government frequently but ineptly tries to play down the deteriorating situation with the Ukraine war, through so-called "anti-crisis" propaganda or simply not mentioning Ukrainian attacks.
3/ They point out that this is highly ineffective and erodes trust in the government, as anyone with an Internet connection can see – even on Russian pro-war Telegram channels – that things are not going well.
1/ Russian commanders are being accused of failing to ensure that their soldiers do not wear neo-Nazi and far-right insignia. The practice is said to be widespread. However, a crackdown is apparently underway, with offenders being sent to die in assault units. ⬇️
2/ Throughout the war in Ukraine, Russian soldiers have been photographed wearing unofficial patches representing extremist ideologies, such as death's-head insignia, Nazi runes, and the "black sun" Sonnenrad symbol.
3/ This reflects the appeal of far-right and neo-Nazi ideology among Russian nationalists. (Indeed, there is an entire neo-Nazi paramilitary group, the Sabotage Assault Reconnaissance Group (DShRG) 'Rusich', fighting alongside the Russian regular forces.)
1/ Russian warbloggers have steadily become bolder in calling for Russia's leadership to be replaced to overcome the current stalemate in Ukraine. Calling the current situation "hopeless", 'Verum Regnum' calls for new leadership in Russia so that it can win the war. ⬇️
2/ While well aware that open criticism of Vladimir Putin is still too dangerous a step, many warbloggers are willing to criticise "the system" in general terms or call out specific officials regarded as failing, such as Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov
3/ This kind of approach, which could be summed up as "the Tsar should replace his boyars", is clearly visible in what 'Verum Regnum' writes on Telegram:
"Do you know what a "hopeless situation" is? It's a situation where we don't like the simple, obvious way out."
1/ Russia's air defence teams are manned by "homeless people, alcoholics, deserters, disabled people, idiots", complains a Russian warblogger. In the face of continued failures to stop Ukrainian drone attacks, urgent investment in robotic defence systems is advocated. ⬇️
2/ 'Military Chronicle' argues that "recent incidents involving the use of attack drones against targets in Moscow and Voronezh demonstrate that the human factor is becoming the most critical vulnerability in modern air defence systems."
3/ 'Dead Heads' explains that Russia's mobile fire teams are attracting the wrong kind of recruits: "We're forming Mobile Task Forces (MOGs) and assembling them by units: homeless people, alcoholics, 500s, disabled people, idiots – why aren't they shooting down anything?"
1/ The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber', a retired Russian air force pilot, is taking heavy flak from other warbloggers for disclosing a fuel delivery to Crimea that the Ukrainians promptly blew up. "Go fuck yourself. Preferably holding hands," he responds. ⬇️
2/ On 17 June, in an apparent attempt to refute widespread accounts of fuel shortages in Crimea, 'Fighterbomber' wrote on his Telegram channel: "The audience is saying that fuel has arrived in Crimea. Lots of it. There's more coming. 😍"
3/ Three days later, Ukrainian forces struck the Kerch oil terminal's fuel depot, causing a major fire. An official Ukrainian Telegram channel trolled Fighterbomber by crediting the warblogger for the strike (it's unlikely that he had any influence on it).